Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
3 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
5 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 16%
6 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
7 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
8 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
9 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
10 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
11 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 17%
12 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
13 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
14 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
15 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
16 DAN Rex 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
17 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
18 ZHAO Zidong 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
19 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
20 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
21 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
22 DHAL Leon 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
23 KANG EUNWOO 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22% 2%
24 OSBORN Hunter 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
25 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 3%
26 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 4%
27 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 4%
28 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% -
29 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
30 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
31 SIEDOW William 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
32 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
33 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
34 HU Anton 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
35 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 2%
36 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 12%
37 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
38 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
39 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
40 ZHENG Jerry 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
41 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
42 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4% -
43 CHEN Bowen 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
44 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
45 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 11%
46 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
47 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
48 SONG Troy 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
49 LIU Bryan 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
50 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
51 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
52 PALIWODA Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
53 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
54 KE Sebastian 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
55 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
56 MEN Junda 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 2%
57 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 9%
58 LAM Alan 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
59 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
60 HERNANDEZ SANTIAGO 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14% 1%
61 HOLLIS Sean 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
62 CARNALL Hunter 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
63 FANG Hanning 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 47% 8%
64 SINGLETON Aman 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
65 CHHU Allen 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% < 1%
66 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
67 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
68 SERMONS Asa 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
69 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
70 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 11% 1%
71 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27% 3%
72 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
73 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
74 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
75 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
76 ZIEGLER John 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
77 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
78 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
79 PAL Ian K. 100% 91% 64% 31% 9% 1% -
80 PENG Yue 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
81 BUI Henry 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
82 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
83 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
84 LAPP Oliver 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
85 ALABI Tobi 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
86 TESFAYE Elias 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
87 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
88 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
89 GUO ZIXU 100% 99% 84% 48% 16% 2% -
90 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
91 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
92 BUI Ryan 100% 100% 92% 61% 20% 3% -
93 HUGHES Eamonn 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
94 REKHI Krish 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
95 YU Jason 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
96 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% 1% -
97 LEE JiYuen 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
98 MALHAM Andrew 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
99 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
99 EVANS George 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
101 MODANLOU Navid 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
102 HERNÁNDEZ Leandros 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
103 GONZALEZ Lucas 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
104 JIANG Matthew 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
105 YI Nathan 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 7% -
106 SUN Ethan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
107 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
108 KARIMOV Amir 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
109 MARTINEZ Gabriel 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
110 SODANI Luke 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% - -
111 KONG Brandon 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
112 MOORE Alexander 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
113 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
114 MARTINEZ Kenneth 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% - -
115 CHEN Jayden 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
116 NILSEN Mark 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
117 HAN Sam 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
118 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
119 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
120 MIDYANY Evan 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
121 XIONG Aaron 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
122 LIMA Cole 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
123 KIM Joshua 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
124 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% - -
125 AHN EZRA 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
125 YANG Gary 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
127 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
128 BO Genero 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
129 NOOL Alexander 100% 97% 71% 27% 5% - -
130 MACTOUGH Ben 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
131 FONG Henry 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
132 LIU Adam 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
133 LEE Anton 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
134 BENNETT Pierce 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
135 HOOD Emery 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
136 LIN Zizhen 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
137 NAEMI Barsam 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
138 HEITFIELD Markus 100% 96% 65% 23% 3% - -
139 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
140 WACK Logan 100% 98% 73% 30% 5% - -
141 DOAN Christopher 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
142 JIANG Harry 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
143 GUO Lucas 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
144 SHILOV Maxim 100% 98% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
145 BARKMAN Hudson 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
146 NGUYEN Noah 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
147 ZHAO Pierce 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
147 FLORES Theodore 100% 99% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
149 OBRUBA Nathaniel 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
150 WANG Aiden 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
151 HANNA Alexander 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% - -
152 JIANG Aaron 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
153 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
154 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
155 LIU Ethan 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
156 FENG Xinmin 100% 31% 4% - - - -
157 KIM Jaewon 100% 68% 23% 3% - - -
158 KROPP Wesley 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
159 CHAMBERS Ryan 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
160 WANG Marcus 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
161 KENDLER Micah 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
162 LAZURAN Daniel 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
163 OCONNOR Paul 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
164 CHAN Ryan 100% 27% 3% - - - -
165 BURHANAN Tangguh 100% 38% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.