American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 13, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
3 XIAO Ethan J. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
3 DAI Jonathan T. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
5 CHIN Jason Y. - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18%
6 STANLEY Mason B. - - - 4% 17% 41% 37%
7 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
8 ZHANG Andy W. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
9 YEROKHIN Michael N. - - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
10 BING Charles - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
11 KWON Ethan - - 4% 16% 35% 33% 12%
12 SICHITIU Alexander 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
13 KAO Castor T. - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
14 BREIER Matthew F. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
15 AHN Jun 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
16 YU Anders - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
17 RITCHIE Luke W. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
18 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 9%
19 DING Jonathan - - 4% 19% 37% 30% 8%
20 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
21 XIAO Anthony - 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
22 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
23 CHIN Julian S. - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
24 SONG Leonardo T. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
25 LOCKWOOD Owen - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
26 TOLBA Abdelrahman - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
27 BRUK Peter J. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
28 BELLUOMO David C. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
29 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan - - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9%
30 CHENG Jonathan - 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 3%
31 LE Vyn A. 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
32 KIM Aaron J. 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
33 LI Richard - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
34 SINGH Dayaal - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
35 KIM Nicholas W. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
36 WU Nicholas - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
37 SHA Yi Peng - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
38 HO Ryan J. - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
39 MOHAMED Amir 1% 11% 36% 36% 14% 2%
40 LIN Richard W. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
41 CHOI Samuel - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
42 CULLIVAN Justice - 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
43 JUDD Mehta J. 7% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
44 GEE Brandon - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
45 OURSLER Jack - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
46 BAE Junnie - - 4% 19% 40% 31% 6%
47 OH Samuel H. - - 3% 14% 35% 35% 12%
48 BAE Kevin 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
49 XIAO EDWARD - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
50 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
51 ZHAO Jesse 23% 46% 25% 6% 1% -
52 FU Samuel Y. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
53 LI Eric 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
54 SIMA Congyu Josh 4% 30% 44% 19% 3% - -
55 DAUM Charlie 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
56 CAI Oliver K. 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
57 HORSLEY Alexander - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
58 ZHAI Jeffrey 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
59 MENG Zhaoyi 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
60 MOHAMED Murad 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
61 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 4% -
62 RINEHART Conner M. - 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
63 GAO William 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
64 SZE Timothy 70% 27% 3% - - - -
65 YU Jonathan J. 10% 34% 36% 16% 4% - -
66 DESOLA Aidan J. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
67 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1% -
68 GALLUCCI Charles John 2% 24% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
69 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
70 TIAN Aaron C. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
71 LI Ryan Z. 5% 37% 41% 14% 2% - -
72 KIM BANSEOK J. 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
73 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. - 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
74 TAHOUN Mostafa 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
75 KLEIN Sebastian W. 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
76 GARR James D. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
76 FINLEY Dylan 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
78 MILLER Aidan A. 32% 43% 20% 5% 1% - -
78 ANTON Nathaniel 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
78 TAN Christien 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
78 GAUTAM Vishnu 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
82 WANG Andrew 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
83 HERGERT Benito - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
84 KOBAL Maximilian 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
85 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
86 BROWN Alexander R. 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
87 FORTUNE Alexander J. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
88 JIN Dennis H. 31% 42% 21% 5% - - -
89 STRAYER Andrew 13% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
90 ZHAO Dylan L. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
90 MAGIDSON Josh 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
92 GISLER Benjamin B. 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
93 ZARITSKY Theodore 28% 46% 23% 4% - -
94 LUM-DEBONO Alex 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
95 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
96 BAUMANN Gunnar 77% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.