March NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Simon - - - - - 1% 99%
2 WONG Baron - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
3 TAI Edison - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
3 LEE Royce - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
5 LEE Aiden - 1% 5% 16% 32% 33% 13%
5 SINGLETON Aman - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
7 KIM Henry - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
8 BOUDREAUX James - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
9 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - - 2% 20% 78%
10 LU Jacob - - - - 4% 28% 67%
11 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
12 PARKER Isaiah - - - - 4% 26% 70%
12 BORISENKO Samuel - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
14 TSE Maxwell - - 2% 15% 48% 36%
15 NAEMI Barsam - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
16 YI Nathan - - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
17 HU Lucas - - - 5% 29% 66%
18 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - - - 5% 31% 63%
19 WU Steven - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
19 WANG Joey - - - - 2% 23% 75%
21 LIDSKY Phineas - - - 3% 21% 47% 28%
22 YANG Gary - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
23 XIA Dashan - - - - 2% 20% 78%
24 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
25 ROBINSON Samuel - - - - 6% 32% 62%
26 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 1% 7% 36% 57%
27 NORMILE Nicholas - - - - 5% 36% 58%
28 CHEN Jayden - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
29 BAGDONAS Olivier 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
30 CHEN Ryan - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 14%
31 KOFMAN David - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
32 CHEN Isaac Zhi 4% 23% 41% 27% 6% -
33 PARK Sangwook - - - - 4% 29% 66%
34 TARCHICHI Robby - - - 3% 22% 55% 20%
35 LIU Zicheng (Andy) - - 5% 24% 49% 22%
36 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
37 LEE DoWon - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 23%
38 WU Matthew - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
39 KIM Julian - - 2% 14% 37% 39% 7%
40 DONG Haiyi(Leo) - - - 3% 19% 47% 32%
41 MOORE Alexander - 2% 12% 35% 37% 13% 1%
43 FU Nolan - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28% -
44 ZHANG James - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
45 MEHROTRA Neel - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
46 ZHANG Luqi - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
47 TOWNSHEND Connor - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11% 1%
48 AHMED Mohsen - - 1% 7% 38% 54%
49 LOUIE Joseph - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
50 LOISEAU Oscar - - 3% 17% 45% 36%
51 GUO Woody - 2% 12% 35% 41% 11%
52 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
53 LIU Josh - 3% 19% 45% 28% 5%
54 HERNDON Liam - - 1% 6% 25% 46% 24%
55 TRAN Spencer - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
56 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
57 SOLARZ Arthur - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
58 MIDYANY Evan - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
58 WANG Jason - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
60 AYOTTE James - - 1% 9% 32% 45% 13%
61 MARTISEK Martin - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
62 CHO Alex - 2% 13% 38% 37% 11%
63 FONG Kobe - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8% -
64 HEADRICK Jack - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
65 HUANG Kenneth - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
66 CHA Patrick - - 5% 27% 44% 22%
67 DU Evan - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
68 LEE Anton - 1% 5% 19% 38% 32% 6%
69 SHCHUR Grayson - - 1% 9% 33% 44% 13%
70 WU Johnny y. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
71 GOODMAN Liam 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
72 SHIM Jae - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 2%
73 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 7%
74 DANILOV Artur 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
75 WANG Devin - - 4% 19% 37% 32% 8%
76 HERDMAN Julian - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
77 LUO Alexander - 1% 5% 22% 40% 29% 3%
78 MARENCIK Miles - 2% 10% 28% 40% 20%
79 NG Nico 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
80 KIM Remington 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
81 ZHANG Marcus 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
82 RUBIN Nathan 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
83 HU HAOYUE - - 3% 18% 47% 31%
84 CUELLAR Markus 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
85 YAO Tristan 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
86 LIU Adam - - - 2% 11% 37% 51%
87 GACIOCH Noah - 1% 7% 26% 42% 22% 3%
88 HSU Joshua - - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10%
89 LI Grayson 1% 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
90 ADDYSON Aidan - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
91 SOLOMON Aryeh 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
92 CHEN Tianjun 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
93 KIM Ian - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
94 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
95 WONG Aaron 4% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
95 XUE Michael - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 3%
97 SCHWITZER Eliot 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
98 MOSLEY Wally - 4% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
99 KROPP Wesley - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
100 HUANG Max 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
101 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
102 CHANEY Charles 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
103 MOSTOVOY philip - 2% 13% 37% 39% 10%
104 KABA Elias - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
105 MANSFIELD Hunter 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
105 GATEWOOD Michael 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
107 SHI Jian-An 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
108 ZHU Eason 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
109 WANG Marcus - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
