New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LIANG Lixi (Henry) | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 2 | PELOSKY Zack B. | V D V V V V | V V V V V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 3 | DOCTOR Aidan L. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 3 | MARX Oscar L. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 5 | CHENG Jonathan | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 6 | KAO Castor T. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 7 | RUSADZE Nickolas | V V D V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 8 | PAE Brian L. | D V V V D | V V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 9 | AHN Jun | V V V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| 10 | LI Eric | V V V V V | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 11 | LI Owen | V V V V V | V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 12 | ZHAI Jeffrey | V V V V V | V V D | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| 13 | TOLBA Abdelrahman | V V V D V | V V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 14 | HOOSHI Jayden C. | V V V D V | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 15 | GUO Sean | V V V D V | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 16 | PAE Jonathan L. | V V D V V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 17 | ANTON Nathaniel | V V D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 18 | JIANG Owen | V D V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 19 | BING Charles | D V V V D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 20 | GOOR Julian | V D D V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 21 | MIALL Steven A. | D V V D V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 22 | WANG Jackson | V V D D V D | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 23 | GONG Benjamin | D V V V D D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 24 | YAN Edward Tianshuo | V D D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 25 | MENG Zhaoyi | D V D D V | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 26 | AUGUSTINE Aaron A. | V D D D V | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 27 | GUO Justin | D V D D V | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 28 | ZHOU Andrew C. | D D V V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 29 | MARX Jackson L. | V D D D V | V D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 30 | LI Yao (Liam) | D D V V D D | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 31 | LIU Derek | D D D V D | V D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 32 | WANG Mason | D D V D D | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 33 | GAO Anthony | D D V V V V | D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 34 | ZHEN Ethan | V V V D D V | D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 35 | CATINO Brennen | D V V D V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 36 | LEWIS Akhil | V D D V V D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 37 | PROMRAT Pete | D D D V V V | D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 38 | XIANG Derrick | V D V D D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 39 | WU Alexander | D V V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 40 | LI Ayren | V V D D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 41 | DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. | D V V D D D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 42 | LIEW Jeremy K. | V D D D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 43 | PITERBARG Maxim | D D D V D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 44 | XU Ethan | D D D V D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 45 | XU Andy P. | D D V D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 46 | SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden | D D D V D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 47 | CHAN Justin D. | D D D V D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 48 | HU Jason | V D D D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 49 | HONG Issac | D D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 50 | PEDERSEN Charles | V D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 51 | LI Aaron | V D D D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 52 | LEE Jonah | D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| 53 | LORANGER Peter | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 53 | ULC Christian | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 55 | LEWIS Nikhil I. | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 56 | GUERTIN Matthew B. | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 57 | ZHUANG Chuanxuan | D D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.