National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | LIU Niles J. | D V V V V V | V V V V V V V | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
2 | HELTON Noah | V V V V V | V V V V V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
3 | VITI Mark G. | V V V V V V | V V V V V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
3 | XIAO Ethan J. | V V V V V V | V V V V V D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
5 | ZHANG Daniel D. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
6 | CHOUN Minwook (Sam) | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
7 | GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. | V V V V D V | V V V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
8 | TUMMINGS C.J. | V D V D V | V V V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
9 | UM Ethan A. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
10 | LIN Richard W. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
11 | YU Vinni | D V V V V V | V V V D | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
12 | MORAIS Paulo | V V D V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
13 | REALS Alden D. | V D V V V V | V V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
14 | HUTH Jacob | V V V V D D | V V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
15 | BRUK Peter J. | V V D D V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
16 | ZHANG Yun Isaac | D V V D D V | V V V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
17 | DESERANNO Jeidus | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
18 | RINEHART Conner M. | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
19 | LIMA Kevin M. | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
20 | ZHANG Henry C. | V V V V V D | V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
21 | WALTER Evran M. | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
22 | FOGELSON Frederick J. | V D V V V V | V V D | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
23 | VASILIEV Sacha M. | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
24 | LOCKWOOD Owen | V V V D V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
24 | JANG Jaewon | D V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
26 | XIAO Enoch A. | V V D D V V | V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
27 | PELOSKY Zack B. | V V V D D V | V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
28 | GEE Brandon | V V V D D V | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
29 | CHEN Andrew | V D V D V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
30 | MARX Oscar L. | V V D D V | V V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
31 | KWON Ethan | D D V V D D | V V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
32 | PAE Brian L. | V D V D D D | V V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
33 | SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. | V V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
34 | CHOY Lucas B. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
35 | ZHANG Andy W. | V V V V V | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
36 | JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) | V V V D V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
37 | MA Alexander | V D V V V V | V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
38 | CHENG Jonathan | D V V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
39 | MCCORD Clark | V D V V V V | V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
40 | BREIER Matthew F. | D V V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
41 | SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. | D V V V V V | V D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
42 | HUTH Mitchell | D V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
43 | LI Jiaan | D V V V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
44 | BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. | V V D V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
45 | MUSHA John M. | D V V V V D | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
45 | DOCTOR Aidan L. | V V D D V V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
47 | CHAN Tyler | V D D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
48 | YEROKHIN Michael N. | D V V V D V | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
49 | PAULSON Connor M. | D D V V V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
50 | MURRAY Maximo | V D V V D V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
51 | CHEN Allen | V D V V D V | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
52 | GRIFFITH JACK | D V V V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
53 | BAS Liam | V V D V D D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
54 | BAE Kevin | D D V V V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
55 | PAE Jonathan L. | V V V D D D | V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
56 | MCCLAIN Bryce C. | D V D D V V | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
57 | BAE Junnie | D D V V V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
58 | MION Lorenzo | D V V V D D | V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
59 | FURST Matthew C. | D V V D D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
60 | REZNICK Nicholas J. | V V D D V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
62 | KITAGAWA Eric S. | V D D V D D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
63 | WILLIAMS Connor J. | V V D D D D | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
64 | GATZA Logan | D D D V D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
65 | FEDONCHIK Henry J. | D V V V V V | D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
66 | GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas | V V V D D V | D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
67 | GOLDER Will W. | D V V V D V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
68 | LI Yulei | V V V D V D | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
69 | ZELTSER Lawrence M. | D V D V V V | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
70 | ALONSOZANA Luke | D V V V D | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
71 | GU Jeffrey | V V D D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
72 | IVARSSON Oliver | D D V V D V | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
73 | GRISWOLD Abel B. | V V D V D D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
74 | WEINKOPF William O. | D D V V V D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
75 | PYO Michael M. | V V D D V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
76 | ZHAO Jason L. | V V D D D V | D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
77 | GALLUCCI Charles John | V D D V V D | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
78 | FU Yifan | V D D V D V | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
79 | WEN George C. | V D D D V V | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
80 | TIAN Aaron C. | V D D D V V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
81 | GERVAIS Joel | V D V D D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
82 | SMITH V Edward (Quin) A. | D D D V V | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 | |
82 | ZHAO Jesse | V D V D D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
84 | GISLER Benjamin B. | D D V D V | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
85 | ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. | D V D D V D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
86 | KOBAL Maximilian | D V V D D D | D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
87 | SZEGO Bence P. | V D D D D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
88 | YIM Alex | D D V D V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
89 | FREEDMAN Samuel E. | D V D V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
90 | ALIMI Yacine A. | D V D V D D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
91 | LOVIN Vlad | D V V D D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
92 | FOTENOS Noah T. | V D D D V D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
93 | OH SEAN | D D V D D V | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
94 | DRESSEL Jet | D V D V D D | D | 0.4 | 2 | +1.6 |
95 | STRAYER Andrew | V V D D D D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
96 | LIANG Lixi (Henry) | D D D V D | D | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
96 | DAI Jonathan T. | V D D D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
98 | YU Jonathan J. | V D D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
99 | BELLUOMO David C. | D D D V D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
100 | BENDER Rhys T. | D V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
101 | LEE Aidan | D D D V D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
104 | BUERGIN Aidan | D D D V D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
105 | BRODERICK Padraig | D D D D V D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
105 | WEDAM Rohan F. | D D D D D V | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
107 | KLEIN Sebastian W. | V D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
108 | KEE Andrew L. | D D V D D D | D | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
109 | ZHANG Evan | D D V D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
110 | SYLVESTER William Z. | D D D D V D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
111 | CANO Diego A. | D D V D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
112 | WANG Waley | D D D D V D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
113 | BEALE Asa G. | D V D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
114 | FORTUNE Alexander J. | D D D D V D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
115 | ROZENTAL Robert | D D D D D V | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
115 | SICHITIU Alexander | D D D D D V | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
117 | MCLENDON Diego | D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
119 | LIU Eric Y. | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
120 | JUSCINSKI Michal | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
120 | ROUNTREE Rob | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
122 | LI Bojun | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
122 | BOOTSMA Shane-Anson | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
124 | CAMACHO Miguel | D D D D D D | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
125 | JONES Theodore M. | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
125 | MAHNKEN Thomas P. | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
127 | DAVIDSON Elliot | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
129 | HEISE Alexander D. | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.