March NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Monday, March 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUE Hongrui - - - - 1% 19% 80%
2 ZHENG Andy - - - - 2% 19% 79%
3 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - - 3% 25% 72%
3 CHEN Leonardo - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
5 SHAN Junzhe - - - - 2% 21% 77%
6 MAO Benjamin - - - 1% 14% 85%
7 BORISENKO Samuel - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
8 KUGLER Luke - - 4% 22% 50% 24%
9 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
10 MITEV Alexander - - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
11 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - - 1% 11% 44% 45%
12 HAMZA Tudor - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
13 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
14 PARKER Isaiah - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
15 RUBIN Daniel - - - 2% 21% 76%
16 NORMILE Nicholas - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
17 LAI Boden - - - - 3% 26% 70%
18 FRANGER Max - - 4% 20% 41% 29% 6%
18 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
20 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
20 GRAVES Lawson - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
22 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
23 LU Jacob - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
24 ZIEGLER John - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
25 WU Johnny y. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
26 BOUDREAUX James - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
27 XIA Dashan - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
28 LIU Yueri - - 3% 14% 38% 40% 5%
29 KIM Jayden - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
30 KIM Teddy - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
31 PARK Sangwook - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
32 GINZBURG Adam - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
33 CHOI Zachary - - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
34 TRULL A.J. - - - - 6% 32% 62%
35 HEADRICK Jack - - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
36 TAI Edison - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
37 WONG Baron - - 2% 11% 32% 42% 14%
38 ROBINSON Samuel - 2% 9% 27% 38% 22% 2%
39 HUANG Kenneth - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
40 YANG Gary - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 1%
41 NAEMI Barsam - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
42 MULDOON Thomas - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
43 LEE Inwoo - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
43 MORIN-JIANG Jake - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 16%
45 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
46 LOISEAU Oscar - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 2%
47 WU Steven 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
48 SHOUSHA Hamza - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
48 KIM Henry - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
50 SHIN Ryan - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
51 NILSEN Mark 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
52 LIU Adam - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
53 SHEN Jiayi 1% 12% 36% 39% 12% 1%
54 HERNDON Liam - - 2% 13% 36% 41% 7%
55 MIDYANY Evan - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
56 LI Yunji (Rain) - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 17%
57 SINGH Ravin - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
57 DONG Haiyi - - 3% 17% 38% 35% 7%
59 LAI QiYong - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
60 DOUBOV Andrew - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 5%
61 ZHANG Albert(Kwan Fei) - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
62 CLAES Thomas - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
63 MOORE Alexander - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
64 PAN Anthony - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
65 DOAN Christopher 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
66 GOROZA Eric - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
67 WANG Joey - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
68 ZHAI Junqi - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
69 YILMAZ Tarik - 5% 22% 40% 29% 3%
70 KIM Alexander - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
71 VYSOTSKIY Evan - 1% 8% 26% 40% 23% 3%
72 BAJAJ Nakul - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13% 2%
73 KIM Julian - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
74 LEE Aiden - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 4%
75 LEE Daniel 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
76 LIU Josh - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
76 CHEW Aedan 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
78 CHEN Ryan - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
79 GOWDA Suyog - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
80 WANG Kunqi - 3% 23% 40% 27% 7% 1%
81 MANA Arnav - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
82 LIGHT Luke 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
83 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
84 BO Genero 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
85 ZHANG Luqi 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
86 DECKER Hunter - 2% 16% 38% 35% 10%
87 SIEDOW William - 1% 10% 29% 39% 20% 2%
88 RONG Gordon - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
89 KROPP Wesley - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
90 SCHWITZER Eliot 1% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
91 HSU Joshua - 1% 10% 28% 38% 21% 3%
92 CZEPLA Andrew - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
93 CHA Patrick - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
94 LOUIE Joseph 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
95 WANG Devin 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
95 WANG aaron 1% 7% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
97 DENG haoyu 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
98 COSTANTINI DANG Anthony 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
99 VAN RIET Stefan 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
100 LIU Max 19% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
101 TU Jinqi - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
102 CHANG Matthew 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
103 GREENMAN Duke 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
104 MIDYANY Ryan 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
105 LI Timothy 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
106 SRIKANTH Hariharan 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
107 SHILOV Maxim 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
108 LUO Alexander 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
109 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 2% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
