National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Foil

Wednesday, July 5, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Dongrong - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
2 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - 1% 6% 24% 46% 23%
3 KAO Castor T. - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 LEWIS Paul D. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
5 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
6 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
7 DESANDO Michael R. - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
8 JAIN Aditya - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
9 MIN Eric - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
10 LEE Chris - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
11 DESHMUKH Arjun - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
12 LIN James G. - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
13 ADLER David R. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
14 LIN Michael - 4% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
15 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
16 SHA Yi Peng - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
17 BURKE Spencer W. - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
18 SONG Leonardo T. - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
19 SONG Aiden S. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
20 DETERING Julian - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
21 GUTIERREZ Nikolai A. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
22 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
23 AHN Jun - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
24 LOVE Aaron 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
25 PO Oliver - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6%
26 MATSAKH Philip 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
27 JAUME Andrei 1% 6% 21% 34% 26% 10% 1%
28 OH SEAN - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
29 LI Arvin - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
30 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
31 KIM Jackson 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
32 DOCTOR Aidan L. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
33 KIM Ryan Y. - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
34 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
35 SEZER Kaya - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
36 JITTAN daniel - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
37 STRUGAR Marcus A. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
37 CANLAS Nathan - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
39 WANG Winston 3% 25% 41% 25% 6% -
40 JI Aidan Y. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
40 NGUYEN Martin 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
42 BELLUOMO David C. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
43 LE Jacob W. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
44 BALL James T. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
45 XIAO EDWARD - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
46 CHENG Nathan - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
47 LEE Jonah 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
48 KNIZHNIK David - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
49 DESAI Nalin H. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
50 QIAN Jason H. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
50 SICHITIU Alexander - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
52 YU Anders - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
53 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
54 SHAGIDANYAN German 3% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
55 SIMA Congyu Josh - 4% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
55 WU Alistair 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
57 CHENG Jonathan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
58 LEE Jacob 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
59 BARTEL Jacob L. - 5% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
60 LOCKWOOD Owen - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
60 GRANT Lachlan K. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 4%
62 MIALL Steven A. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
63 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
64 ACHILOV Sayid 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
65 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
66 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
67 WOO Christian - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
68 CO Dylan 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
69 BING Charles - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
69 WANG Mason 2% 13% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
71 PYO Michael M. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
72 GRISWOLD Abel B. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 2%
73 RUFFNER Blake W. - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
74 KEE Andrew L. - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
75 GAO William 1% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
76 SEAL Maximus R. 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
77 SAGE Michael P. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
78 DINSAY Kristjan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
79 WILLIAMS Connor J. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
80 ELKOUSY Laith H. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
81 BAE Kevin - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
82 JOSEPH Willem - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
83 ROSE Ben - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
84 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
85 OH Jaden 3% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
86 LLIDO Soren 2% 17% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
87 TSAO Lukas 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
88 LI Matthew 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
89 WONG Garrick G. - 2% 15% 39% 35% 9%
90 MOORE Jeremy S. - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
91 VALOUEV Aleksey - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
92 MCCOSH Evin M. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
93 LEE Eugene 28% 45% 22% 4% - -
94 KITAGAWA Eric S. 9% 30% 37% 19% 5% -
95 KLOTZ Isaiah 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
96 TIKHAEV Alexander 3% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
97 DOBBINS Evan W. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
97 HOBSON Aaron K. 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
99 LI Eric - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
100 GONG Benjamin - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
101 HOSKERI Anik S. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
102 SCHLESINGER Nathan - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
103 FINNEY Lorenz 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
103 WANG Brian 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
105 GUO Sean 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
106 KIM Daniel Y. 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
107 MAO Lucas 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
108 PAI Lakshan K. 4% 20% 34% 29% 11% 2%
109 DIERKS Kian - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
110 SUNG Chang-Han S. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
111 KRYLTSOV Michael - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
112 MORROW Brenden 8% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
113 TEMPLE Jackson - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
114 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
115 TANG Albert 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
116 RASMUSSEN Sage 3% 23% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
116 YAO Bradley 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
118 GRIFFIN John O. - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
119 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
120 KHER Roan 15% 38% 32% 13% 3% - -
120 HUANG Eythan 3% 25% 40% 24% 7% 1% -
122 WU Trevor 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
122 MCISAAC Finn 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
124 GOBBO Alexander 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
125 LONG Quinton R. - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 5%
125 FINLEY Dylan 4% 22% 36% 26% 10% 2% -
127 LING Eddie 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
128 CORTRIGHT Skipper 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
129 ANDRIC Borna 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
130 WILKINS Mateo 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
131 CAPRA Ethan 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
132 DRESSEL Jet 8% 26% 35% 22% 8% 1% -
133 EDWARDS Maxon 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
134 LEVY Jacob 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
135 MA Andrew 2% 20% 40% 30% 8% 1%
136 EDISON Ansel 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
137 SMITH Erick 6% 29% 41% 20% 4% -
137 KIM Adrian 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
139 ORLOV Dmitriy 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
140 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
141 PAN Henry 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
142 LAM Nicolas 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
143 QUINONES Diego A. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
144 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
144 GUO Justin 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
146 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
146 ANDERSON Jacob 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
148 PALMA Matthew Dominic 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
148 YAP Nathan 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
150 JIANG Bowang 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
151 TONKOVICH Ryan 25% 45% 24% 5% 1% - -
152 SANTIAGO Elias 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
153 TALASILA Arush 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
154 LIPPMAN Sam 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
155 LYNCH Owen C. 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
156 SINHA Verdhaan 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
157 SONG Austin 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
158 SETLUR Bhrugu 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
159 LI Avery Peihong 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
160 KLYCZEK Andrew 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
161 TANG August L. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
162 LIU William 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
163 CHEZ Nolan 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
164 JEFFERY Jakob 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
164 SURESH Rohan 68% 28% 4% - - - -
166 GORDON William L. 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
167 LEE Jayden 63% 31% 5% - - -
168 BAI Brian 64% 30% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.