Capitol Clash SYC & RCC with Non-Regional Veteran and Y8

Cadet Men's Foil

Sunday, February 3, 2019 at 8:00 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Niles J. - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
2 HELTON Noah - - 5% 28% 45% 22%
3 VITI Mark G. - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
3 XIAO Ethan J. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
5 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
6 CHOUN Minwook (Sam) - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
7 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. - - 1% 5% 24% 44% 26%
8 TUMMINGS C.J. - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
9 UM Ethan A. - - 2% 16% 39% 34% 9%
10 LIN Richard W. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
11 YU Vinni - - - - 6% 31% 63%
12 MORAIS Paulo - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
13 REALS Alden D. - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
14 HUTH Jacob - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
15 BRUK Peter J. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
16 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
17 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
18 RINEHART Conner M. - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 2%
19 LIMA Kevin M. - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
20 ZHANG Henry C. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4%
21 WALTER Evran M. - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
22 FOGELSON Frederick J. 1% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
23 VASILIEV Sacha M. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
24 LOCKWOOD Owen - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
24 JANG Jaewon - - 5% 27% 45% 23%
26 XIAO Enoch A. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
27 PELOSKY Zack B. - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
28 GEE Brandon - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 16%
29 CHEN Andrew 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
30 MARX Oscar L. - - 2% 18% 48% 32%
31 KWON Ethan 3% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
32 PAE Brian L. - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
33 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
34 CHOY Lucas B. - - - 3% 16% 44% 38%
35 ZHANG Andy W. - - 1% 18% 49% 32%
36 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
37 MA Alexander - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
38 CHENG Jonathan - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
39 MCCORD Clark - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
40 BREIER Matthew F. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
41 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
42 HUTH Mitchell - 1% 8% 28% 40% 19% 3%
43 LI Jiaan 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
44 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
45 MUSHA John M. - 2% 10% 29% 36% 20% 3%
45 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
47 CHAN Tyler 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
48 YEROKHIN Michael N. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
49 PAULSON Connor M. - 7% 28% 40% 20% 4% -
50 MURRAY Maximo 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
51 CHEN Allen - 2% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
52 GRIFFITH JACK - 1% 12% 47% 34% 7%
53 BAS Liam 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 6% 1%
54 BAE Kevin - 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
55 PAE Jonathan L. - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
56 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8%
57 BAE Junnie - 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
58 MION Lorenzo - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12%
59 FURST Matthew C. 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
60 REZNICK Nicholas J. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
62 KITAGAWA Eric S. - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
63 WILLIAMS Connor J. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
64 GATZA Logan 5% 23% 35% 25% 10% 2% -
65 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2% -
66 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
67 GOLDER Will W. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
68 LI Yulei - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
69 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
70 ALONSOZANA Luke 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
71 GU Jeffrey 1% 12% 49% 31% 7% 1%
72 IVARSSON Oliver - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13% 2%
73 GRISWOLD Abel B. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
74 WEINKOPF William O. - 4% 22% 42% 26% 6% 1%
75 PYO Michael M. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
76 ZHAO Jason L. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
77 GALLUCCI Charles John - 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
78 FU Yifan - 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2%
79 WEN George C. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
80 TIAN Aaron C. 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
81 GERVAIS Joel - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
82 SMITH V Edward (Quin) A. 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2%
82 ZHAO Jesse 11% 65% 22% 2% - -
84 GISLER Benjamin B. 16% 45% 34% 5% - -
85 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
86 KOBAL Maximilian - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
87 SZEGO Bence P. 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
88 YIM Alex 2% 31% 42% 21% 5% - -
89 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
90 ALIMI Yacine A. 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
91 LOVIN Vlad 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
92 FOTENOS Noah T. 24% 51% 22% 4% - - -
93 OH SEAN 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
94 DRESSEL Jet 65% 31% 4% - - - -
95 STRAYER Andrew - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
96 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - < 1% 8% 36% 42% 14%
96 DAI Jonathan T. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
98 YU Jonathan J. 17% 44% 33% 6% - -
99 BELLUOMO David C. 34% 47% 18% 2% - -
100 BENDER Rhys T. 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
101 LEE Aidan 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
104 BUERGIN Aidan 3% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
105 BRODERICK Padraig 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
105 WEDAM Rohan F. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
107 KLEIN Sebastian W. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
108 KEE Andrew L. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
109 ZHANG Evan 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
110 SYLVESTER William Z. 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
111 CANO Diego A. 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
112 WANG Waley 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
113 BEALE Asa G. 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
114 FORTUNE Alexander J. 26% 49% 21% 4% - - -
115 ROZENTAL Robert 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
115 SICHITIU Alexander 1% 17% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
117 MCLENDON Diego 79% 20% 1% - - -
119 LIU Eric Y. 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
120 JUSCINSKI Michal 21% 50% 24% 5% - - -
120 ROUNTREE Rob 8% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
122 LI Bojun 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
122 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 8% 38% 39% 13% 2% - -
124 CAMACHO Miguel 91% 9% - - - - -
125 JONES Theodore M. 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
125 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 53% 42% 5% - - - -
127 DAVIDSON Elliot 27% 50% 20% 3% - - -
129 HEISE Alexander D. 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.