110 SOLARZ Arthur 3% 25% 41% 25% 6% 1%
111 XUE Michael 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
112 BARFORD Giovanni - 7% 31% 40% 19% 3%
113 GACIOCH Noah - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
114 QIAO James 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
115 LI zerong - 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
116 GUO Woody 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 5% -
117 CAFASSO Alexander 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
118 MA Ryan 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
119 MEHROTRA Neel 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
120 CHEN Christopher 27% 45% 22% 5% - - -
121 YAO Ryan 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
122 ENG Kyler 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
123 KATS Brandon 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
124 FU Adrian 5% 29% 42% 20% 3% -
125 SHI Jian-An 2% 19% 38% 29% 10% 2% -
126 DIETZ Adam 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
127 KIM Remington 6% 28% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
128 SUN Neo 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
129 LIU Zicheng 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
130 KIM Evan 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
131 DODIN Daniel M. - 3% 20% 40% 30% 7%
132 HEADRICK Liam 14% 37% 34% 13% 1% -
133 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
134 TANG Zheng - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
135 LEE Royce 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
136 YAO Tristan 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
137 FU Nolan 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
138 MARENCIK Miles - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
139 NAM Nathaniel 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
140 WANG Lucas - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9% -
141 JAIN Samyak - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
142 SINGLETON Aman - 3% 16% 40% 38% 3%
143 PATEL Krish 19% 51% 25% 5% - -
144 FAN Jordan 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
145 LEWIS Michael 3% 19% 38% 31% 8% -
146 VESELOV Artemis 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
147 MA Nolan 8% 34% 40% 16% 2% -
148 TANG Michael 2% 16% 35% 34% 12% 1%
149 SZCZAPA Lukas - 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
150 RUBIN Nathan 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
151 SUMA Marvin 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
151 WANG Jiacheng 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
153 RODOCANACHI Hector 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
154 SONG Aidan 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
155 LIU Andrew - 5% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1%
156 GADHVI Darius 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
157 SU Samuel 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
158 KLINKNER Richard - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
159 ROBERTS Arthur 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
160 HANTOV Adrian 4% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
161 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
162 MA Ciel 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
162 PISCITELLO Aleksandr 26% 49% 21% 3% - - -
164 DING Max 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
165 CALKINS Logan 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
166 SUN Marco 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
167 WU Nathan 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
168 WANG JIADUO 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
169 WU Matthew 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
170 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
171 MANA Sameer 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
172 MOU Jaydon 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
173 SHAFFER Tyler 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3% -
173 DILEEP Roshan 1% 10% 34% 37% 15% 3% -
175 ST CLAIR Soren 26% 54% 18% 2% - - -
175 FENG Xinmin 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
177 RONG Marcus 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
178 DEVINENI Avyang 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
179 MYRAH Devin 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
180 LI Sean 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
181 CHOI Aaron 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
182 WONG Vansen 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
183 GIORDANO Zach 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
184 DENG Destin 29% 46% 20% 4% - - -
185 HURLEY Michael 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
186 ARMSTRONG Payson 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
187 ZHANG Austin 3% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
188 KOLHE Tanish 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
188 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
190 LEE Joshua 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
191 QU RuiTing 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
191 LIU Austin 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1% -
193 DESMOND-CIESLOWSKI Oscar Desmond 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
194 TIEKING Noah 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
195 LIN Daniel 40% 45% 13% 1% - - -
196 DANILOV Artur 9% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
196 SOLOMON Aryeh 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
196 KURUGANTI Vivaan 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
199 STREAM Logan 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
200 BREILING Sebastian 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
201 GUPTA Hemansh 56% 37% 7% - - -
202 KIM Austin 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
203 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 8% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
204 CHEN Aiden 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
204 VOO Lucas 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
206 GUO Luke 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
207 ZHANG Shuhao 70% 26% 4% - - -
208 ZHAN ETHAN 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
209 JONES Gideon 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
210 BAUMAN Colin 39% 41% 16% 3% - -
210 WONG Alexander 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
212 YAO Aiden 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
212 LIU Xuyao 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
212 HUR Tyson 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
215 ZHANG Eric 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
215 LEE Davidson 53% 41% 6% - - - -
217 FILONOV Dennis 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
218 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 13% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.