Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
3 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
5 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
6 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
7 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 22%
8 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
9 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 3%
10 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 16%
11 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
12 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
13 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
14 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 60%
15 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
16 LI Arvin 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 20% 2%
17 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
18 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
18 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% < 1%
20 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
21 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
21 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
23 GARCIA Sebastian R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
24 YOON Dylan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
25 HE Xiangrui 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 11%
26 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 5%
27 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32% 5%
28 GAO William 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
29 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
30 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 2%
31 SONG Noel 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
32 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
33 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
34 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 19% 1%
35 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 32% 4%
36 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10% 1%
37 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 96% 70% 27% 4%
38 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
39 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 100% 96% 63% 19% 2% -
40 WANG Mason 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 27% 4%
41 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
42 XU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
43 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 99% 90% 51% 14% 1%
44 LI Aaron 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12% 1%
44 GAO Payton 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
46 LEE Eugene 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
47 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
48 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
49 BRAIZINHA Thomas 100% 97% 62% 19% 2% - -
50 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 99% 78% 34% 6% - -
50 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 97% 68% 26% 5% - -
52 FENG Michael 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
53 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 3% -
54 LI Allen 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
55 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 98% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
56 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 92% 58% 17% 2% -
57 WUN Jonathan 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% - -
58 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
59 HOLCOMB Cedric 100% 97% 71% 29% 4% - -
60 LIU Derek 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
61 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
62 NICOLL William 100% 99% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
63 CHO Xzander 100% 99% 83% 44% 10% 1% -
64 BAI Brian 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
65 GUO Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 8%
66 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 94% 67% 23% 3% -
67 MAGALONG William 100% 95% 58% 18% 3% - -
68 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 96% 65% 22% 3% - -
69 NICOLL James 100% 98% 66% 18% 2% - -
69 LI Ayren 100% 100% 97% 67% 23% 3% -
69 TANG Terry 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% 1% -
72 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 99% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
73 YANG Dylan 100% 98% 74% 31% 5% - -
74 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2% -
75 TAM Kyle 100% 42% 6% - - -
76 LIGOS alex M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
77 JURMAN Therin 100% 95% 58% 16% 2% - -
78 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
79 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 71% 21% 3% - - -
80 XU Brian 100% 21% 2% - - - -
81 LAO Kevin 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
82 SABATINO Patrick 100% 58% 8% - - - -
83 WOODCOCK Henry 100% 97% 56% 12% 1% - -
84 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
85 SURESH Rohan 100% 81% 27% 4% - -
86 MCENTEE Owen 100% 30% 4% - - - -
87 CAZENEUVE Louis 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
88 BRATTAIN Trey 100% 14% 1% - - - -
89 GECKELER James 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
90 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 97% 63% 21% 3% - -
91 TESSMAN Henry 100% 22% 2% - - - -
92 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 33% 4% - - - -
92 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 29% 3% - - - -
92 CHAMORRO Ricardo 100% 87% 30% 5% - - -
95 BRENNAN Connor 100% 87% 45% 12% 2% - -
95 TRAUB William 100% 56% 6% - - - -
97 WILSON Eric 100% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.