110 MIDYANY Ryan - - 6% 25% 43% 22% 3%
111 KIM Gene - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
112 DILEEP Roshan 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
113 RONG Gordon - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
114 RODOCANACHI Hector - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
115 WANG HANZHANG 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
116 SUMA Marvin - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
117 BANG Dylan 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
118 BRESLAV Asher 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
119 WONG Alexander 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
120 SONG Aidan 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
121 HAN Keyi 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
122 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. - 6% 23% 38% 27% 6% -
123 DENG haoyu - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
124 YAO Ryan 3% 19% 39% 31% 7% -
125 DENG Destin 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
126 WANG-SONG Evan - 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
127 LI Timothy 3% 19% 40% 30% 7% -
128 MIKHAIL Lucas 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
129 MORIN-JIANG Jake - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
130 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - 1% 6% 24% 44% 27%
131 WANG aaron - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
132 DURKIN Hudson - 1% 6% 22% 38% 29% 5%
133 LEE Damien - - 5% 24% 47% 23%
134 MILINKOVIC Maksim 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 2%
135 SU Samuel - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
136 CHANG Matthew - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 2%
137 MA YIXING (Tiger) - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
138 MA Nolan - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14% 1%
139 ZHENG Jason 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
140 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
141 DAI Jason 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
141 WHITE Ryden - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
141 SZCZAPA Lukas - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
144 KATS Brandon - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1%
145 SI Anderson 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
146 NOOL Alexander - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
147 VYSOTSKIY Evan - - 5% 26% 45% 23%
148 PARKE Nathaniel 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
149 KARLEKAR Veer 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
150 LIU Austin 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
151 LEE Leo 14% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
152 LIN Jason 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
153 TANG Michael 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
154 ADDLEMAN Joshua - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
155 PERRY Noah 20% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
156 DODIN Daniel M. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
156 ZHANG Austin 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
158 ZHANG Jonathan 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
159 CAFASSO Alexander - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1%
160 TANG Colin 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 1%
161 KROTZ Nicolas 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
162 WANG Eason 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
163 LIU Xuyao - 7% 26% 38% 24% 5% -
164 MOU Jaydon - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
164 MA Joseph 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
166 ROBINSON Garrett 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
167 SHAFFER Tyler 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
168 LIN ZIJIE - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
169 LEE Lucas 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
170 BUHLER Isaac 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
171 GAO Ryan 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
172 YU David 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
173 BORAN Brooks 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
174 FRIZZELL Kai 3% 19% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
175 MASKIN Mikhail 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
176 MA Ryan - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8% 1%
177 MYRAH Devin 1% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1% -
179 MODI Rohan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
180 LIANG Donny - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
181 WU Jiachen 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
182 KOU Mason 1% 15% 39% 34% 10% 1% -
183 LIN John 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
184 SCHIPPER Johann 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
185 CAMPOS Sebastian 11% 37% 37% 14% 2% -
186 WANG Lucas 2% 16% 38% 34% 9% 1%
187 JIANG Harry 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
188 WONG Vansen 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
189 LEE Harrison 3% 20% 39% 29% 7% 1%
190 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
190 ZENG Oliver 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
192 DING Max 7% 31% 40% 19% 3% -
193 SHAPIRO Samuel 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
194 TUMULA Arihaan 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
195 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
196 ROBERTS Arthur 2% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1% -
196 CHEN Jayden A 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% - -
198 ST CLAIR Soren 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
199 KIM Doyun 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
200 ZHAN ETHAN 24% 46% 24% 5% - - -
201 WU MiEr 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
201 THOMAS Ethan - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
203 LEE Daniel 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
204 CHIANG William 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
205 DANG William - 7% 28% 40% 20% 4% -
