June NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, June 5, 2021 at 8:45 AM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
3 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
3 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
5 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
6 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
7 CHEN Earnest P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 14%
8 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
9 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
10 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
11 LO Conrad 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
12 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
13 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
14 LI Raphael C. 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
15 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
16 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
17 SINGH Dayaal 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
18 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
19 DUDEY Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 10%
20 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
21 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
22 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
23 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 16%
24 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
25 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
26 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
27 CHEN Allen 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
28 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
29 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 20%
30 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
31 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
32 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5% -
33 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
34 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5% < 1%
35 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
36 ARCHER Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
37 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 24%
38 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
39 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
40 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
41 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
41 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
41 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
44 BAS Liam 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
45 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
46 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 16%
47 TIERNEY David A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
48 HU Oliver W. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
49 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
49 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
51 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
52 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
53 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
54 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
55 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
56 FLANAGAN James 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
56 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
58 HUTH Mitchell 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
59 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 98% 80% 36% 6%
60 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
61 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
62 KAO Castor T. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
62 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 99% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
64 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
65 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
66 KWON Ethan 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 3% -
67 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
68 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 20% 2%
69 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
70 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
71 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
72 JEON Caleb A. 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
73 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
74 LEE Aidan 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
75 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
76 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
77 KIM Brandon J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
78 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
79 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
80 CHEN Andrew 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
81 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
82 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
82 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
84 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
85 YU Anders 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
86 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
87 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
88 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
89 SONG Aiden S. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
90 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
91 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 99% 88% 62% 27% 6% -
92 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 97% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
93 THAYER Jake T. 100% 97% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
94 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
94 CHIN Julian S. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
96 BALL James T. 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
97 WU Alexander 100% 99% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
98 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
98 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
100 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
101 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
101 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
103 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
104 OH Samuel H. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
105 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
106 GEE Brandon 100% 97% 75% 30% 5% -
107 HUTH Jacob 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
108 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
109 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
110 KIM Yonjae 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
111 HO Ryan J. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
111 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
113 LI Simon A. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
114 YANG Andy H. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
115 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 2%
116 HODESS Ethan 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
117 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
118 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 3% -
119 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
120 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
121 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
122 LEE Chaemin D. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
123 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
124 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
125 BURTE Alexander J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
126 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
127 WU Nicholas 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
128 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
129 NAGER Noah 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
130 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 96% 63% 23% 4% - -
130 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
132 OH Jonathan 100% 91% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
133 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
134 EVANS Aidan 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
135 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 48% 9% 1% - -
136 MURRAY Maximo 100% 83% 34% 6% - -
137 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 16% 2%
138 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
139 AHN Jun 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
140 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 7% 1%
140 DING Jonathan 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
142 BAE Kevin 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
143 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
143 BING Charles 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
145 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
146 LI Avery Peihong 100% 65% 19% 2% - - -
147 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
147 LEE Jacob 100% 39% 6% - - - -
149 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
150 KEE Andrew L. 100% 72% 28% 5% 1% - -
150 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 87% 39% 9% 1% - -
152 HERGERT Benito 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 2% -
152 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
154 WANG Michael 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
154 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
156 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
157 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
158 ZHENG zhe 100% 25% 3% - - - -
159 LI Owen 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
160 LE Vyn A. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
161 YU Jonathan J. 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
162 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
163 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
163 UPTON Craig 100% 72% 24% 3% - - -
165 LIN Dashiell 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
165 BERK Theodore 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
165 TAN Christien 100% 57% 18% 3% - - -
165 XIAO EDWARD 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
169 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
170 PYO Michael M. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
171 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
171 LEE Jacob J 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
173 HSIUNG Richie 100% 86% 42% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.