National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Épée

Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
2 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
3 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
3 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
5 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 11%
6 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
7 LU Jacob 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
8 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
9 HUTTO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
10 TSE Maxwell 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
11 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
12 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
13 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
14 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
15 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
16 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
17 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
18 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
19 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
20 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
21 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
22 WANG justin 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
23 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
24 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
25 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
26 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
27 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
28 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
29 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
30 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
31 JOHNSON Jay 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
32 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
33 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 27%
34 SIEDOW William 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% < 1%
35 KARIMOV Amir 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
36 TIEN Jabin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
37 LIU Yueri 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
38 WONG Baron 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
39 SINGH Ravin 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
40 CHUNG Andrew 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
41 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
42 FELICIANO Damien 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
43 SONG Troy 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
44 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
45 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
46 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
47 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
48 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
48 WANG Tony 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1%
50 BOSS Evan 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
51 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
52 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 16% 2%
53 TATE William Isom 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
54 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
55 KANAR Ian 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
56 HULL Liam 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
57 ELLISON Harper F. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
58 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
59 YU Austin 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
60 RUSSELL James 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% -
61 COX Matthew T. 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 4%
62 DEMPSEY Connor 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
63 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
63 TANG William 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
65 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
66 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
67 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
68 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
69 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
70 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
71 YANG Gary 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
72 GOLDSON Tyrese 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
73 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
74 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
75 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
76 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
77 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
78 PETROSEWICZ Thomas (TJ) ". 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
78 BEACH John 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
80 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
81 XIE Brandon 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
82 CAI Brian 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
83 CHO Alex 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
84 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
85 HOWARD Jackson 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
86 LEHNER Brian 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
87 SINAI Nathan G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
88 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
89 WANG Clayton 100% 88% 53% 18% 3%
90 TIEMANN Landen 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
91 KENT V David 100% 81% 39% 8% 1% -
92 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
93 MUENKE Magnus 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
94 PETROW Zoryan 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
95 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
96 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
97 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
98 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
98 SETO Jing 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
100 WANG David 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
101 RACHEL Dylan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
102 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
102 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
104 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
105 NIXON Scott 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
106 KIM Teo 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
107 SWANSON Dave 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
108 PAN Anthony 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
109 KIM Remington 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
110 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
112 PARKER Isaiah 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
113 WU Alistair 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
113 CHEN YiHeng 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
115 KIM Sterling S. 100% 97% 78% 42% 10%
116 SONG Charlie 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% -
117 CORDIE David R. 100% 88% 55% 20% 3%
118 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5%
119 RIM Eugene 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
120 CURTY Jack 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
121 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
122 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 92% 66% 33% 10% 2% -
123 ZENG Andrew 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
124 YU Jason 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
125 ACAR Devin 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
126 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
127 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 22%
128 ASGARALLY Anthony 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
129 DITTEL Aaron K. 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
130 CAMP Ethan 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
131 MARTIN Mason 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
132 HEIM Bryce 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
133 WONG King-Yee 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
134 WU Jerry 100% 62% 18% 3% - -
135 MCDOWELL Will 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
136 ZHANG Michael 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
137 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3% -
138 CHEN Allen 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
139 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
139 DEPAUW Devan 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
141 MCLAREN Mason 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
142 ZEKO David J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
143 ANAFI Ari 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
144 ZHENG Jerry 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3%
145 EVERT Todd 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
146 SIM Ian 100% 97% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
147 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
148 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
149 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
150 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
150 LI Jade 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
152 RAO Neil 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
153 GUIRAUDET Alistair 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
154 WEGENER Soren 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
154 WANG Kaiyan 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
154 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 9% 1%
157 CHU Brandon A. 100% 97% 82% 53% 23% 6% 1%
157 LEWIS Jared 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
157 COHEN Jared E. 100% 99% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
157 DECKER Hunter 100% 94% 69% 33% 10% 1% -
157 BREILING Nikki 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
162 SHILOV Maxim 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
163 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
164 ZHANG James 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
165 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
166 SALLAM omar 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
167 DOWD Peter L. 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
167 BISSEN Quinn 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
169 WANG Aiden 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
170 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
171 WONG Maximus 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
172 VINOTH Aaron 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
172 YU Samuel 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
174 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.