Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, May 2, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRATTON Benjamin E. - - - 1% 17% 82%
2 SIYANKO Joshua 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
3 XIA Dashan - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
3 TRAN Spencer 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
5 WONG King-Yee - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
6 LAI Boden - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
7 JIANG Matthew 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
8 TIKHONOV Ilia - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 9%
9 WICAS Graham E. - - - - 2% 30% 68%
10 SETO Jing - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
11 HONDOR Robert D. - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
12 LI Jade 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
13 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
14 FAICCO Joseph 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
15 SONG Changze 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
16 CHEN YiHeng - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
17 KOEPPEL Levi E. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
18 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
19 HOWARD Jackson 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 3% -
20 MAO Benjamin - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
21 LIU Adam 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
22 LIDSKY Phineas 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
23 CHEN Edward 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1% -
24 STELTENKAMP Neal 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
25 KARIMOV Amir 5% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1%
26 DISIMONE David Z. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
27 LING Valdis - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
28 CHU Brandon A. 5% 22% 36% 26% 10% 2% -
29 SAVORETTI Francesco 1% 8% 29% 41% 20% 1%
30 WU Jerry 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
31 COHEN Jared E. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
32 LENNON Nicholas 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
33 BOUDREAUX James - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
34 HEARNE Gavin - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
35 ZHENG Alan - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
36 DOLMETSCH Max - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
37 GULLO Kenji Y. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8%
38 SVERDLOV Seth - 4% 19% 37% 30% 8%
39 O'DOWD Andrew J. 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
40 SHA Michael - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
41 NUNEZ Jorge 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
42 SWENSON Keane J. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
43 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 2% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
44 AHMED Mohsen - 1% 7% 28% 43% 20% 2%
45 TATE William Isom 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
46 KIM Henry 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
47 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
48 ZUCKER Noah L. - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
49 ELBAG Mark H. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
50 PALLADINO Ben T. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
51 RIVERA Louis 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
52 KAPLAN Maddox 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
53 MATOS Adrian 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
54 PAYNE Massimo - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
55 CARTER Austin L. - 2% 12% 30% 37% 19%
56 BORATGIS Christopher J. - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
57 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
58 RIM Eugene - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9% -
59 HELMY Richard 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
60 LIOU Solomon - 5% 24% 42% 26% 2%
61 CHENH Justin 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
62 YU Samuel 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
63 ZHANG Jason 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
64 CUMMINGS Owen 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
65 NALLICHERI Ayaan 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% - -
66 MOSKOWITZ Martin 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
67 RATUSHNYI Georgii 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
68 ANAFI Ari 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
69 SAKO Ayrton J. 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
70 LEE Aiden 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
71 TIRRELL Justin J. 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
72 KIM Nathan 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
72 MA YIXING (Tiger) 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
74 MARTINEZ Joshua 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
75 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
76 BUSH Thomas 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
77 LEE DoWon 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
78 KOGAN Yelisey L. 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
79 GAO Victor 15% 42% 31% 10% 2% - -
80 LOESER Jacob - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
81 UNG Kei - < 1% 1% 8% 32% 46% 13%
82 MARSH Alex 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
82 ZHANG Jonathan 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
84 LENAR David 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
85 HEISLER Maxfield 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
86 SEIKEL Spencer 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
87 PISTEA Mark 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.