April NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, April 17, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
3 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
5 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
6 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
7 KASI Sanjay 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
8 BAS Liam 100% 97% 78% 36% 6% -
9 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
11 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
12 YU Vinni 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
13 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
14 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
15 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
16 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
17 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
18 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
19 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 7%
20 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 9%
21 KELLY William J. 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 1%
22 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
23 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
24 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
25 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
26 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
27 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
28 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
29 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 8%
30 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
31 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
32 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
33 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
34 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
35 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
36 LO Conrad 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% 1%
37 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27% 3%
38 HUANG Bin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
39 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
40 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1%
41 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8% -
42 DUDEY Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
43 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
43 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
45 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 12% 1%
46 CHEN Earnest P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
47 KAO Castor T. 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
48 PARKINS Benjamin B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
49 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 99% 85% 47% 10% 1%
50 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
51 KIM Brandon J. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
52 OH Jonathan 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
53 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
54 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
55 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
56 UM Ethan A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
57 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
58 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
59 CHEN Allen 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% -
60 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
61 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
62 HU Oliver W. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
63 LONG Quinton R. 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
64 XIAO EDWARD 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
65 CHENG Jonathan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
66 WU Alexander 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
67 JANG Jaewon 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1%
68 ACUNA Gabriel G. 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
69 CHEN Andrew 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
70 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
71 OUELLETTE David M. 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% 1%
72 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
73 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
73 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
75 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
76 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7% -
77 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
78 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 7% 1%
79 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
80 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 32%
81 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
82 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
83 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 85% 42% 9% 1% -
84 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 99% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
85 CAI Jason Zhicheng 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
86 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
87 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 98% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
88 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
89 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
90 LEE Jacob J 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
91 FLANAGAN James 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
91 LEE Aidan 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
93 LEE Chris 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
94 HO Ryan J. 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
95 HONG Daniel 100% 96% 69% 29% 5% -
96 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
96 KWON Ethan 100% 86% 46% 13% 1% -
98 JAUME Andrei 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% - -
99 SONG Aiden S. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
100 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 35% 5% - - - -
101 KEE Andrew L. 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
102 BING Charles 100% 90% 58% 23% 4% - -
103 REALS Alden D. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
104 LIN Dashiell 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
105 DIERKS Kian 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
106 KIM Aaron J. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
107 CHIN Julian S. 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
108 JEON Caleb A. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
109 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
110 BAE Kevin 100% 94% 59% 21% 4% - -
111 POPOKH Leo 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
111 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
113 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
114 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
115 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
116 SONG Dylan S. 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
117 GORBACHEV Alexander 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
118 LI Ryan Z. 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
119 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
119 HSIUNG Richie 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.