Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, March 13, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
2 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62% 18%
3 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 18%
5 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
6 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
7 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 23%
8 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
9 DUBOISKI Siarhei 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
10 MICKELSON Jacob P. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
11 LYUTIKOV Yegor 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
12 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
13 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 2% -
14 MCCORD Clark 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
15 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
16 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
17 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
18 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
19 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
20 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
21 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
22 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
23 WANG Eric J. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
24 TAN Christien 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
25 STREB JR. Joseph T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
26 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
27 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
28 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
29 DOUGLAS Rhys 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33% 5%
30 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
31 CHAN Matthew 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
32 SZEGO Bence P. 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 2% -
33 BALL James T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
34 LIU Eric Y. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
35 CAO Leon M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 20%
36 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
37 TSAO Lukas 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1% -
38 BURTE Alexander J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
39 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
39 LU Yikai 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
41 ZHENG zhe 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
41 WONG Antonio 100% 100% 96% 73% 25% 4% -
43 LUGO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
44 FINLEY Dylan 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
45 SMITH Erick 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% - -
46 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
47 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
48 DEDENBACH Joseph 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% - -
49 KHAN Adnan 100% 89% 50% 11% 1% - -
50 SONG Austin 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
50 UPTON Craig 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
52 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 95% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
53 BURBERRY Alan 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
54 MCOWEN Peter D. 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
55 ZHAO Bowen 100% 85% 40% 7% - - -
56 GALLER Dave 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
57 VALENTINO Paul 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
58 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% -
59 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
60 LIM Lance Jeremiah 100% 68% 25% 4% - - -
61 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
62 WERWA Griffith 100% 70% 26% 5% 1% - -
63 WANG Winston 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% - -
64 GNEUHS Sam 100% 33% 5% - - - -
65 PALWAI Suhas 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
66 DENMAN Matthew L. 100% 97% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
67 FISHER Austin D. 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
68 FU Steven 100% 28% 3% - - - -
69 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.