Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, April 14, 2024 at 9:00 AM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
2 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
3 WICAS Graham E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
5 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
6 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
8 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
9 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
10 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
11 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
11 CAO Brad 100% 100% 97% 76% 34% 6% -
13 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
14 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
15 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
16 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
17 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
18 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 39%
19 SO Lorenzo 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% < 1%
20 MASON Alexander T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
21 KIM kihyeon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 31%
22 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
23 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
24 LAM Alan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
25 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 2%
26 MAROCHNIK Daniel 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
27 MATTO Edward J. 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 4%
28 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
29 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
30 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
31 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 14% 1%
32 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
33 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
34 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
35 LEE DoWon 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
36 SHA Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
36 BRAVO ORTEGA Estéfano 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
38 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 6%
39 MODANLOU Navid 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
40 SOKOL Luke 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 3% -
41 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
42 PENG Yue 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
43 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1%
44 CHENH Justin 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
45 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 88% 53% 16% 2% -
46 TATE William Isom 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
47 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 5%
48 LIN Harrison 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
49 GAMBINO Robert A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
50 HU Robert J. 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
51 ROBITZSKI David R. 100% 100% 98% 71% 29% 6% -
52 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
53 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15% 1%
54 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
55 USDIN Anton 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% -
56 ABBOUD Michael 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
57 NORWOOD Malik 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
58 LANGE Eric A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
58 ROBERT Oliver 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
60 EVANS Grant 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
61 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
62 GANESAN Mathavan 100% 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
63 KIM Joshua 100% 93% 62% 23% 5% - -
64 SLOTER Lewis E. 100% 97% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
65 HULL Liam 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
66 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
67 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
68 PAN Colin 100% 100% 98% 73% 30% 6% -
69 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 100% 97% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
70 WALLACE James 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
71 LEE Aiden 100% 95% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
72 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
73 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
74 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
75 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
76 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 100% 89% 49% 13% 1% -
77 WHEELER Andreas 100% 80% 31% 6% - - -
78 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
79 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
80 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
81 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
82 YI Nathan 100% 98% 65% 23% 4% - -
83 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
84 PANTALONE Giuseppe A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
85 YOO Dong Hun 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
86 FAICCO Joseph 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
87 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
88 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 92% 52% 15% 2% -
89 BUI Ryan 100% 36% 5% - - -
90 KONG Brandon 100% 72% 28% 5% 1% - -
91 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. 100% 97% 47% 10% 1% - -
92 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 73% 11% 1% - - -
92 WANG Kobe 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
94 REKHI Krish 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
95 VELLALA Avinash 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
96 MORET Eric N. 100% 98% 84% 44% 10% 1% -
97 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
98 KOOB Julian 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
99 COLETTA David 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
100 LIN Haley 100% 27% 3% - - - -
101 EVANS George 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
102 HU Alexander W. 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% -
103 ALI Farhan 100% 94% 55% 17% 2% - -
104 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
105 BJERKNESS Riley 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
106 KNIGHT Ryan 100% 36% 2% - - - -
106 LORENZ Nathan 100% 7% - - - - -
108 MACTOUGH Ben 100% 16% 1% - - - -
109 JIN Adam 100% 91% 55% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.