American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
2 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
3 ANDREEV Arthur 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
3 KUMAR Anitya 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
5 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
6 DOSS David A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
7 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
8 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
9 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
9 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
11 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
12 JACKSON Anthony I. 100% 98% 80% 46% 16% 3% < 1%
13 BEDOR William J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
14 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
15 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
16 DE LA CRUZ Jean Carlos 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
17 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
18 STUSNICK Hunter 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
19 SAM Kory 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
20 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
21 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
22 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
23 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
24 MOYSE Alexander S. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
25 PHO Eric 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
26 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
27 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
28 ABDALLAH Ahmed 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
29 DIXON Samuel 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
30 ZHANG Matthew 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
31 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
32 KRONROD Tal 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
33 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
34 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
35 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
36 ZHANG YuJian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
37 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
38 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
38 FERREIRA Jeremy 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
40 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
41 LIBSON Tazman 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
42 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
43 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 1%
44 BEACH Nicholas 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
45 BREKHMAN Maxim 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
46 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
47 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
48 DIDASKALOU Ilias L. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
48 BHATNAGAR Nishay V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
48 GERSEN Jacob 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
51 SPANO Gideon S. 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
51 INFINITO Christopher E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
53 SHORT Salim (Sal) A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
54 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
55 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
56 STEVENS James F. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
57 MUNROE Shane 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
58 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
59 JIN Owen 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
60 LIU Jack 100% 96% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
61 GRILLO Niccolo (Nicco) 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
62 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
63 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
64 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
65 STOREY Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
66 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
67 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
68 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
69 MACKIN Samuel 100% 99% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
70 ROKOSNY Kyle 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 2%
71 HONG James 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
72 JIN Alexander 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
73 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
74 MOTIR Lucas D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
75 DYER Ian E. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
76 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
77 WISNIEWSKI Bart 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
78 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
79 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
80 PAK Charles 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
81 WU Joseph 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
82 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
83 BAKER Kevin G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
84 WILKINSON Derek H. 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
85 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 93% 46% 11% 1% - -
86 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
86 SKIFFINGTON Sam 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
88 DE CLERMONT Geo 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
89 LI Jeffrey 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
90 SIDDIQUI Humza K. 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
91 LI Brian 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
92 WANG Eric S 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
93 PARK Frederick 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
94 CHEN Austin 100% 60% 20% 3% - - -
95 KUMAR Aidan 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
96 GORTI Agustya 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
97 KHAN Raaid 100% 25% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.