Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, April 14, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZUR Daniil - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
2 MURPHY Thomas P. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
3 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
3 MUNLIN Donovan - - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
5 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - 1% 6% 26% 45% 24%
6 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 1% 9% 32% 44% 13%
7 CLICK Aiden - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
8 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. - - - 1% 8% 38% 54%
9 CHONG christopher - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
10 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
10 LEE Samuel Y. - - 4% 19% 41% 31% 4%
12 ZHANG Caden - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
13 NORTH Gary S. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
14 PAN Tristan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
15 LEE JoonWon 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
16 KIM Dylan J. - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
17 SO Lorenzo 1% 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% -
18 CAO Albert - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8% 1%
19 LI Benjamin - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
20 NORTH Alexander M. - - 4% 19% 42% 36%
21 JORDAN Anton - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
22 CHEN Brian 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
23 BERNARD Jack B. 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
24 HANSEN Lars - 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
25 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 1% 14% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
26 SNIDER Jeffrey H. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
27 WHEELER Daniel - 1% 6% 26% 42% 23% 2%
28 ROTHKA Spencer J. 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
28 TUMIBAY Noah C. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 3%
30 TIKHONOV Iliya - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
31 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
32 LEE Aiden 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
33 LIN Harrison 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
34 PAN Colin 2% 12% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
35 WAY Kashi M. - - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
36 SAKO Ayrton J. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
37 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
38 GLENNON Sebastian J. 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 2% -
39 CHEN Wesley - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
40 DISIMONE David Z. - 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
41 KWOUN Miles S. 2% 15% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
42 DICKENS Robert W. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
43 CHRISTY Peter C. 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
44 MEGGERS Davin 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
45 CARTER Austin L. 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
46 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
47 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
48 STEPHENS Corbin - 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
49 DUAN eric 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
50 LEONE III Charles D. 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
51 DOAN Joseph M. - - 5% 21% 41% 27% 6%
51 HU Robert J. 9% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
53 TIRRELL Justin J. - 2% 14% 37% 35% 11% 1%
54 HU Anton 12% 54% 28% 5% - - -
55 ZHANG Sen 8% 44% 36% 11% 1% - -
56 LAM Alan 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
57 ILYAS Zakariya 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
58 TAMULONIS Fen C. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
59 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
60 CARTY JR Johndale 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
61 AMOLSCH Dylan 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
62 GAUVEY Ken C. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
63 BANNEN Nicholas 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% - -
64 YAKIMENKO Andrei 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
65 ANDERSON Donald 63% 32% 5% - - - -
66 RUSSELL Tallis 10% 44% 34% 10% 1% - -
67 KANG JUNWOO 69% 27% 3% - - - -
68 FORAIDA Khalid 72% 26% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.