Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
3 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
3 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
5 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
6 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 20% 3%
7 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
8 TANG William 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
9 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
10 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
11 WONG Chi Ho 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
12 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
13 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
14 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
15 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
16 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 99% 91% 59% 20% 2%
17 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
18 KIM Minjae 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
19 WANG owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
20 LI Yunji 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% -
21 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
22 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
23 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 1%
24 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
25 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
26 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
27 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
28 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
29 WANG Joey 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
30 ZHANG Joe 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
31 HINTON Evan 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
32 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
33 LI zerong 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
34 PRAKASH Hari 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
35 LIU Noah 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
36 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 91% 58% 19% 2%
37 CLAES Lucas 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
38 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
39 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
40 TIEN Jabin 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
41 LEE Jayden J. 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
42 DAO Alexander 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
43 LEE Damien 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
44 LIU Yueri 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
45 DONG Haiyi 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1%
46 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 90% 44% 10% 1% -
47 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
48 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
49 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
50 LI Ethan R. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
51 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
52 TAI Edison 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
53 WONG Baron 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 5% -
54 JU Hanul 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
55 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
56 DENISON Declan 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
57 NAEMI Barsam 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
58 GOROZA Eric 100% 92% 59% 16% 2% - -
59 KIM Alexander 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
60 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
61 BAKKEN Archer 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
62 HAN Wyatt 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
63 SIM Ian 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
64 KHALIL Younis 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
65 LAU Christian 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
66 FERDOWSIAN Samuel A 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
67 ZHAO Colin 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
68 BARRERA Nathanael 100% 36% 5% - - -
69 SHEN Jiayi 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% - -
70 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 100% 66% 20% 2% - - -
71 MA Ryan 100% 77% 30% 4% - - -
72 WU Johnny y. 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
73 RUDYK George 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
74 QIU William 100% 38% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.