American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Event Center at Valley Forge - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHAO Luhan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
2 BRUNET Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
3 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
5 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
6 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
7 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 24%
8 PRIHODKO Max 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
9 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
10 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
11 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
12 WIECHMANN Colin 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
13 GORTI Agustya 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
14 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
15 TRIMMER Colin 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
16 YANG Edward 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
17 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
18 LI Jalen 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
19 VALES Keyan 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
20 LAI Aedin 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
21 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
22 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
23 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
24 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
25 SERAFIN Ben 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
26 LI Jeffrey 100% 97% 80% 41% 9% 1%
27 ROSENBERG Jacob 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
28 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
29 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
30 MAENG Jake W. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
31 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
32 SHEN Max 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
33 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4%
34 JAAFAR Omar 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12%
35 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
36 BASOK Nikita 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
37 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
38 HAN Dongcheng 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
39 LAM Bill 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
40 ZENG Zihan 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
41 WU Marcus 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1%
42 LAI Coby 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
43 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 37% 6% - - -
44 WU Jonathan 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2%
45 DUAN eric 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
45 CHOE Andrew 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
47 PARK Frederick 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
48 KUMAR Aidan 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% -
49 HU Robert J. 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
50 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
51 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
52 LIU Terry 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
53 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
54 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% -
55 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
56 GONG Haixiang 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% -
57 WADE Grayson 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
57 XIA Oliver 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
59 CHEN Matthew 100% 55% 16% 2% - -
60 REDDY Arya 100% 53% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.