December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
3 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
5 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
6 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
7 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
8 HAN Changhee 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
9 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
10 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
11 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
12 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33%
13 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
14 ORR Spencer 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
15 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
16 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
17 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
18 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
19 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
20 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
21 WANG Mason 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
22 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
23 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
24 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
25 PARK Jason B. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 12%
26 LIN Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
27 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
28 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
29 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24% 2%
30 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 4%
31 BLACK Zachary 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
32 WANG Winston 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
33 LING Eddie 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
34 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
35 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
36 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
37 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
38 MCISAAC Finn 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
39 LI Samuel 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
40 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
41 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
42 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
43 FENG Michael 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
44 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
45 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
46 LEE Eugene 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
47 SONG Austin 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
48 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
49 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
50 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
51 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
52 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
53 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
54 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
55 STRINGER David 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
56 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
57 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
58 KIM Minhyeok 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
59 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
60 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
61 MA Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
62 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
63 SHAO Eric 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
64 XU Ethan 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
65 SONG Noel 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
66 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 2%
67 MARTIN Darius 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
68 LI Matthew 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
69 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
70 LI Aaron 100% 100% 95% 66% 22% 2%
71 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
72 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% -
73 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
74 GUO Justin 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
75 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
76 PARK Rion 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
77 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
77 WU Trevor 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
79 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
80 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
80 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
82 ZHEN Ethan 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
83 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 5%
84 CHEN Hanson 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
85 MA Bryant 100% 100% 88% 47% 11% 1%
86 JIANG Bowang 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
87 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
88 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
89 LEVY Jacob 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1% -
90 BAI Brian 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% - -
91 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
91 DOELL Ethan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
93 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
94 CHO Xzander 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
95 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 3%
95 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
97 WANG Rory 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
98 CLARK Benjamin 100% 89% 50% 13% 2% - -
99 TANG Alexander L. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
100 TANG Albert 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 9%
101 TAN Aidan 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1%
102 WONG Antonio 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 3%
103 FEDELI Francesco 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% -
104 GUTH Joseph 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1%
105 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
106 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% -
107 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 87% 39% 8% 1% - -
108 KIM Brian 100% 100% 92% 54% 17% 3% -
109 WANG Brian 100% 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1%
110 CHANG Nathan 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
111 XIE Buster 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
112 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
113 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
114 CHUANG Oscar 100% 93% 65% 25% 5% - -
115 YANG Dylan 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
116 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
117 LE Jacob H. 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
118 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
119 HOLLIS Sean 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
120 MILLER Jordan 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
121 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 99% 86% 54% 18% 2%
122 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
123 JURMAN Therin 100% 97% 57% 18% 3% - -
124 EDISON Ansel 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
124 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
126 VADEN Oliver 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
127 SMOLICH Marat 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
128 YU William 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
129 PETROV Mikhail 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
130 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
131 BAE Eugene 100% 99% 79% 40% 11% 1%
132 BRAIZINHA Thomas 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
133 RAJ Jay 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
134 COSSROW Alex 100% 16% 1% - - -
135 HE Kyle 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
136 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 99% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
137 ZAIDI Adil 100% 94% 63% 21% 3% - -
138 MODADUGU Aryan 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
139 GUEVARA Isaac 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
140 MCKEE Calvin 100% 73% 19% 2% - - -
141 DHANOA Kian 100% 37% 5% - - - -
142 EGE Nathan 100% 16% 1% - - - -
143 WOODCOCK Henry 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
144 LIM Charlie 100% 83% 28% 4% - - -
145 POWELL Sean 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
145 KUE Temujin 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
147 SUN Ryan 100% 85% 48% 17% 3% - -
148 GRIEB Oliver 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
149 SEMP Iain 100% 95% 47% 10% 1% -
150 TAM Kyle 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
150 REAUME Nate 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
152 ZOU Michael 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
153 WANDJI Noah 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
153 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 48% 7% - - - -
155 MENDEZ Ren 100% 11% - - - -
156 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 92% 32% 5% - - -
157 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 36% 4% - - - -
157 PAN Ethan 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
159 ZHANG Lucas 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
160 CHUN Alexander 100% 2% - - - - -
160 CHUN Zachary 100% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.