Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 14%
2 HASSAN Mohamed H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 48%
3 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
5 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
6 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
7 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
8 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
9 LIN James G. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
10 CHEN Earnest P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 71%
11 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
12 LEE Chris 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
13 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
14 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
15 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
16 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
17 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
18 BING Charles 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
19 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 38%
20 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
21 GAO William 100% 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
22 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 8%
23 KENNARD M Henry B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 24%
24 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
25 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
25 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
27 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 98% 79% 28% 3%
28 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
29 SAMORA Jose G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
30 LIU Kovi 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
31 LEE Jacob 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
32 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
33 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% < 1%
34 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
35 PO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
36 HE Xiangrui 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
37 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 4%
37 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2%
39 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
40 GAO Payton 100% 54% 15% 2% < 1% - -
41 WANG mason 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
42 ZHEN Ethan 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
43 LANG Dong Lin 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
44 QIAN Jason H. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
45 HU Robin 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2%
45 PAN Henry 100% 97% 78% 36% 8% 1%
47 LI Eric 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
48 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
49 SONG Bryan 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
49 LI Arvin 100% 98% 80% 38% 6% -
51 MATSAKH Philip 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
52 HAN Changhee 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
53 TANG Albert 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
54 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 99% 77% 39% 12% 2% -
55 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
56 LI Matthew 100% 98% 78% 25% 3% -
56 SHEN jinjie 100% 90% 52% 14% 1% -
58 FINLEY Dylan 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
59 BADLANI Dev 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
60 XU Ethan 100% 92% 54% 17% 3% - -
61 MUNDAHL Brandon D. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
62 LEE Eugene 100% 84% 37% 7% 1% -
63 YULDASHEV Timur 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% -
64 TANG August L. 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% -
65 LU Howen 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
66 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3% -
67 WANG Winston 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
68 STURGIS Zachary C. 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
69 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
70 WANG Rory 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
71 HUANG Eythan 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
72 LANGEN Carter M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
73 LEE Jonah 100% 97% 75% 32% 4% -
74 SONG Noel 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% -
75 AMRANI David 100% 32% 3% - - -
76 YAO Bradley 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
77 LEVY Jacob 100% 99% 55% 16% 2% - -
78 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
79 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3% -
80 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
81 POPE Alexander 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
81 TANG xianchi 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
81 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 86% 30% 3% - -
84 GUO Justin 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
85 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
86 GALLER Dave 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% - -
87 YAP Nathan 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
88 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
89 MANLAPAZ Jan Vincent 100% 4% - - - - -
90 YANG Dylan 100% 13% 1% - - - -
91 GRANADOS Luis 100% 37% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.