The Cherry Blossom - D1A/VET ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 9:00 AM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
2 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
3 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
5 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 55%
6 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 7%
7 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
8 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
9 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
10 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
11 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
12 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
13 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
14 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
15 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
16 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 6%
17 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 23%
18 LAM Alan 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
19 WICAS Graham E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
19 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
21 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 7%
22 WANG Aiden 100% 95% 68% 24% 3% -
23 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 99% 84% 49% 15% 2%
24 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
25 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
26 MARTIN Mason 100% 99% 83% 44% 11% 1%
27 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 10%
28 TATE William Isom 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
29 MEGGERS Davin 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
30 YU Jason 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
31 CLICK Tristan 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
32 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
33 SMITH Troy H. 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
34 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
35 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
36 SINGH Ravin 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
37 HULL Liam 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 4%
38 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 6%
39 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
40 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
41 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
42 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
43 ACAR Devin 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
44 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
45 RUSSELL James 100% 99% 87% 51% 10% 1%
46 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
47 EVANS Grant 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2%
48 PAN Colin 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
49 WONG King-Yee 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4%
50 PETROW Zoryan 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3%
51 HU Robert J. 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
52 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
53 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
54 PENG Yue 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
55 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
56 KIM kihyeon 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
57 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
58 LEWIS Jared 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
59 COCCHINI Lorenzo 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
60 MONTESI Eric 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
61 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
62 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
63 CHO Alex 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
64 ALI Farhan 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 1%
65 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
66 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
67 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 100% 100% 91% 62% 22% 2%
67 LEE Matthew 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% -
69 KE Sebastian 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
70 ANAFI Ari 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
71 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
72 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
73 BEREKNYEI Lukas 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
74 CAMP Ethan 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
75 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
76 CHENH Justin 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
77 HOWARD Jackson 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
78 MILLER Jordan 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
78 WALLACE George 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
78 WEHMEYER Devin 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
81 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2%
82 KERKHOF Peter L. 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% -
83 HU Alexander W. 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% -
84 ZHU Yiming 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
85 ROTONDI Gregory V. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
85 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
87 LEE Benjamin 100% 89% 51% 14% 1% -
88 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
89 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
89 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1%
91 BUI Ryan 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
92 MARSH Alex 100% 92% 60% 19% 2% -
93 YANG Gary 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
94 MONTAGUE Braeden A. 100% 91% 51% 15% 2% - -
95 KOKENGE Chad 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5% -
95 LIN Yufei 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
97 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
98 SEID Zachary W. 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
99 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
100 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
101 YOO Dong Hun 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
102 WU Shaochi 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
102 LIN Haley 100% 79% 35% 7% - -
104 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
105 YI Nathan 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 1%
106 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
106 STOUT Zachary 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
108 GANZY Ethan 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% -
109 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
110 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
110 YIN Chujun 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
112 PANE Patrick 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
113 SHARMA Akshay 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% - -
114 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 56% 11% 1% - - -
115 STEPANIAN George 100% 35% 4% - - - -
116 LIEMAN David 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
117 SLOTER Lewis E. 100% 99% 84% 45% 8% -
118 YAP Nathan 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% -
119 ZHANG Sen 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
120 MANITT Philip 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
121 ARMSTRONG Gary 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
122 MARKOWITZ Sam 100% 76% 31% 5% - -
123 KLINE R. Jay 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
123 JIN Adam 100% 39% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.