March NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Monday, March 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
2 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
3 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
5 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
6 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
7 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
8 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 24%
9 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
10 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
11 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
12 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
13 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
14 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
15 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
16 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
17 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
18 FRANGER Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6%
18 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
20 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
20 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
22 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31%
23 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
24 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
25 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
26 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 27%
27 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
28 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 5%
29 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
30 KIM Teddy 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
31 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
32 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
33 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
34 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
35 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
36 TAI Edison 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
37 WONG Baron 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 14%
38 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 2%
39 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
40 YANG Gary 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
41 NAEMI Barsam 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
42 MULDOON Thomas 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
43 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
43 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
45 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
46 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22% 2%
47 WU Steven 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
48 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
48 KIM Henry 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
50 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
51 NILSEN Mark 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
52 LIU Adam 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
53 SHEN Jiayi 100% 99% 87% 51% 13% 1%
54 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 7%
55 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
56 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
57 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
57 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 7%
59 LAI QiYong 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
60 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
61 ZHANG Albert(Kwan Fei) 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
62 CLAES Thomas 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
63 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
64 PAN Anthony 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
65 DOAN Christopher 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
66 GOROZA Eric 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
67 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
68 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
69 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 3%
70 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 6%
71 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
72 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
73 KIM Julian 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
74 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
75 LEE Daniel 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
76 LIU Josh 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
76 CHEW Aedan 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
78 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
79 GOWDA Suyog 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
80 WANG Kunqi 100% 100% 97% 74% 34% 7% 1%
81 MANA Arnav 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
82 LIGHT Luke 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
83 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
84 BO Genero 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
85 ZHANG Luqi 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
86 DECKER Hunter 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
87 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 2%
88 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
89 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% -
90 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
91 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
92 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
93 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
94 LOUIE Joseph 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
95 WANG Devin 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
95 WANG aaron 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
97 DENG haoyu 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
98 COSTANTINI DANG Anthony 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
99 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
100 LIU Max 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
101 TU Jinqi 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
102 CHANG Matthew 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
103 GREENMAN Duke 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
104 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
105 LI Timothy 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
106 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
107 SHILOV Maxim 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
108 LUO Alexander 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
109 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
110 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1%
111 XUE Michael 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
112 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 100% 93% 62% 22% 3%
113 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 2%
114 QIAO James 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
115 LI zerong 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
116 GUO Woody 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
117 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
118 MA Ryan 100% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
119 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
120 CHEN Christopher 100% 73% 27% 5% 1% - -
121 YAO Ryan 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
122 ENG Kyler 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
123 KATS Brandon 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
124 FU Adrian 100% 95% 66% 24% 3% -
125 SHI Jian-An 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
126 DIETZ Adam 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
127 KIM Remington 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
128 SUN Neo 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
129 LIU Zicheng 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
130 KIM Evan 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
131 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 7%
132 HEADRICK Liam 100% 86% 49% 14% 1% -
133 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
134 TANG Zheng 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
135 LEE Royce 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
136 YAO Tristan 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
137 FU Nolan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
138 MARENCIK Miles 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
139 NAM Nathaniel 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
140 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% -
141 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
142 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 3%
143 PATEL Krish 100% 81% 30% 5% - -
144 FAN Jordan 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
145 LEWIS Michael 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% -
146 VESELOV Artemis 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
147 MA Nolan 100% 92% 58% 18% 2% -
148 TANG Michael 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1%
149 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 7% 1%
150 RUBIN Nathan 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
151 SUMA Marvin 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
151 WANG Jiacheng 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
153 RODOCANACHI Hector 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
154 SONG Aidan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
155 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
156 GADHVI Darius 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
157 SU Samuel 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
158 KLINKNER Richard 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
159 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
160 HANTOV Adrian 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
161 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
162 MA Ciel 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
162 PISCITELLO Aleksandr 100% 74% 24% 4% - - -
164 DING Max 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
165 CALKINS Logan 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
166 SUN Marco 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
167 WU Nathan 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
168 WANG JIADUO 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
169 WU Matthew 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
170 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
171 MANA Sameer 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
172 MOU Jaydon 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
173 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3% -
173 DILEEP Roshan 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
175 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 74% 20% 2% - - -
175 FENG Xinmin 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
177 RONG Marcus 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
178 DEVINENI Avyang 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
179 MYRAH Devin 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
180 LI Sean 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
181 CHOI Aaron 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
182 WONG Vansen 100% 89% 49% 15% 2% - -
183 GIORDANO Zach 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
184 DENG Destin 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
185 HURLEY Michael 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
186 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
187 ZHANG Austin 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
188 KOLHE Tanish 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
188 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
190 LEE Joshua 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
191 QU RuiTing 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
191 LIU Austin 100% 97% 77% 42% 12% 1% -
193 DESMOND-CIESLOWSKI Oscar Desmond 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
194 TIEKING Noah 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
195 LIN Daniel 100% 60% 15% 2% - - -
196 DANILOV Artur 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
196 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
196 KURUGANTI Vivaan 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
199 STREAM Logan 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
200 BREILING Sebastian 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
201 GUPTA Hemansh 100% 44% 7% - - -
202 KIM Austin 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
203 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
204 CHEN Aiden 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
204 VOO Lucas 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
206 GUO Luke 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
207 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 30% 4% - - -
208 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
209 JONES Gideon 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
210 BAUMAN Colin 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
210 WONG Alexander 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
212 YAO Aiden 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
212 LIU Xuyao 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
212 HUR Tyson 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
215 ZHANG Eric 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
215 LEE Davidson 100% 47% 7% - - - -
217 FILONOV Dennis 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
218 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.