March NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
2 WONG Baron 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 LEE Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
5 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
5 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
7 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
8 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
9 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
10 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
11 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
12 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
12 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
14 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
15 NAEMI Barsam 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
16 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 32%
17 HU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
18 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
19 WU Steven 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
19 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
21 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 28%
22 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
23 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
24 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
25 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
26 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
27 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
28 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
29 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
30 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
31 KOFMAN David 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
32 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% -
33 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
34 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 20%
35 LIU Zicheng (Andy) 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 22%
36 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
37 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
38 WU Matthew 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
39 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 47% 7%
40 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
41 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 1%
43 FU Nolan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28% -
44 ZHANG James 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
45 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
46 ZHANG Luqi 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 14% 1%
47 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
48 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
49 LOUIE Joseph 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
50 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
51 GUO Woody 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
52 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
53 LIU Josh 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 5%
54 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
55 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
56 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
57 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
58 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
58 WANG Jason 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
60 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 13%
61 MARTISEK Martin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
62 CHO Alex 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 11%
63 FONG Kobe 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8% -
64 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
65 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
66 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
67 DU Evan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
68 LEE Anton 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 6%
69 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13%
70 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
71 GOODMAN Liam 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
72 SHIM Jae 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 2%
73 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 41% 7%
74 DANILOV Artur 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
75 WANG Devin 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
76 HERDMAN Julian 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 16% 2%
77 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 3%
78 MARENCIK Miles 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
79 NG Nico 100% 97% 78% 40% 9% 1%
80 KIM Remington 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
81 ZHANG Marcus 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
82 RUBIN Nathan 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% -
83 HU HAOYUE 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
84 CUELLAR Markus 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
85 YAO Tristan 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
86 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
87 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 3%
88 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
89 LI Grayson 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
90 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
91 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
92 CHEN Tianjun 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
93 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
94 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
95 WONG Aaron 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
95 XUE Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 3%
97 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
98 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
99 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
100 HUANG Max 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
101 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
102 CHANEY Charles 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
103 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
104 KABA Elias 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
105 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
105 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
107 SHI Jian-An 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
109 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
110 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 3%
111 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
112 DILEEP Roshan 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
113 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
114 RODOCANACHI Hector 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
115 WANG HANZHANG 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
116 SUMA Marvin 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
117 BANG Dylan 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
118 BRESLAV Asher 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
119 WONG Alexander 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
120 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
121 HAN Keyi 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
122 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6% -
123 DENG haoyu 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
124 YAO Ryan 100% 97% 78% 39% 8% -
125 DENG Destin 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
126 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
127 LI Timothy 100% 97% 78% 38% 7% -
128 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
129 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
130 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
131 WANG aaron 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
132 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 5%
133 LEE Damien 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 23%
134 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 2%
135 SU Samuel 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
136 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 2%
137 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
138 MA Nolan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 1%
139 ZHENG Jason 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
140 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
141 DAI Jason 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
141 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
141 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
144 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 1%
145 SI Anderson 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 4% -
146 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
147 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 23%
148 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
149 KARLEKAR Veer 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
150 LIU Austin 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
151 LEE Leo 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
152 LIN Jason 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
153 TANG Michael 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
154 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
155 PERRY Noah 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
156 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
156 ZHANG Austin 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
158 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
159 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% 1%
160 TANG Colin 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 1%
161 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
162 WANG Eason 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
163 LIU Xuyao 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5% -
164 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
164 MA Joseph 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
166 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2% -
167 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
168 LIN ZIJIE 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
169 LEE Lucas 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
170 BUHLER Isaac 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
171 GAO Ryan 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
172 YU David 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
173 BORAN Brooks 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
174 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
175 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
176 MA Ryan 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8% 1%
177 MYRAH Devin 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2% -
179 MODI Rohan 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
180 LIANG Donny 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
181 WU Jiachen 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
182 KOU Mason 100% 99% 84% 45% 11% 1% -
183 LIN John 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4% -
184 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
185 CAMPOS Sebastian 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
186 WANG Lucas 100% 98% 82% 44% 10% 1%
187 JIANG Harry 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% -
188 WONG Vansen 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
189 LEE Harrison 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1%
190 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
190 ZENG Oliver 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
192 DING Max 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
193 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
194 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
195 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
196 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1% -
196 CHEN Jayden A 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% - -
198 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
199 KIM Doyun 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
200 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 76% 30% 5% - - -
201 WU MiEr 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
201 THOMAS Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
203 LEE Daniel 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
204 CHIANG William 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
205 DANG William 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
206 KHAVKIN Alexander 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
206 JERDEE Colton 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% - -
208 YANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 11%
209 OLSON Joseph 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
209 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1% -
211 YUE Bryan 100% 87% 48% 12% 1% -
211 BAI Alex 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
213 RONG Marcus 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
214 CAMP William 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% 1% -
215 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
216 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
216 LI Vance 100% 90% 49% 13% 1% - -
218 YAO Aiden 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
219 SHAO Mason 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
219 YOO Lucas 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3% -
221 LU Ian 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2% -
222 SHOURIE Neel 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
222 KNYSH IURII 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
224 FEELY Benjamin 100% 92% 55% 17% 2% - -
225 STREETER Oliver 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
226 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
226 YU Brandon 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
228 HUA Nolan 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
229 CARCELLER Jeremias 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
230 RODIC Milan 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
231 YIN Justin 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
232 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
233 WALD Holden 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1% -
234 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
235 BHANDARE Veer 100% 88% 48% 13% 2% -
236 THOMAS Andrew 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
237 HWANG Matthew 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
238 LIN Bryan 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
239 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
240 JEONG Arisu 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
241 GU Eric 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
242 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
242 JU Shang 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
242 MCGRATH Hogan 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
245 QI Bryan 100% 51% 12% 1% -
246 PARK Sean 100% 60% 18% 2% - -
247 WU Allen 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3% -
248 LIN Daniel 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
249 JONES Gideon 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
250 HANTOV Adrian 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
251 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
252 ENG Kyler 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
252 DEFFENBAUGH Vasily 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
252 LIU Andrew 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
255 WELCH Sebastian 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
256 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
257 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
258 WU Nathan 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
259 HEADRICK Liam 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
260 LAI Jayden 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
261 WU James 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
262 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
262 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
264 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
265 DATSON David 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
266 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% - -
267 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
268 CHEN Christopher 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
268 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
270 BOBORIS Dimitrios 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
270 SLAVIN Tamir 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
272 KESELMAN Ron 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
273 TANG Zheng 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
274 DISPENZA Jayan 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
275 KICIMAN Louis 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
276 LEE Joshua 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
277 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 89% 49% 13% 1%
278 SHI Zhicheng 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
279 CHEN Aiden 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
279 SHOURIE Seth 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
281 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
282 TALATAM Arnav 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
283 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
284 WEI Noah 100% 97% 80% 41% 9% -
285 GARIKIPATI Tharan 100% 96% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
286 ZHAO Brandon 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
287 PARRA Lucas 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
287 VANDERMEER Joshua 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
289 ZHANG Aiden 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
290 KO Ethan 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
291 SATHYAN Dev 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
291 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
293 LEE Davidson 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
294 ZHAO Luke 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
294 LEE James K. 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
296 LIU Yihong 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
297 NOOL Aaron 100% 94% 60% 22% 5% - -
297 LIN Edison 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% - -
299 MAZEL Antonin 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
300 MUELLER Travis 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
301 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
302 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.