American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 13, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
3 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 2%
5 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
6 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
7 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19%
8 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
9 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
10 BING Charles 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
11 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
12 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
13 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
14 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
15 AHN Jun 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
16 YU Anders 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
17 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
18 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 9%
19 DING Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
20 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
21 XIAO Anthony 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
22 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
23 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
24 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
25 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
26 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
27 BRUK Peter J. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
28 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
29 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
30 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
31 LE Vyn A. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
32 KIM Aaron J. 100% 99% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
33 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
34 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
35 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
36 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
37 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
38 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31%
39 MOHAMED Amir 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2%
40 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
41 CHOI Samuel 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
42 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
43 JUDD Mehta J. 100% 93% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
44 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
45 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
46 BAE Junnie 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 6%
47 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
48 BAE Kevin 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
49 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
50 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
51 ZHAO Jesse 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% -
52 FU Samuel Y. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
53 LI Eric 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
54 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 96% 66% 22% 4% - -
55 DAUM Charlie 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1% -
56 CAI Oliver K. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
57 HORSLEY Alexander 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 3%
58 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
59 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
60 MOHAMED Murad 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
61 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
62 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
63 GAO William 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
64 SZE Timothy 100% 30% 3% - - - -
65 YU Jonathan J. 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
66 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
67 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
68 GALLUCCI Charles John 100% 98% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
69 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
70 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
71 LI Ryan Z. 100% 95% 58% 16% 2% - -
72 KIM BANSEOK J. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
73 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
74 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
75 KLEIN Sebastian W. 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
76 GARR James D. 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
76 FINLEY Dylan 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
78 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 68% 25% 5% 1% - -
78 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
78 TAN Christien 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
78 GAUTAM Vishnu 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
82 WANG Andrew 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
83 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
84 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
85 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
86 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
87 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
88 JIN Dennis H. 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
89 STRAYER Andrew 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
90 ZHAO Dylan L. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
90 MAGIDSON Josh 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
92 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
93 ZARITSKY Theodore 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
94 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
95 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 57% 17% 2% - - -
96 BAUMANN Gunnar 100% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.