American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DE LA CRUZ Jean Carlos 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
2 TONG Chihao 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
3 ROMANIAS William (Willy) E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 SPANO Gideon S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
5 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
6 JIN Owen 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
7 FERREIRA Noah J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
8 WU Jason 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
9 DYER Ian E. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 10% 1%
10 WIEDERHORN Ethan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
11 BREKHMAN Maxim 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
12 DOTSON Gus 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
13 PERSAUD Daivik 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
14 ATANASIO Joseph 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
15 RODELL Hunter C. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 13% 2%
16 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
17 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
18 GUMAGAY Paul 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
19 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
20 MANOUKIAN David 100% 97% 79% 47% 16% 2%
21 SAM Kory 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
22 LI Jeffrey 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
23 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
24 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
25 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
26 NOP Will H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
27 TASSART Alan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
28 GERSEN Jacob 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
29 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
30 LI Brian 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
31 GUI Runlin 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
32 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 26% 5%
33 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 11%
34 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
35 WU Joseph 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
36 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
37 MAGDA Daniel 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
38 SKIFFINGTON Sam 100% 94% 68% 28% 6% -
39 MAAS Sean H. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
40 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
41 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
42 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
43 HEKMAT Sina R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
44 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
45 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
46 STEFANOV Michael A. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
47 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
48 MACKINNON Russell H. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
49 JENNINGS Adin 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
50 HONG James 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
51 PEREZ Francisco 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
52 LESSER Jeremy 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
53 SUN Jason 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
54 WISNIEWSKI Bart 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
55 STALL-RYAN Jonathan 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
56 DOUGLAS Colin F. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
57 TATE Leon J. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% -
57 KATOPES Peter 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
59 FAN Russell 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
60 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
61 LIBERT Brian 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
62 CHEN Austin 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
63 WHITELOCK James R. 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
64 SUN Jeffery 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
65 KAPLAN Alejandro 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
66 MISHIMA Torata 100% 99% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
67 PARK Frederick 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
68 CONNORS Jacob 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
69 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
69 SHAO Haian 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.