DCFC Champagne Challenge #5

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 27, 2022 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
2 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
3 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
3 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 17%
5 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
6 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
7 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
8 DAVIDZON Ekaterina 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 10% 1%
9 WRIGHT Ezra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
10 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 21%
11 WOZNIAK Ignacy 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
12 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 8%
13 DUAN Eric 100% 100% 89% 52% 13% 1% -
14 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
15 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5% -
16 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
17 HARDY Tristan L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
18 CAO Brad 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
19 USDIN Anton 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 12% 1%
20 ZHANG Caden 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2% -
21 ASHER Valerie 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
22 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
23 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 97% 78% 40% 9% 1% -
24 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 10%
25 WANG Tristan 100% 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% -
26 CAO Albert 100% 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
27 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 99% 71% 25% 3% - -
28 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 100% 89% 49% 12% 1% -
29 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 89% 54% 16% 2% -
30 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
31 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
32 SIEDOW Jeffrey 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
33 BLACK Ethan 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
34 BRUNDAGE Nevan 100% 76% 26% 4% - - -
35 ANDREWS Iain 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20% 2%
36 MACE Eliza M. 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
37 ARMSTRONG Gary 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
38 FRENCH Phaelen 100% 24% 2% - - - -
39 PALAMARCHUK Andriy 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
40 DOHERTY Eva 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
41 KOMISAR-BURY Ryley 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.