Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | YAO Geoffrey B. | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 2 | GAO Chaney C. | V V V D V V | V V V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 3 | CHOI Kaiden I. | V D V V V | V V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 3 | FU Leon | V D V D V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 5 | ZHENG Haoran | V V V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 6 | KIM Nathan | V D V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 7 | KIM Ian | D D V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 8 | LU Ivan | D V D D V V | V V D | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| 9 | PAK Elliot | V V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 10 | DONAHUE Lake | D V V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 11 | MULCAHY Olaf | V V V V D V | V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 12 | MIAO Kunqi | V D V V V V | V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 13 | ERLIKHMAN Adrian | V D V V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 14 | KIM Sullivan | V V D V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 15 | DOWDELL Riley | D V D V D V | V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 16 | KIM Jayden | D V V D D D | V V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 17 | SEO Shawn | V V V V V | D | 2.3 | 5 | +2.7 |
| 18 | CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) | V V V V D D | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 19 | FAN Joshua | D V V D V V | D | 1.3 | 4 | +2.7 |
| 20 | CASTELLY Luke | V V D D V | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 21 | WANG Joey | D V D V D V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 22 | LIU Yikun | D V D V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 23 | FERRIERE Joshua | V V V D D D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 24 | DAVOODIAN Christopher | D V D V D | V D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 25 | LEE Damien | D V V D D | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 26 | KNUDSEN Travis | V D D D V | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 27 | LO Jake | D D V D V | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 28 | ZI QIN Shang | V D D D D V | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 29 | VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. | D V D V D D | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 30 | LIU Yueri | D D D D V D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 31 | TANG William | D D D D V D | V D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 32 | SHEN Jiayi | D D D D D | V D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 33 | LEE Jake (JiYuen) | V D V D D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 34 | OBERDERFER Vladimir | V V D V D D | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 35 | LEE Aidan | V V D V D D | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 36 | WANG owen | D V V D D | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 37 | LI Yunji | D D V D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 38 | JU Hanul | D V V D D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 39 | LIU Noah | D D D D V V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 40 | THOMAS Michael | V D D D V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 41 | GOROZA Eric | D D D V D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 42 | KIM Teddy | D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 43 | WU Johnny y. | D D D V D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 44 | LI Zerong | D D D V D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 45 | POSSON Luke | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 46 | CHEN Bailey | D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.