Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FISHMAN Rahm - - - 1% 7% 39% 53%
2 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
3 MITEV Alexander - - 1% 7% 31% 50% 12%
3 LAM Alan - - - - 7% 38% 54%
5 HEADRICK Jack - 1% 5% 20% 39% 31% 5%
6 BOUDREAUX James - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
7 KIM Henry - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
8 YANG Gary - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
9 WOLFE Alex - - - - 6% 32% 62%
10 DOUBOV Andrew - - 1% 11% 33% 40% 15%
11 PENG Yue - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 3%
12 LEE Anton - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 5%
13 MIDYANY Evan - - 3% 16% 39% 36% 6%
14 TIKHONOV Daniel - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
15 ZIEGLER John - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
16 CHEN Brian - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
17 TIKHONOV Ilia - - - 1% 7% 36% 57%
18 SINGLETON Aman - - 1% 5% 25% 50% 19%
18 CHEN Leonardo - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
20 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - - - 4% 29% 67%
21 ALI Farhan - 1% 6% 26% 45% 21%
22 NORMILE Nicholas - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
23 CHUNG Andrew - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
24 TRAN Spencer - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 6%
25 PETROW Zoryan - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
26 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
27 BORISENKO Samuel - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
27 EVANS George - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
29 LI Tristan - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 9%
29 VYSOTSKIY Evan - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
31 KIM Joshua - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
32 CHA Patrick - 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
33 GINZBURG Adam - - - - 5% 31% 63%
34 YU Austin - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 21%
35 CHEN Ryan - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
36 KABA Elias - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
37 MAO Benjamin - - - - 5% 30% 65%
38 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
39 SHOUSHA Hamza - - - 5% 27% 50% 18%
39 LIU Adam - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
41 YI Nathan - - 4% 20% 41% 29% 6%
42 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
43 TSE Kirby Zhiheng - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
44 JIANG Harry 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
45 LEE Aiden - - 3% 17% 44% 35%
46 LEE DoWon - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
47 SAUNIER Cameron - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 16%
48 RIGGINS Joshua - - - - 3% 24% 72%
49 RIM Eugene - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
50 CHEN Bowen - - 4% 17% 38% 35% 7%
51 MEHROTRA Neel - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
52 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
53 BRADSHAW Carter - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
54 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus - 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
55 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
56 ZHANG Jonathan 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
57 CHEN Isaac Zhi 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
58 RVACHEV Michael 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 6%
59 LEE Aiden - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
60 SINGH Ravin - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
61 ZHU Yiming 1% 10% 34% 38% 15% 2% -
62 GANTSOUDES Isaac - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
63 BAGDONAS Olivier 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
64 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
65 HSU Joshua - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
66 CHANEY Charles 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
67 AHMED Mohsen - - 1% 8% 31% 46% 14%
68 KROPP Wesley 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
69 HERNDON Liam - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 2%
70 WANG Jiacheng - 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% -
71 LUO Alexander 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
71 HE Yurui 1% 7% 23% 37% 25% 7% -
71 DONG Haiyi - - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
74 MALHAM Andrew 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
75 BAI Brian - 4% 24% 40% 26% 6% -
76 ZHANG Albert - 3% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
77 KIM Gene - - 4% 21% 42% 30% 4%
78 ARMSTRONG TyLee 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
79 HENNESSY Levon 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
80 CUMMINGS Owen - 7% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
81 TSIEN Richard 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
82 LIN Haley 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4% -
83 NOOL Alexander 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
84 CZEPLA Andrew 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% -
85 ARMSTRONG Payson 2% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1% -
86 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19% 2%
87 YU David 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
88 WANG Aiden - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
89 ZHANG Austin 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
90 LIDSKY Phineas - 1% 6% 21% 38% 28% 6%
91 KE Sebastian - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
92 TOWNSHEND Connor 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
93 RAMEY Daylon 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
94 ROBERTS Phoenix 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
94 MOU Jaydon 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
96 LEE Benjamin 2% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
97 DELONG Joshua 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
98 KONG Brandon - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
99 OZBAY Alp 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
100 SOLOMON Aryeh 13% 34% 33% 16% 3% - -
100 SZIEDE Kieran 1% 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
102 DAVIS Andrew 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
103 NG Nico 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
104 CHEN Tianjun 16% 38% 33% 11% 2% -
105 ADDYSON Aidan 6% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
106 CHEN Jayden - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
107 LEECH Braedan 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
108 WANG Marcus 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
109 CHO Alex - 3% 13% 29% 33% 17% 3%
110 TUMULA Arihaan 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
111 DONNELLY Enzo - 1% 8% 31% 43% 16% 1%
111 FOGEL Jake 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
113 LEE Henry 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
114 GAO Victor 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
115 HALE Bradley 25% 46% 24% 5% - - -
116 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
117 BENNETT Pierce 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
118 CHAWLA Aarav 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
119 HERDMAN Julian 1% 10% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
120 LORENZ Nathan 24% 47% 24% 5% - - -
121 CAFASSO Alexander 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
122 SUNKARA Vishnu 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
122 BAYUS Oliver 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
124 LI Ryan 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
125 MARKOWITZ Sam 2% 34% 41% 18% 4% - -
126 HANNA Alexander 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
127 GOODMAN Liam 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
128 JARRATT Isaac 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
129 MARIN Ayan N. 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
130 TSEN Mason 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
131 OLSON Joseph 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
132 SHAFFER Tyler 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 4% -
133 KIM Remington - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8% 1%
134 ROBERTS Arthur 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% - -
135 LIN ZIJIE 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
136 VENZON Gavin 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
137 SONG Ryan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
138 BO Genero 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
139 MAXWELL Sheito 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
140 HURLEY Michael 29% 50% 18% 2% - - -
141 PERI Mourya 14% 37% 34% 14% 2% - -
142 BEREKNYEI Lukas - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 3%
143 DANG William 3% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
144 GRIGGS Kaiden 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
145 LEE Carson 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
146 PENG Ethan 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
147 GATEWOOD Michael 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
148 SMOTHERS Nathan 27% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
149 ZHENG Jason 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
150 LEE Harrison 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
151 YAO Tristan 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
152 TSANG Aiden 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
152 CHEN Jayden 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
154 KARLEKAR Veer 9% 49% 33% 8% 1% - -
155 BROSNAN Solomon 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
156 YAZDANFAR Marius 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
157 SLAVIN Tamir 34% 47% 17% 2% - - -
157 GRANT Aidan 75% 23% 2% - - - -
157 REKHI Krish 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
160 HUANG Max 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
161 KIM Zac 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
162 WELCH Sebastian 85% 14% 1% - - - -
163 FENG Xinmin 39% 45% 14% 2% - - -
164 QI Bryan 43% 46% 11% 1% - - -
164 JUSTA Rivan 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
166 MACTOUGH Ben 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.