American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JONES Simon A. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
2 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 ANDREEV Arthur - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 8%
3 KUMAR Anitya - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
5 SHENG Patrick Y. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
6 DOSS David A. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
7 SLAVINSKIY Alan - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
8 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
9 YU Colin - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
9 KANG Michael H. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
11 HOLTZ Donovan K. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
12 JACKSON Anthony I. 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% < 1%
13 BEDOR William J. - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
14 KIM Juni C. - - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
15 CHA Russell W. - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
16 DE LA CRUZ Jean Carlos - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
17 MCDERMOTT Brian - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
18 STUSNICK Hunter - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
19 SAM Kory - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
20 INSLER Gabriel C. - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
21 KAMBESELES Jack M. - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 9%
22 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
23 INSLER Ethan C. - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
24 MOYSE Alexander S. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
25 PHO Eric - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
26 ALFAIATE Lucas 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
27 LEE Timothy S. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
28 ABDALLAH Ahmed 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
29 DIXON Samuel 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
30 ZHANG Matthew 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
31 FELDMAN Jaemin - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
32 KRONROD Tal - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
33 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
34 BARREIRO Darren - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
35 ZHENG Hagen - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
36 ZHANG YuJian - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
37 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
38 TIRRELL Justin J. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
38 FERREIRA Jeremy 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
40 RHYU Kozmo - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
41 LIBSON Tazman 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
42 CHAWLA Armaan 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
43 MARCHANT Albert J. - 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
44 BEACH Nicholas 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
45 BREKHMAN Maxim 2% 14% 31% 31% 17% 4% -
46 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
47 SMITH Nicholas S. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
48 DIDASKALOU Ilias L. - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
48 BHATNAGAR Nishay V. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 14%
48 GERSEN Jacob 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
51 SPANO Gideon S. 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
51 INFINITO Christopher E. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
53 SHORT Salim (Sal) A. - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
54 BORATIN Daniel I. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
55 SHAH Maximilian A. 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
56 STEVENS James F. 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
57 MUNROE Shane 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
58 LONCAR Luka E. 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
59 JIN Owen 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
60 LIU Jack 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
61 GRILLO Niccolo (Nicco) 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
62 BINDAS Odinn A. 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
63 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
64 LANGTON Sawyer 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
65 STOREY Joseph P. - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
66 GOHEL Dayus T. - 5% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
67 TUCKER Owen J. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
68 SOOMRO Adam A. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
69 MACKIN Samuel 1% 11% 36% 35% 14% 3% -
70 ROKOSNY Kyle 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 2%
71 HONG James 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
72 JIN Alexander 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
73 RYAN Joshua P. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
74 MOTIR Lucas D. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
75 DYER Ian E. 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
76 MORSE Tyler - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
77 WISNIEWSKI Bart 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
78 GREGORY Abram - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
79 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
80 PAK Charles 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
81 WU Joseph 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
82 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
83 BAKER Kevin G. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
84 WILKINSON Derek H. - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
85 BHATNAGAR Ayan 7% 47% 35% 10% 1% - -
86 FENWICK Luke A. 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
86 SKIFFINGTON Sam 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
88 DE CLERMONT Geo 62% 32% 6% 1% - - -
89 LI Jeffrey 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
90 SIDDIQUI Humza K. 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
91 LI Brian 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
92 WANG Eric S 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
93 PARK Frederick 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
94 CHEN Austin 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
95 KUMAR Aidan 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
96 GORTI Agustya 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
97 KHAN Raaid 75% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.