National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Épée

Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Lucas - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
2 MILINKOVIC Maksim 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
3 RVACHEV Michael - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
3 VOO Lucas - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
5 MARTIN Mason - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
6 WANG Marcus - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
7 LI Timothy - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
8 COHEN Joshua 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
9 MATHES Caleb - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
10 WILSON Ian G. - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
11 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
12 JEONG Arisu - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7%
13 OSHIMA Robert 6% 21% 33% 26% 11% 3% -
14 GARBER Robert A. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
15 MUDGE Lachlan - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
16 WU Jerry - 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
17 PECKENS Tyler - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
18 MOORE Alexander - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
19 GOODMAN Benjamin - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
20 GUO Luke 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
21 CHAKRABORTY Zorian - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
22 VRUBEL Eli - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
23 LAWLOR Lee - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
24 AYOTTE James - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
25 GOVOROV Alexander 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
26 LEE Henry 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
27 ST CLAIR Soren 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
27 POHL Philip 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
29 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
30 BAUMAN Colin 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
31 SPRINGER Elijah 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
32 WEINSTEIN Ethan 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
33 FELICIANO Damien - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
34 SAMIMI Sina 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
35 RUFANOV Maxim - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
36 BANNEN Nicholas - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
37 RAHMAN Zayd 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
38 INGHILTERRA Luca - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
38 LI Grayson 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
40 LEECH Braedan - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 5%
41 HEDGES Lux 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
42 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
43 MITSCH Aubrey 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
44 CHIZ Max H. 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
45 DELONG Joshua - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
45 SCHWITZER Eliot 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
47 RAMEY Daylon 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
48 JEON Kaden 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
49 GADHVI Darius 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 2%
50 MOSKOWITZ Martin - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
51 JIANG Harry 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
52 RODRIGUEZ Alex 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
53 GAO Ryan 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
54 REICHMANN Theo 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 10%
55 ARZT Nicholas - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
56 DENG Destin 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
57 KOFMAN David - 3% 13% 27% 32% 19% 5%
58 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
58 TIEKING Noah 6% 23% 33% 25% 11% 2% -
60 MARSH Alex - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
61 SCHAUER Oliver 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
63 MARTIN Dirk 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
64 BROWN Korbyn 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
65 BRASSARD Calvin - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
66 MA Ryan - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 4%
67 ZHOU alex 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
68 SNYDER Michael T. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
69 ROBINSON Ezekiel 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
70 JERDEE Colton 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
71 REID Wesley 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
72 DINH Nam 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
73 FITZGERALD Thomas R. 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
74 ZHANG Jason 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
75 DILDA Griffin 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
76 YANG Alex 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
77 EVANS George - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
78 SENECHAL Alexander - 3% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
79 EVANS Joseph 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
80 VARON David - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
81 MAGNUSON Thomas 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
82 MORI Seneca - 3% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
83 HAMILTON Travis 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
84 NUGENT Curtis 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% -
86 SAHA Sayan - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
86 MATOS Adrian - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
88 PATEL Aayan 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
89 URCIOLI Phenix 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
89 ASIALA Niilo 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
91 JADHAV Tanay 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
92 BUTTA Robert 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
93 HANNA Alexander 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
94 MILLER Brent - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
95 ALABI Azryl 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
96 VARNEY Douglas W. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
97 WHITE Aidan 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
97 KARLEKAR Veer 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
99 WASSERMAN Jacob 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
100 MILLER Joshua J. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
101 RAHMAN Ali 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
101 KIM Remington 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
103 CHAU Collin 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
104 PAPP Mike - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
104 ERIZE Alex 7% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
106 ANDERSON Donald 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
107 MUENKE Torben 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
108 CZACHOROWSKI Mark 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
109 FRALEY Orion 17% 40% 32% 10% 1%
110 PAN Anthony 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 5%
111 BATISTA Julian 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1%
111 HALE Bradley 32% 42% 21% 5% - -
113 WATERS Nathaniel - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
113 JARRATT Isaac 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% -
115 SRIKANTH Hariharan 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
116 AU Joshua 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
117 SARMIENTO Luke 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
118 TENHUNDFELD Jack - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
119 SI Anderson 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
120 MEIER Nicholas M. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
121 WONG Vansen 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
121 ADAMS Tyler - 4% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
123 VANCE Wyatt 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
124 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
125 BUTTA Reese 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
126 NUNEZ Jorge 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
127 VENZON Gavin 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
128 DREWRY William - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
129 PAULSEN Zachary - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
130 WILLIAMS Richard - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
131 SOTO Michael - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
132 STEVENS Owen 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
132 SCOTT Alex 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 3%
134 BACON Corban 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
135 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
136 FENG Xinmin 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
137 DEPAUW Achiel 4% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
138 GRANT Grayson 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
139 ALEXANDER Christopher - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
139 CHEN Vincent 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 15% 3%
141 LI Ray 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
142 DAVIDSON James 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1%
143 CLAYTON Byron - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
144 RICHMOND Ozan 20% 41% 29% 9% 1%
145 WAID Ian 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
146 VRUBEL Nathan 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
147 SATHYAN Dev 6% 25% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
148 OLSON Joseph 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
149 DOLLARHITE Tommy 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
150 SEABLOOM Jack 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
150 BENUCCI Vincent 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% -
152 COLE Perrin 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
152 MCKILLOP Matthew 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
154 CHABIE Austin 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
155 LOMBARD Alexander 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
157 CHOI Daniel 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
158 SIGGINS Wally 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
159 BOHLER-PARK Henry 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
160 EMERSON Zachary 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
161 GOODMAN Craig 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
162 PRICE Cory J. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
163 HOWE Robert < 1% 3% 13% 28% 33% 18% 4%
164 FRIEDMAN Andres 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
165 SEYMOUR Phoenix 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
166 MARTELL Antonio 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
167 CARCELLER Jeremias 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
168 HARRISKING Benjamin < 1% 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
169 SMITH Samuel J. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
170 GARRISON Shawn 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.