Boston Fencing Club ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, April 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAO Castor T. - - - 1% 15% 44% 40%
2 LI Richard - - - 4% 21% 42% 32%
3 JIANG Owen - 4% 22% 43% 27% 5%
3 SERVELLO Augusto - - - 4% 29% 67%
5 LIN Richard W. - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
6 BAE Kevin - - 2% 14% 41% 35% 8%
7 LIU Niles J. - - - 3% 25% 72%
8 LEE Jacob J - 6% 26% 42% 23% 2%
9 OURSLER Jack - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
10 WU Alexander - - - 7% 36% 56%
11 GONG Benjamin - 5% 30% 40% 20% 3%
12 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
13 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 1% 9% 35% 46% 9%
14 WOO Christian - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
15 SIEGEL Elliot - 1% 9% 33% 42% 15%
16 CHENG Nathan - 2% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1%
17 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
18 DOBBINS Evan W. - 1% 9% 32% 42% 18%
19 KLOSTERMANN Max - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
20 WELCH Kyle J. - - - 5% 31% 63%
21 DU Samuel R. - 6% 25% 40% 24% 3%
22 DAVIDSON Elliot 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
23 SHA Yi Peng - 2% 17% 40% 32% 8%
24 HOWARD Michael - - 16% 39% 32% 11% 1%
25 ADLER David R. - - 1% 9% 34% 41% 14%
26 SICHITIU Alexander - - 9% 32% 39% 18% 2%
27 PYO Michael M. - - 3% 19% 39% 31% 7%
28 FU Samuel Y. - - 6% 28% 50% 16%
29 DAI Jonathan T. - - 6% 27% 44% 23%
30 LIN James G. 1% 15% 43% 33% 7% -
31 ZHAI Jeffrey 1% 7% 27% 40% 23% 3%
32 LEE Jonah 2% 18% 41% 31% 7% -
33 AHN Jun - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
34 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
35 LI Eric - 1% 14% 37% 36% 12%
36 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
37 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 4% 20% 42% 31% 4%
37 LI Arvin 1% 14% 39% 35% 9% 1%
39 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 6% 36% 41% 15% 2% -
40 MCLEAN Miles K. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
41 ZHAO Jesse 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
42 WUJASTYK Leon 7% 54% 32% 6% - - -
43 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 2% 16% 42% 31% 8% 1%
44 TSAI Max W. 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
45 GOOR Julian - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
46 MENG Zhaoyi 15% 49% 29% 6% - -
46 WU Michael 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
48 WANG Michael 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
49 BING Charles - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
50 XU Ethan 31% 53% 14% 1% - -
51 HODESS Ethan - - 16% 39% 32% 11% 1%
52 TSAY Jeremy M. - 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
53 WECHSLER Jacob - 6% 36% 42% 14% 2% -
54 PO Oliver 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
55 HUANG Jonathan 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
56 SHIN Joshua J. - 6% 34% 40% 17% 2%
57 ZHEN Ethan 7% 31% 40% 19% 3% -
58 LI Ayren 23% 49% 24% 4% - -
59 LUH Ethan K. - 6% 31% 43% 17% 2%
60 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 22% 55% 20% 3% - -
61 TALLARICO Matthew 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
62 ALIMI Yacine A. - 10% 38% 39% 12% 1% -
63 VO Jonathan 42% 57% 2% - - - -
64 LANG Dong Lin 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
65 SHAO Eric 47% 40% 12% 2% - -
66 SULLIVAN Matthew 34% 41% 20% 4% - - -
67 KONG Luculentus X. 24% 65% 11% 1% - - -
68 LI Matthew 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
69 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 58% 37% 5% - - -
70 GUO Hairuo 48% 44% 7% - - -
71 EXNICIOS Richard M. 64% 30% 5% - - -
71 WOHLERS Trevor 44% 43% 11% 1% - -
71 JIN Dennis H. 57% 36% 7% - - -
74 MURDOCH Walter 68% 30% 1% - - - -
75 SATTAR Dylan 78% 21% 2% - - - -
76 EXNICIOS Rex 56% 43% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.