Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, May 2, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRATTON Benjamin E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
3 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
3 TRAN Spencer 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
5 WONG King-Yee 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
6 LAI Boden 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
7 JIANG Matthew 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
8 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 47% 9%
9 WICAS Graham E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 68%
10 SETO Jing 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
11 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
12 LI Jade 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
13 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
14 FAICCO Joseph 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
15 SONG Changze 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
16 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
17 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
18 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
19 HOWARD Jackson 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3% -
20 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
21 LIU Adam 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
22 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
23 CHEN Edward 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1% -
24 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
25 KARIMOV Amir 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
26 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
27 LING Valdis 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
28 CHU Brandon A. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
29 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 1%
30 WU Jerry 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
31 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
32 LENNON Nicholas 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
33 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
34 HEARNE Gavin 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
35 ZHENG Alan 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 4%
36 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
37 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
38 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
39 O'DOWD Andrew J. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
40 SHA Michael 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
41 NUNEZ Jorge 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
42 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
43 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
44 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 2%
45 TATE William Isom 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
46 KIM Henry 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
47 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
48 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
49 ELBAG Mark H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
50 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
51 RIVERA Louis 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
52 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
53 MATOS Adrian 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
54 PAYNE Massimo 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
55 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19%
56 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 16%
57 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
58 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10% -
59 HELMY Richard 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
60 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 2%
61 CHENH Justin 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
62 YU Samuel 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
63 ZHANG Jason 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
64 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
65 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% - -
66 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
67 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
68 ANAFI Ari 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
69 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
70 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
71 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
72 KIM Nathan 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
72 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
74 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1%
75 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
76 BUSH Thomas 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
77 LEE DoWon 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% -
78 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
79 GAO Victor 100% 85% 43% 12% 2% - -
80 LOESER Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
81 UNG Kei 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 13%
82 MARSH Alex 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
82 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
84 LENAR David 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
85 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
86 SEIKEL Spencer 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
87 PISTEA Mark 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.