American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NING Miranda - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
2 CHEN Madeline - - 1% 17% 47% 35%
3 YANG Hannah - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
3 OLELE Ifechi - - - 1% 6% 32% 62%
5 LEE Kate - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
6 CHEN Allison - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
7 YAN Ximei (Alicia) - - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
8 CHOI Arianna - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
9 DHAIYA Tanya - - - - 3% 25% 72%
10 ZHANG Ashley - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
11 HOWARD Katherine - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
12 LEE Zoe 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
13 LAW Mila - - 3% 24% 48% 25%
14 ZHONG Evelyn - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
15 JIANG Chenxi - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
16 MISHIMA Olivia 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
17 LEE Eden - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
18 FAN Joy - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
19 KAKANI Aditi - - - 5% 37% 58%
20 DING Iris Siyue - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
21 MOKRETSOV Leah - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
22 ZHANG lindsay - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
23 SONKU Mira - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
24 KIM Abigail - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
25 TIAN Victoria - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
26 JU Jennifer - - 4% 24% 53% 19%
27 ZHU Una - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
28 PEKKER Adel - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
29 JI Susan - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
30 TANG Jacquelyn 2% 13% 36% 39% 11% 1%
31 GRUDZINSKI Josephine 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
32 YOUNG Penelope 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
33 HAN Emma - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
34 ZHANG Jane - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
35 ALLIEVI Simone - 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 5%
36 XIE ANDREA - - 2% 11% 34% 39% 14%
37 ZHU YUNXI - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
38 RAJPUT Mahek - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 3%
39 XU Mulan - - 4% 18% 39% 31% 8%
40 QI Chelsie - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 6%
41 LAI Juliet 1% 7% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
42 PARKE Jaime 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
43 YOUN Emily - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
44 ZHANG Audrey A. - 1% 6% 21% 38% 30% 5%
45 PEKKER Amina - 1% 11% 44% 36% 8%
46 CHEN Laila - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
47 EDGAR Koko - 4% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
48 SIU Mila - 1% 8% 31% 38% 19% 3%
49 PATEL Agena 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
50 CHEN Reina 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9% 1%
50 SAJJA Anwita 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
52 MEGGERS Arya - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
53 CHALLAMEL Heloise 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
54 YIN Elaine 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
55 ZHANG Flora 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
56 SHEN Sophia 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
57 OZALP Tara 11% 38% 35% 14% 3% - -
58 KIM Charlotte 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 5% -
59 AINSWORTH Esme 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
60 CHANG Emma 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
61 GURTIN Sasha 10% 32% 37% 17% 4% - -
62 MAO Faith 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
63 BONDE Trisha 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
64 REDWINE Louise 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
65 PATEL Aria 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
66 SELASSIE Semara 7% 32% 40% 18% 3% - -
67 ZHAO Rachel 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
68 QIN Olivia 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
68 LIANG Kristy 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
70 WANG Jenny wang 9% 33% 40% 16% 2% -
71 LIU Brinley - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
72 RICHARDS Seren 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
73 GORDON Winter 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
74 LIN Amber 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
75 DONE Kennedy 2% 19% 45% 27% 7% 1% -
75 SHEN Zoey 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
77 LUO MAOSHUEN 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% - -
78 CHOI Noah 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
79 CHEN Emily 10% 39% 41% 9% 1% -
80 TAN Abriel 18% 42% 32% 8% 1% -
81 YOON Michelle 19% 47% 29% 4% - -
82 HUGHES Mackenzie 38% 45% 15% 1% - -
83 SHERPURI Ananya 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
84 LI Kayla 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
85 WILLIAMS Valentina 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
86 ERATA Selena 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
87 WANG Katherine 2% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
88 KUO Stella 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
89 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
90 LEE Iona 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
91 KAUR Harman 34% 49% 15% 1% - - -
92 HALL Sophie 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
93 SUN Sarah 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
94 LI Juliana 2% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
95 ZHAO Ailsa 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
96 KIM Lina 26% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
97 KONG Shelby 21% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
97 SALUBRO Vivianna 1% 10% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
99 CARACCIOLO Emma 24% 44% 26% 6% - -
100 YU sage 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
101 ZHU Kaylee 33% 48% 17% 2% - - -
102 LEE Celine 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
103 CHOI Serine 71% 26% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.