Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, April 14, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 MAZUR Daniil V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.5 6 +0.5
2 MURPHY Thomas P. D V V V V V V V V V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
3 HRAPSKY Ryan J. V V V V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
3 MUNLIN Donovan V V V V V D V V V V D 4.9 5 +0.1
5 TABLEMAN Doug S. V V V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
6 SIVAKUMAR Ajit V V V V V D V V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
7 CLICK Aiden D V V D V V V V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
8 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. V D V D V V V V V D 5.4 4 -1.4
9 CHONG christopher V V V V V V V V D 4.6 6 +1.4
10 WIMMER Nathaniel P. V V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
10 LEE Samuel Y. V V V V V V V V D 4.1 6 +1.9
12 ZHANG Caden V V V D V D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
13 NORTH Gary S. D V V V V D V V D 5.7 4 -1.7
14 PAN Tristan V D V V D V V V D 2.1 4 +1.9
15 LEE JoonWon D V V V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
16 KIM Dylan J. D D D V V V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
17 SO Lorenzo V D V V V V V D 2.5 5 +2.5
18 CAO Albert V V V V V D V D 3.2 5 +1.8
19 LI Benjamin V V V V D V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
20 NORTH Alexander M. V V V D V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
21 JORDAN Anton V D D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
22 CHEN Brian D D V V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
23 BERNARD Jack B. V V D V D V D 1.7 3 +1.3
24 HANSEN Lars V D D D V V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
25 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert D D D V V V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
26 SNIDER Jeffrey H. V V D V D D V D 3.9 3 -0.9
27 WHEELER Daniel V V V D D D V D 3.9 3 -0.9
28 ROTHKA Spencer J. D V D V V D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
28 TUMIBAY Noah C. V V V D D D V D 3.8 3 -0.8
30 TIKHONOV Iliya V V D D V D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
31 PALAMARCHUK Matthew D D V V D D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
32 LEE Aiden D D D D V V V D 1.5 2 +0.5
33 LIN Harrison D V V V V V D 2.2 5 +2.8
34 PAN Colin V V V V D D D 2.7 4 +1.3
35 WAY Kashi M. V D D V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
36 SAKO Ayrton J. V D V V D D 2.4 3 +0.6
37 WOZNIAK Fryderyk D V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
38 GLENNON Sebastian J. D V D D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
39 CHEN Wesley V V D D D V D 4.2 3 -1.2
40 DISIMONE David Z. V V D V D D D 2.8 3 +0.2
41 KWOUN Miles S. D V D V V D D 2.5 3 +0.5
42 DICKENS Robert W. D D V V V D D 4.5 3 -1.5
43 CHRISTY Peter C. D D D V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
44 MEGGERS Davin D D V V D V D 1.6 3 +1.4
45 CARTER Austin L. V D D D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
46 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua V D D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
47 ZIMINSKY Karel M. D V V D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
48 STEPHENS Corbin V D D D D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
49 DUAN eric D V V D D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
50 LEONE III Charles D. V D D D D V D 3.1 2 -1.1
51 DOAN Joseph M. D D V D V D D 4.1 2 -2.1
51 HU Robert J. V V D D D D D 1.8 2 +0.2
53 TIRRELL Justin J. D V V D D D D 3.4 2 -1.4
54 HU Anton D V V D D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
55 ZHANG Sen V D D D D V D 1.5 2 +0.5
56 LAM Alan D D V D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
57 ILYAS Zakariya D D D D V D D 1.5 1 -0.5
58 TAMULONIS Fen C. D D D D V D D 2.6 1 -1.6
59 BUCCELLATO Joel S. D D D V D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
60 CARTY JR Johndale V D D D D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
61 AMOLSCH Dylan D D D D D V D 1.3 0 -1.3
62 GAUVEY Ken C. D D D D D D V D 1.7 0 -1.7
63 BANNEN Nicholas D D D D D D V D 1.3 0 -1.3
64 YAKIMENKO Andrei D D D D D D V D 3.0 0 -3.0
65 ANDERSON Donald D D D D V D D 0.4 1 +0.6
66 RUSSELL Tallis D D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
67 KANG JUNWOO D D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
68 FORAIDA Khalid D D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.