Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - - 4% 31% 65%
2 WOLFE Alex - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
3 SILVERS Ari - - - 2% 11% 37% 51%
3 DODIN David - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
5 MAO Benjamin - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 16%
6 SHAN Junzhe - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
7 KARNAS Karol - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
8 CLICK Tristan - - 1% 11% 35% 39% 13%
9 KHANNA Nikhil - - - - 3% 24% 72%
10 LEE Samuel Y. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
11 ZHAI Avalo - - 1% 6% 28% 49% 17%
12 XIAO Hanzhi （Shawn） - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 28%
13 YANG Boyan - - - - 5% 31% 64%
14 CHEN Brian - - 2% 13% 37% 36% 11%
15 TIYA BIAYA K. - - - 1% 7% 38% 54%
16 DAN Rex - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
17 WANG zhixing (Daniel） - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
18 ZHAO Zidong 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
19 ZHENG Andy - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
20 ZAYDMAN Ethan - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
21 HEADRICK Lance - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
22 DHAL Leon 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
23 KANG EUNWOO - 1% 6% 27% 44% 20% 2%
24 OSBORN Hunter - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
25 LEE Aiden - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 3%
26 GINZBURG Adam - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
27 HERNDON Liam - - 4% 21% 44% 27% 4%
28 ZENG Andrew - 3% 17% 37% 32% 9% -
29 TRULL A.J. - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 7%
30 GRAVES Lawson - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
31 SIEDOW William 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
32 MEHROTRA Neel - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
33 MITEV Alexander - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
34 HU Anton - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
35 KUGLER Luke - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
36 NAKAS Levent - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 12%
37 CHIN Dylan A. - - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
38 BORISENKO Samuel - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 12%
39 AYOTTE James - 1% 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
40 ZHENG Jerry - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
41 ALI Farhan - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 2%
42 PETROVICH Alexandar 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4% -
43 CHEN Bowen - 5% 21% 39% 27% 7% -
44 SINGH Ravin - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
45 PETROW Zoryan - - 1% 10% 35% 42% 11%
46 ATKINS Levi H. 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
47 ZI QIN Shang - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
48 SONG Troy - 3% 18% 35% 32% 11% 1%
49 LIU Bryan 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
50 SOKOL Luke - 1% 8% 22% 35% 26% 8%
51 MAZAHERI Fletcher 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
52 PALIWODA Nicholas - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11%
53 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
54 KE Sebastian 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
55 BOUDREAUX James - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
56 MEN Junda - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
57 LE BORGNE Matthieu - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
58 LAM Alan - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 10%
59 VYSOTSKIY Evan 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
60 HERNANDEZ SANTIAGO - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13% 1%
61 HOLLIS Sean 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
62 CARNALL Hunter 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
63 FANG Hanning - - 2% 14% 36% 40% 8%
64 SINGLETON Aman 2% 12% 31% 35% 16% 3% -
65 CHHU Allen 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% < 1%
66 DURKIN Hudson - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
67 FISHMAN Rahm - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
68 SERMONS Asa 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
69 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
70 SAUNIER Cameron - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
71 LOISEAU Oscar - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 3%
72 CORBIN Bennett - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
73 TSE Maxwell - - - 4% 21% 43% 30%
74 LIPPMAN Jake 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1% -
75 RAPALSKI Thomas 3% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
76 ZIEGLER John 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
77 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
78 DONG Haiyi - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
79 PAL Ian K. 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
80 PENG Yue 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
81 BUI Henry - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15%
82 LEE DoWon 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
83 CAFASSO Alexander 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
84 LAPP Oliver 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
85 ALABI Tobi - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 4%
86 TESFAYE Elias 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
87 XIA Dashan - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
88 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
89 GUO ZIXU 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
90 BRADSHAW Carter 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
91 BRODSKY Julian - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
92 BUI Ryan - 8% 31% 40% 17% 3% -
93 HUGHES Eamonn 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
94 REKHI Krish 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
95 YU Jason 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
96 BAJAJ Nakul 3% 22% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
97 LEE JiYuen 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
98 MALHAM Andrew 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
99 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
99 EVANS George 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
101 MODANLOU Navid 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
102 HERNÁNDEZ Leandros - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
103 GONZALEZ Lucas 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
104 JIANG Matthew 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
105 YI Nathan - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7% -
106 SUN Ethan 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
107 ZAHRAN Aiden 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
108 KARIMOV Amir 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
109 MARTINEZ Gabriel 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
110 SODANI Luke 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
111 KONG Brandon 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
112 MOORE Alexander 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
113 LEE Aiden 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
114 MARTINEZ Kenneth 9% 33% 39% 16% 3% - -
115 CHEN Jayden 10% 32% 37% 17% 4% -
116 NILSEN Mark 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
117 HAN Sam 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
118 ARMSTRONG TyLee 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2% -
119 HUANG Kenneth - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
120 MIDYANY Evan 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
121 XIONG Aaron 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
122 LIMA Cole 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
123 KIM Joshua 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
124 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% - -
125 AHN EZRA 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
125 YANG Gary 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
127 SZIEDE Kieran 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
128 BO Genero 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
129 NOOL Alexander 3% 27% 43% 23% 4% - -
130 MACTOUGH Ben 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
131 FONG Henry 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
132 LIU Adam 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
133 LEE Anton 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
134 BENNETT Pierce 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
135 HOOD Emery 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
136 LIN Zizhen 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
137 NAEMI Barsam 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
138 HEITFIELD Markus 4% 30% 42% 20% 3% - -
139 ROSIELLO Francesco 30% 45% 20% 4% - - -
140 WACK Logan 2% 25% 43% 24% 5% - -
141 DOAN Christopher 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
142 JIANG Harry 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
143 GUO Lucas 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
144 SHILOV Maxim 2% 18% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
145 BARKMAN Hudson 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
146 NGUYEN Noah - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
147 ZHAO Pierce 24% 45% 25% 5% 1% - -
147 FLORES Theodore 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
149 OBRUBA Nathaniel 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
150 WANG Aiden 2% 22% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
151 HANNA Alexander 16% 42% 33% 9% 1% - -
152 JIANG Aaron 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
153 SUNKARA Vishnu 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
154 CHAWLA Aarav 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
155 LIU Ethan 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
156 FENG Xinmin 69% 27% 4% - - - -
157 KIM Jaewon 32% 45% 20% 3% - - -
158 KROPP Wesley 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
159 CHAMBERS Ryan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
160 WANG Marcus 11% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
161 KENDLER Micah 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
162 LAZURAN Daniel 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
163 OCONNOR Paul 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
164 CHAN Ryan 73% 24% 3% - - - -
165 BURHANAN Tangguh 62% 32% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.