Boston Fencing Club ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, April 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
2 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
3 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
3 SERVELLO Augusto 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
5 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
6 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 8%
7 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
8 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 93% 67% 25% 2%
9 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
10 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
11 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 64% 24% 3%
12 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
13 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 9%
14 WOO Christian 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
15 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
16 CHENG Nathan 100% 100% 98% 77% 38% 10% 1%
17 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
18 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18%
19 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
20 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
21 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 93% 68% 27% 3%
22 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 90% 53% 17% 2% -
23 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 8%
24 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
25 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
26 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 91% 59% 20% 2%
27 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 7%
28 FU Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 16%
29 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
30 LIN James G. 100% 99% 83% 40% 8% -
31 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
32 LEE Jonah 100% 98% 80% 39% 7% -
33 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 30%
34 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
35 LI Eric 100% 100% 99% 84% 47% 12%
36 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -
37 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 4%
37 LI Arvin 100% 99% 85% 45% 10% 1%
39 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 94% 58% 17% 2% -
40 MCLEAN Miles K. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
41 ZHAO Jesse 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
42 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 93% 38% 7% - - -
43 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 98% 82% 40% 9% 1%
44 TSAI Max W. 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
45 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
46 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 85% 36% 6% - -
46 WU Michael 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
48 WANG Michael 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
49 BING Charles 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
50 XU Ethan 100% 69% 16% 2% - -
51 HODESS Ethan 100% 100% 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
52 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
53 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 94% 58% 16% 2% -
54 PO Oliver 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
55 HUANG Jonathan 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
56 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 94% 60% 20% 2%
57 ZHEN Ethan 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
58 LI Ayren 100% 77% 28% 4% - -
59 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 93% 62% 19% 2%
60 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 78% 23% 3% - -
61 TALLARICO Matthew 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
62 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 100% 90% 52% 13% 1% -
63 VO Jonathan 100% 58% 2% - - - -
64 LANG Dong Lin 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% -
65 SHAO Eric 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
66 SULLIVAN Matthew 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
67 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 76% 12% 1% - - -
68 LI Matthew 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
69 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 42% 5% - - -
70 GUO Hairuo 100% 52% 8% - - -
71 EXNICIOS Richard M. 100% 36% 5% - - -
71 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 56% 12% 1% - -
71 JIN Dennis H. 100% 43% 7% - - -
74 MURDOCH Walter 100% 32% 1% - - - -
75 SATTAR Dylan 100% 22% 2% - - - -
76 EXNICIOS Rex 100% 44% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.