American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NING Miranda 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
2 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 35%
3 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
5 LEE Kate 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
6 CHEN Allison 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
7 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
8 CHOI Arianna 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
9 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
10 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
11 HOWARD Katherine 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
12 LEE Zoe 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
13 LAW Mila 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 25%
14 ZHONG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
15 JIANG Chenxi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
16 MISHIMA Olivia 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 6% -
17 LEE Eden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
18 FAN Joy 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
19 KAKANI Aditi 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
20 DING Iris Siyue 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
21 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
22 ZHANG lindsay 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
23 SONKU Mira 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
24 KIM Abigail 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
25 TIAN Victoria 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
26 JU Jennifer 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 19%
27 ZHU Una 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
28 PEKKER Adel 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
29 JI Susan 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
30 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 98% 86% 50% 11% 1%
31 GRUDZINSKI Josephine 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
32 YOUNG Penelope 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
33 HAN Emma 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
34 ZHANG Jane 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
35 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
36 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
37 ZHU YUNXI 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
38 RAJPUT Mahek 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 3%
39 XU Mulan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
40 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
41 LAI Juliet 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8% 1%
42 PARKE Jaime 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
43 YOUN Emily 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
44 ZHANG Audrey A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
45 PEKKER Amina 100% 100% 99% 88% 44% 8%
46 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
47 EDGAR Koko 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
48 SIU Mila 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
49 PATEL Agena 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
50 CHEN Reina 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
50 SAJJA Anwita 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
52 MEGGERS Arya 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
53 CHALLAMEL Heloise 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 8% 1%
54 YIN Elaine 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
55 ZHANG Flora 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
56 SHEN Sophia 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
57 OZALP Tara 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
58 KIM Charlotte 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 5% -
59 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
60 CHANG Emma 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
61 GURTIN Sasha 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
62 MAO Faith 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
63 BONDE Trisha 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
64 REDWINE Louise 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
65 PATEL Aria 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
66 SELASSIE Semara 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% - -
67 ZHAO Rachel 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
68 QIN Olivia 100% 74% 35% 10% 2% - -
68 LIANG Kristy 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
70 WANG Jenny wang 100% 91% 58% 18% 2% -
71 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
72 RICHARDS Seren 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
73 GORDON Winter 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
74 LIN Amber 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
75 DONE Kennedy 100% 98% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
75 SHEN Zoey 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
77 LUO MAOSHUEN 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% - -
78 CHOI Noah 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
79 CHEN Emily 100% 90% 51% 10% 1% -
80 TAN Abriel 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
81 YOON Michelle 100% 81% 34% 4% - -
82 HUGHES Mackenzie 100% 62% 17% 1% - -
83 SHERPURI Ananya 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
84 LI Kayla 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
85 WILLIAMS Valentina 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
86 ERATA Selena 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
87 WANG Katherine 100% 98% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
88 KUO Stella 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
89 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
90 LEE Iona 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
91 KAUR Harman 100% 66% 17% 2% - - -
92 HALL Sophie 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
93 SUN Sarah 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% -
94 LI Juliana 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
95 ZHAO Ailsa 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
96 KIM Lina 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
97 KONG Shelby 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
97 SALUBRO Vivianna 100% 99% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
99 CARACCIOLO Emma 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
100 YU sage 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
101 ZHU Kaylee 100% 67% 19% 2% - - -
102 LEE Celine 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
103 CHOI Serine 100% 29% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.