Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 2, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CALDERON Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31% 5%
3 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 24%
3 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
5 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
6 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
7 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
8 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
9 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
10 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
11 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
12 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
13 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
14 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
15 YU Austin 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
16 FU Leon 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
17 MA Victor 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
18 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 9%
19 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 4%
20 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
21 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
22 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
23 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
24 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
25 KIM Sterling S. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
26 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
27 MIAO KUNQI 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1% -
28 LIPTON Jason S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
29 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
30 DOWDELL Riley 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
31 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
32 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
33 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
34 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 8%
35 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
36 KIM Ian 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
37 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
38 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
39 FANG Hanning 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
40 PAK Elliot 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
41 UVAROV Andrii 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
42 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
43 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
44 ZHUANG William 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2% -
45 TSANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
46 LIU Yikun 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
47 LEE Chun Po 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
48 GU Aidan 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
49 JU Hanul 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
50 MCADOO Declan 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
51 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
52 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
53 LIU Andrew 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
53 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
55 SPEICHER Brian E. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
56 GENCHEV Madav 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
57 LIU Yueri 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% - -
58 KIM Sullivan 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
59 PRAKASH Hari 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
60 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
61 LEE Damien 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
62 BUI James H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
63 ZHU Eric 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
64 SHEN Jiayi 100% 40% 6% - - - -
65 RUBIN Max 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
66 TONG Samuel 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
67 SPEICHER Eric V. 100% 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
68 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
69 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
70 CHIEN Zachary M. 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3%
71 ZONE Liam 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
72 LEE Bryson 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
73 MING Nathan 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
74 WILLIAMS Terrill D. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
75 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
76 PAN Tristan 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
77 MERRIAM Isaiah G. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
77 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 14%
79 SINHA Zaan 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
80 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
81 WAI Andreas 100% 88% 41% 10% 1% - -
82 MUNOZ Humberto 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
83 EVERS Gabriel 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
84 LI Ethan R. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
85 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
85 LI zerong 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% - -
87 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
88 CHIEN William 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
89 THOMAS Michael 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% - -
90 SIM Ian 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
91 DU Daniel 100% 83% 39% 10% 1% - -
92 FAN Beichen 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
93 BRAHMBHATT Krishna 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.