206 KHAVKIN Alexander 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
206 JERDEE Colton 6% 31% 39% 20% 4% - -
208 YANG Ethan - - 2% 12% 35% 41% 11%
209 OLSON Joseph 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
209 OLIVAS Joseph 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
211 YUE Bryan 13% 39% 37% 11% 1% -
211 BAI Alex 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
213 RONG Marcus 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
214 CAMP William 3% 22% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
215 TUBALTSEV Evan - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
216 NARAYANUN Advay 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
216 LI Vance 10% 40% 36% 12% 1% - -
218 YAO Aiden 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
219 SHAO Mason 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
219 YOO Lucas 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
221 LU Ian 1% 12% 36% 36% 12% 1% -
222 SHOURIE Neel 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1% -
222 KNYSH IURII 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
224 FEELY Benjamin 8% 37% 39% 14% 2% - -
225 STREETER Oliver 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
226 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
226 YU Brandon 17% 42% 32% 8% 1% -
228 HUA Nolan 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
229 CARCELLER Jeremias 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% - -
230 RODIC Milan 4% 23% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
231 YIN Justin 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
232 STRAFFORD Andrew 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
233 WALD Holden 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
234 WILKERSON Tobias 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
235 BHANDARE Veer 12% 39% 35% 12% 2% -
236 THOMAS Andrew 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
237 HWANG Matthew 5% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
238 LIN Bryan 6% 25% 36% 25% 8% 1%
239 LUO Alvin Y. 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
240 JEONG Arisu - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
241 GU Eric 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
242 VEERAVALLI Pranav 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
242 JU Shang 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
242 MCGRATH Hogan 5% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1%
245 QI Bryan 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
246 PARK Sean 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
247 WU Allen 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
248 LIN Daniel 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
249 JONES Gideon 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
250 HANTOV Adrian 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
251 TOPRANI Valmik 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
252 ENG Kyler 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
252 DEFFENBAUGH Vasily 1% 12% 32% 37% 15% 2% -
252 LIU Andrew 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
255 WELCH Sebastian 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
256 PUTHOFF Henry 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
257 ZHANG Shuhao 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
258 WU Nathan 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
259 HEADRICK Liam 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
260 LAI Jayden 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
261 WU James 24% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
262 ARMSTRONG Payson 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
262 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
264 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
265 DATSON David 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
266 MAZAHERI Theodore 5% 31% 39% 20% 4% - -
267 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
268 CHEN Christopher 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
268 KUYKENDALL Lucas 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
270 BOBORIS Dimitrios 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
270 SLAVIN Tamir 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
272 KESELMAN Ron 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
273 TANG Zheng 4% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
274 DISPENZA Jayan 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
275 KICIMAN Louis 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
276 LEE Joshua 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
277 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
278 SHI Zhicheng 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
279 CHEN Aiden 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
279 SHOURIE Seth 26% 45% 24% 4% - -
281 KUYKENDALL Logan 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
282 TALATAM Arnav 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
283 ABRAHAM Aaron 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
284 WEI Noah 3% 17% 39% 33% 9% -
285 GARIKIPATI Tharan 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
286 ZHAO Brandon 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
287 PARRA Lucas 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
287 VANDERMEER Joshua 41% 43% 15% 2% - -
289 ZHANG Aiden 7% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
290 KO Ethan 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
291 SATHYAN Dev 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
291 ELLIS, IV Floyd 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
293 LEE Davidson 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
294 ZHAO Luke 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
294 LEE James K. 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
296 LIU Yihong 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
297 NOOL Aaron 6% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
297 LIN Edison 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
299 MAZEL Antonin 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
300 MUELLER Travis 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
301 DE LOS REYES Noah 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
302 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.