Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 2:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
2 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
3 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
5 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
6 MURRAY Maximo 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 1%
7 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 18%
8 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 42%
9 SERVELLO Augusto 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
10 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
11 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 13%
12 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
13 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
14 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
15 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
16 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
17 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
18 DU Samuel R. 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
19 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
20 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 99% 90% 54% 16% 2%
21 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 8%
22 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
23 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
24 BING Charles 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
25 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
26 KNIZHNIK David 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 1%
27 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
28 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 9%
28 HAN Lawrence 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
30 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 6%
31 KEE Andrew L. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
32 AHN Jun 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
33 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 4%
34 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
35 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 6%
36 DAUM Charlie 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
37 LI Eric 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
38 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% -
39 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10%
40 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
41 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
42 FU Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%
43 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
44 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
45 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
46 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 89% 50% 12% 1% -
46 LEE Jonah 100% 88% 46% 10% 1% -
48 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
49 LEWIS Akhil 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
50 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
51 LIN James G. 100% 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
51 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 95% 64% 24% 4% -
53 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23% 2%
54 SHAO Eric 100% 81% 32% 6% 1% - -
55 VERSTEELE Sander 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
56 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
56 TORRES Treston 100% 70% 21% 3% - -
58 YOON DYLAN 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
59 REZA Farazi 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
60 LOU Andy 100% 76% 28% 5% - - -
61 JAUME Andrei 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
62 MIALL Steven A. 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
63 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 94% 63% 19% 2% -
64 AMRANI David 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
65 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 62% 15% 2% - -
66 LI Arvin 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% -
67 LE Vyn A. 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
68 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
69 LIU Ryan 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
70 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 83% 21% 2% - - -
71 WANG Michael 100% 95% 67% 28% 5% -
72 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 90% 51% 13% 1% -
73 GALLER Dave 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
74 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
75 SATTAR Dylan 100% 28% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.