Fortune Fencing SYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 19, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
2 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
3 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
5 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
7 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
8 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
9 WANG Devon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
10 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 7%
11 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
12 DRIBIN Ezra 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
13 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
14 QUITORIANO Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
15 GINZBURG Adam 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
16 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
17 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
18 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
19 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 8%
20 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 11%
21 DAO Alexander 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 10% 1%
22 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
23 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
24 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 5%
25 ZHU Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
26 GAO Zachary 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
27 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
28 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
29 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
30 LOFTUS Luca 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
31 TANDOC Noah 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
32 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
33 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
34 KIM Ian 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
35 WANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
36 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
37 LIU Yikun 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
38 PRAKASH Hari 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
39 JU Hanul 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
40 HOGE William P. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
41 MIAO Kunqi 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
42 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
43 CHEN Zhengyang 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
43 DONAHUE Lake 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
45 KAO Yishane 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
46 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
47 XIONG Aaron 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
48 HERNDON Liam 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
49 MENDOZA Zander 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
50 YU Austin 100% 92% 65% 32% 9% 2% -
51 CHEN Josh 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
52 SU Oliver 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
53 SEO Shawn 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
54 KIM Teddy 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
55 MORALES Esteban 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
56 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
57 HALL Gabriel 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
58 DE LA TORRE PEREZ Jesus Adiel 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
59 CHANG Andrew 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
60 MAJAM Brandon Audie 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
61 LIANG Eric 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% - -
62 TUSANTOSO McKenzie 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
63 LAU Christian 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
64 ARMITAGE Liam 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
65 MARTIN Charles 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 6% -
66 NUGENT Jack 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
67 DENISON Declan 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
68 OLSON christopher 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 14% 2%
69 TAI Edison 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
70 MAXU Tiger 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
71 NG Biwon 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
72 LI zerong 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% - -
73 LEE JiYuen 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
74 WANG Joey 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
75 HINTON Evan 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
76 ANDERSON Kai 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
77 LEE Damien 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
78 JAIN Samyak 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
79 GOROZA Eric 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
80 LIU Yueri 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
80 SIM Ian 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
80 KIM Justin 100% 98% 86% 58% 27% 7% 1%
83 PERKINS Jaray 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
84 ABELAR Jacob 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
85 GUO Woody 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
86 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
87 KIM Remington 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
88 BAXTER Max 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
89 RODRIGUEZ Ripley 100% 93% 61% 23% 5% - -
90 CHANG Benjamin 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
91 LEE Aidan 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.