Neil Lazar RYC/Vet ROC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 8:00 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
2 PELOSKY Zack B. - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
3 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10%
3 MARX Oscar L. - - - 5% 32% 63%
5 CHENG Jonathan - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
6 KAO Castor T. - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
7 RUSADZE Nickolas - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
8 PAE Brian L. 1% 7% 27% 39% 23% 3%
9 AHN Jun 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% < 1%
10 LI Eric - 3% 14% 35% 36% 13%
11 LI Owen - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
12 ZHAI Jeffrey 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
13 TOLBA Abdelrahman 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2%
14 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
15 GUO Sean 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
16 PAE Jonathan L. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
17 ANTON Nathaniel - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 2%
18 JIANG Owen - 1% 11% 38% 42% 8%
19 BING Charles 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
20 GOOR Julian 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
21 MIALL Steven A. 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1%
22 WANG Jackson - - 2% 19% 44% 29% 6%
23 GONG Benjamin - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
24 YAN Edward Tianshuo 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
25 MENG Zhaoyi 6% 32% 39% 19% 4% -
26 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 12% 44% 34% 10% 1% -
27 GUO Justin - 3% 19% 45% 28% 4%
28 ZHOU Andrew C. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
29 MARX Jackson L. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
30 LI Yao (Liam) 7% 34% 43% 13% 2% - -
31 LIU Derek 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
32 WANG Mason 39% 46% 15% 1% - -
33 GAO Anthony 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
34 ZHEN Ethan - - 1% 6% 28% 46% 20%
35 CATINO Brennen - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
36 LEWIS Akhil - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
37 PROMRAT Pete 20% 52% 24% 3% - - -
38 XIANG Derrick 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
39 WU Alexander 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
40 LI Ayren 14% 47% 31% 8% 1% -
41 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
42 LIEW Jeremy K. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
43 PITERBARG Maxim 6% 33% 45% 14% 1% -
44 XU Ethan 1% 12% 36% 37% 13% 1%
45 XU Andy P. 1% 16% 40% 33% 10% 1%
46 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
47 CHAN Justin D. 65% 30% 5% - - -
48 HU Jason 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
49 HONG Issac 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
50 PEDERSEN Charles 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
51 LI Aaron 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
52 LEE Jonah 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
53 LORANGER Peter 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
53 ULC Christian 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
55 LEWIS Nikhil I. 21% 43% 27% 8% 1% -
56 GUERTIN Matthew B. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
57 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.