Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
2 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
3 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 12%
3 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
5 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 5%
6 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
7 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
8 YANG Gary 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
9 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
10 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
11 PENG Yue 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
12 LEE Anton 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 5%
13 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 6%
14 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
15 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
16 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
17 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
18 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 19%
18 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
20 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
21 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
22 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
23 CHUNG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
24 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
25 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
26 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
27 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
27 EVANS George 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
29 LI Tristan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
29 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
31 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
32 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
33 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
34 YU Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
35 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
36 KABA Elias 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
37 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
38 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
39 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 19%
39 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
41 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
42 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
43 TSE Kirby Zhiheng 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
44 JIANG Harry 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
45 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
46 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
47 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
48 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
49 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
50 CHEN Bowen 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
51 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
52 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
53 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
54 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
55 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
56 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
57 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
58 RVACHEV Michael 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
59 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
60 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
61 ZHU Yiming 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2% -
62 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
63 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
64 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
65 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
66 CHANEY Charles 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
67 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 14%
68 KROPP Wesley 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
69 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24% 2%
70 WANG Jiacheng 100% 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% -
71 LUO Alexander 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5% -
71 HE Yurui 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% -
71 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
74 MALHAM Andrew 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
75 BAI Brian 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
76 ZHANG Albert 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% 1%
77 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 4%
78 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
79 HENNESSY Levon 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
80 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% -
81 TSIEN Richard 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
82 LIN Haley 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
83 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
84 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
85 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 98% 84% 46% 12% 1% -
86 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20% 1%
87 YU David 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% - -
88 WANG Aiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
89 ZHANG Austin 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
90 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
91 KE Sebastian 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10% 1%
92 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
93 RAMEY Daylon 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
94 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
94 MOU Jaydon 100% 96% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
96 LEE Benjamin 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
97 DELONG Joshua 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
98 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
99 OZBAY Alp 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
100 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
100 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
102 DAVIS Andrew 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
103 NG Nico 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
104 CHEN Tianjun 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
105 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% - -
106 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
107 LEECH Braedan 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
108 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
109 CHO Alex 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
110 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
111 DONNELLY Enzo 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18% 2%
111 FOGEL Jake 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
113 LEE Henry 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
114 GAO Victor 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
115 HALE Bradley 100% 75% 30% 5% - - -
116 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
117 BENNETT Pierce 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
118 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
119 HERDMAN Julian 100% 99% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
120 LORENZ Nathan 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
121 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
122 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
122 BAYUS Oliver 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
124 LI Ryan 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
125 MARKOWITZ Sam 100% 98% 62% 21% 4% - -
126 HANNA Alexander 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
127 GOODMAN Liam 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
128 JARRATT Isaac 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
129 MARIN Ayan N. 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
130 TSEN Mason 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
131 OLSON Joseph 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
132 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4% -
133 KIM Remington 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
134 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
135 LIN ZIJIE 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
136 VENZON Gavin 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
137 SONG Ryan 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
138 BO Genero 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
139 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
140 HURLEY Michael 100% 72% 21% 3% - - -
141 PERI Mourya 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% - -
142 BEREKNYEI Lukas 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
143 DANG William 100% 97% 81% 44% 13% 1% -
144 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
145 LEE Carson 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
146 PENG Ethan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
147 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
148 SMOTHERS Nathan 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
149 ZHENG Jason 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
150 LEE Harrison 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
151 YAO Tristan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
152 TSANG Aiden 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
152 CHEN Jayden 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
154 KARLEKAR Veer 100% 91% 42% 9% 1% - -
155 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
156 YAZDANFAR Marius 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% - -
157 SLAVIN Tamir 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
157 GRANT Aidan 100% 25% 2% - - - -
157 REKHI Krish 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
160 HUANG Max 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
161 KIM Zac 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
162 WELCH Sebastian 100% 15% 1% - - - -
163 FENG Xinmin 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
164 QI Bryan 100% 54% 9% 1% - - -
164 JUSTA Rivan 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
166 MACTOUGH Ben 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.