National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Épée

Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
2 HONDOR Robert D. - - 5% 26% 44% 24%
3 SODERBERG Alex Z. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
3 XIA Dashan - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
5 RIGGINS Joshua - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
6 GLENNON Sebastian J. - 2% 8% 23% 33% 26% 8%
7 LU Jacob 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
8 NOWAK Jakub P. - < 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
9 HUTTO Joshua - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
10 TSE Maxwell 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
11 NORMILE Nicholas 1% 8% 30% 38% 19% 3%
12 MITEV Alexander - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9%
13 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. - - 1% 7% 25% 40% 26%
14 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
15 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. - - - 3% 16% 45% 36%
16 CHEN Leonardo - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
17 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
18 KARNAS Karol - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
19 KILUK Andrew - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
20 KOEPPEL Levi E. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
21 TABLEMAN Doug S. - 3% 16% 39% 33% 9%
22 WANG justin 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
23 FULLERTON Houston T. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
24 ZUCKER Noah L. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
25 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
26 SMITH Justin C. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
27 KIM Sullivan - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
28 GARRETT Samuel - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
29 HU Robert J. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
30 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 1% 7% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
31 JOHNSON Jay 9% 30% 36% 20% 4% -
32 WILLIAMS Logan 14% 39% 35% 11% 1% -
33 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - - - 4% 21% 47% 27%
34 SIEDOW William 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% < 1%
35 KARIMOV Amir 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
36 TIEN Jabin - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
37 LIU Yueri 4% 21% 36% 29% 9% 1%
38 WONG Baron - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
39 SINGH Ravin 11% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
40 CHUNG Andrew - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
41 GINZBURG Adam - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
42 FELICIANO Damien 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 4% -
43 SONG Troy - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
44 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
45 MODULLA Yathin R. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
46 TRAN Spencer - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
47 CHEMEZOV Trent 3% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
48 TOYOFUKU Ethan 9% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
48 WANG Tony 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
50 BOSS Evan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
51 SPIER Julian H. - - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
52 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
53 TATE William Isom 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
54 SUVOROV Yuly - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
55 KANAR Ian - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
56 HULL Liam 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
57 ELLISON Harper F. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
58 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
59 YU Austin 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
60 RUSSELL James 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
61 COX Matthew T. 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
62 DEMPSEY Connor - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
63 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
63 TANG William 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
65 HAMZA Tudor - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
66 LEE JoonWon - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
67 PRIHODKO Max - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
68 IRWIN Peter - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
69 HURME Tommi K. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
70 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
71 YANG Gary 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
72 GOLDSON Tyrese 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
73 JOHNSTON Conner S. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
74 ZIEGLER John - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
75 MATHES Caleb - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
76 STENCEL Andrew E. 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
77 LAM Alan - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
78 PETROSEWICZ Thomas (TJ) ". - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
78 BEACH John - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
80 DOUBOV Andrew - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
81 XIE Brandon 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
82 CAI Brian - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
83 CHO Alex 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
84 CONKLIN Jim - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
85 HOWARD Jackson 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
86 LEHNER Brian 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
87 SINAI Nathan G. - 1% 6% 24% 41% 28%
88 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
89 WANG Clayton 12% 35% 35% 15% 3%
90 TIEMANN Landen 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
91 KENT V David 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
92 ROWLAND Marsden 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
93 MUENKE Magnus 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
94 PETROW Zoryan 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2% -
95 SNIDER Jeffrey H. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
96 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
97 BORATGIS Christopher J. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
98 TOLLEFSON Zachary - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
98 SETO Jing 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
100 WANG David 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
101 RACHEL Dylan - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
102 DISIMONE David Z. - 4% 14% 29% 31% 18% 4%
102 MARTINEZ Joshua 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
104 DUPREE Thomas - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
105 NIXON Scott 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
106 KIM Teo 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% - -
107 SWANSON Dave 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
108 PAN Anthony 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
109 KIM Remington 45% 39% 14% 2% - - -
110 WATERS Nathaniel 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
112 PARKER Isaiah 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
113 WU Alistair 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
113 CHEN YiHeng 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
115 KIM Sterling S. 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
116 SONG Charlie 21% 46% 26% 6% 1% -
117 CORDIE David R. 12% 33% 36% 17% 3%
118 RICHARDS Jackson D. 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
119 RIM Eugene 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
120 CURTY Jack 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
121 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
122 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 8% 26% 33% 23% 8% 2% -
123 ZENG Andrew 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
124 YU Jason 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
125 ACAR Devin 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
126 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
127 BENACK Steven M. - < 1% 6% 27% 44% 22%
128 ASGARALLY Anthony 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
129 DITTEL Aaron K. - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
130 CAMP Ethan 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
131 MARTIN Mason 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
132 HEIM Bryce 3% 16% 35% 34% 13%
133 WONG King-Yee 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
134 WU Jerry 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
135 MCDOWELL Will 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
136 ZHANG Michael 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
137 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
138 CHEN Allen 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
139 O'HARROW Tristan C. 4% 19% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
139 DEPAUW Devan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
141 MCLAREN Mason 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
142 ZEKO David J. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
143 ANAFI Ari 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
144 ZHENG Jerry 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
145 EVERT Todd 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
146 SIM Ian 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
147 NESTEROV Andrew E. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
148 LI Yunji (Rain) 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
149 JUSCINSKI Michal - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
150 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
150 LI Jade 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
152 RAO Neil 17% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
153 GUIRAUDET Alistair 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
154 WEGENER Soren 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
154 WANG Kaiyan 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
154 PETERSEN Ephraim 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
157 CHU Brandon A. 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
157 LEWIS Jared - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
157 COHEN Jared E. 1% 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
157 DECKER Hunter 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
157 BREILING Nikki - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
162 SHILOV Maxim 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
163 CHAUDHURI Kabir 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
164 ZHANG James 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
165 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
166 SALLAM omar - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
167 DOWD Peter L. 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
167 BISSEN Quinn 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
169 WANG Aiden 35% 42% 18% 4% - -
170 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 13% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
171 WONG Maximus 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
172 VINOTH Aaron 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
172 YU Samuel 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
174 HILLSTROM Nathan 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.