Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - < 1% 5% 30% 65%
2 CLICK Aiden - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
3 KIM Dylan J. - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
3 CAO Albert - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
5 SINGH Aryaman - 1% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
6 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
7 LIN Harrison 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
8 JORDAN Anton - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
9 CHAMBLISS Logan C. - - 1% 9% 33% 42% 15%
10 SU Caleb - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
11 CAO Brad - 2% 14% 35% 38% 11%
12 STEPHENS Corbin 3% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
13 LEE JoonWon - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 3%
14 SINGH Ravin 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
15 KWOUN Miles S. - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
16 LEE Samuel Y. - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
17 NORTH Alexander M. - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
18 MURPHY Thomas P. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
19 WANG Trontour - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 2%
20 ALLEY Everett T - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
21 LAM Alan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
22 ABBOUD Michael - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
23 GLENNON Sebastian J. - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 2%
24 ZHANG Caden - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
25 TIKHONOV Iliya - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
26 TIKHONOV Daniel 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
27 GANTSOUDES Isaac 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
28 ALI Farhan 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
29 HEADRICK Lance - - 4% 23% 43% 26% 4%
30 LEE Aiden 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
31 WANG Clayton - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
32 PAL Ian K. 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
33 LE BORGNE Matthieu 1% 14% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
34 MAHESH Tarun - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
35 PETROW Zoryan 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
36 FISHMAN Rahm - 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1%
37 KIM Minhyeok 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
38 SAUNIER Cameron 1% 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
39 ZHANG Andy 2% 17% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
40 KE Sebastian 15% 42% 34% 8% 1% - -
41 TIRADO Giancarlo 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
42 BERNARD Jack B. - 2% 14% 40% 33% 10% 1%
43 CAVE Rylan 1% 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
44 CHENH Justin 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
45 DAN Rex 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
45 KANG EUNWOO 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
47 VADDE Pranav 38% 44% 16% 2% - - -
48 MEGGERS Davin 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% -
49 MODANLOU Navid 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
50 HU Robert J. 4% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
51 WATERS Nathaniel 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
52 THOMAS Gavin 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
53 CHADDA Ilyas 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
54 SABHARWAL Harman 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
55 HULL Liam 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
55 BLACK Ethan 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
55 KIM Taeho 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
58 KUPPUSAMY Kotravel 9% 38% 40% 12% 1% - -
59 KOCOROWSKI Matthew 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
60 CASSIDY Leo 7% 53% 32% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.