National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, July 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DODIN Daniel M. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 MIDYANY Ryan - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
3 XUE Michael - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
3 MIKHAIL Lucas - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
5 DU Evan - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
6 KIM Gene - - - - 3% 24% 73%
7 FU Nolan - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
8 WHITE Ryden - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21%
9 PARKE Nathaniel - - - 1% 6% 30% 64%
10 LUO Alexander - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
11 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
12 ZHAI Derrick - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
13 KATS Brandon - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
14 CHEN Tianjun - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
15 MOSLEY Wally - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
16 LIN Daniel 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
17 THOMAS Andrew - 1% 5% 20% 37% 31% 7%
18 LIU Austin - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
18 JAZWINSKI Ryan - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
20 RONG Marcus - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
21 TANG Michael - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
22 TANG Colin - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
23 KICIMAN Leo - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
24 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
25 KIM Doyun - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 7%
26 BHANDARE Veer - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
27 SONG Aidan - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
28 CHEN Christopher - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
29 HWANG Matthew - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 7%
30 LIN Bryan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
31 LEE Harrison - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
32 BORAN Brooks - 2% 9% 23% 33% 25% 8%
33 ZHANG jonathan - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
34 KROPP Wesley - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
34 MOSTOVOY philip - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
36 SHIM Jae - - - 4% 21% 46% 28%
37 YAKHNIS Seth - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
38 CHANG Matthew - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
39 WU Matthew - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
40 ZHENG Jason - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
41 WANG Lucas - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21%
42 KIM Julian - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
43 YAO Tristan - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
44 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
45 YU Brandon - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
46 MASKIN Mikhail - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
47 DING Max - 1% 11% 30% 37% 19% 3%
48 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
49 FANG Charlie - 2% 11% 25% 33% 22% 6%
50 LIU Xuyao - 1% 5% 22% 40% 29% 3%
51 LU Ian - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
52 WONG Alexander - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
53 KROTZ Nicolas - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
54 ALI Rayan - - 1% 5% 22% 45% 28%
55 LIU Daniel - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
56 FEELY Benjamin - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
57 WONG Aaron - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
58 HUA Nolan 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
59 ENG Kyler - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
60 LEE Leo 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
61 CHIANG William - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
62 ZHAN ETHAN - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
63 MYRAH Devin - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
64 FU Benjamin 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
65 HEADRICK Liam - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
66 PETERS Keane - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
67 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% < 1%
68 DANILOV Artur - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
69 ZINCHUK Yuri 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
70 SUK Kwon 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
71 TUDELA Francisco - - 4% 20% 38% 31% 6%
72 LUO Alvin Y. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
73 CHEN Evan - - 6% 26% 45% 22%
74 NOOL Aaron 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
75 YU Haoyun 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
76 PUTHOFF Henry - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
77 KELLY Blair - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13% 1%
78 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
79 RAU Shogun - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 5%
80 MEDISETTI Arjun - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
81 WYCHULIS Tristan - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
82 ZHOU Luke - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
83 SHIH Derek 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
84 LEE James K. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
85 WILLIAMS Gavin 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
86 TOPRANI Valmik - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
87 GUO Jonathan 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
88 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
89 FERNANDEZ William - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
90 SHOURIE Neel 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
91 BURDICK Elijah 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
92 LEE Lucas - 1% 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
93 KONG Ethan 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
94 WU Jiachen - 6% 28% 42% 20% 3%
95 PARK Ethan - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
96 ROFINO Samuel 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
97 GUJJA Rishabh - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
98 LEE Wilson 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
99 KIM Louie 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
100 SHAPIRO Samuel - 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
100 STRAFFORD Andrew 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
102 GEVA Reuben - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
103 FRENCH Drake 1% 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
103 BUTLER Xavier - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
105 RAMIREZ Tristan 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
106 YUE Bryan - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
107 TANG Luke 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
108 MBERIA Henry - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
109 CHO Adrian - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
110 CHEN Hayden 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
111 HOHMAN Elias 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
112 TANG Daniel - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
113 JU Shang 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
114 CAMP William 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
115 ELLIS, IV Floyd - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
116 PERRY Noah - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
117 LIU Yihong - 6% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
118 LAI Jayden - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
118 KUYKENDALL Logan 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
120 RAMIREZ Hunter 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
121 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
122 YOO Lucas 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
123 SCOTTODIMARCO James 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
124 VANAMA Agastya 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
125 CROSSETT Peter - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
126 YOU Emmanuel 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
127 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
128 NOLAN Morgan 36% 42% 18% 3% - -
129 ARMSTRONG Payson - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
130 SON Isaac 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
131 NGUYEN Ethan V. 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
132 ZHANG Aiden - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
133 LO Stefan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
134 MUNOZ Rocco 7% 25% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
135 NOVAK Luke 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
136 HAMILTON Tyler 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
138 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
139 LI Vance 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
140 ZHENG Jasper - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
141 WONG Kyle - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
142 CHEN Aiden - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
143 SHOURIE Seth - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
143 GARIKIPATI Tharan - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 2%
145 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
145 XU Isaac 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
147 ZHAO Ryan - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% -
148 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
148 GALBRAITH Carson - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
148 YOON Jonathan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
151 DESAI Adithya 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
152 LI Andy 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
153 PARRA Lucas - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
154 LIN Edison 7% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
155 TIAN Dylan 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
156 CHA Aiden 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
157 PURUSHOTHAM Neil 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
158 PATEL Tej 13% 35% 35% 14% 3% - -
159 NG Remy 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
160 YOON Ian 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
160 SOHONI Vir 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
162 HANTOV Adrian - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
163 SHIM Jaeyoo - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
164 LI Nolan 1% 14% 40% 34% 10% 1%
165 SMITH Theo 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
166 ONG David - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
166 TRAN Thomas 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
168 PELCZAR James 28% 46% 21% 4% - -
169 WANG Juehan - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
170 HOLDEN Harrison 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
170 ABRAHAM Aaron 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
170 LIU Maximilian 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
173 KRAVCHENKO Philip 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
174 KO Ethan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
174 CHEN Benjamin 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
176 SZETO Zachary 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
177 CHEN Daniel - 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
178 CHEN Jayden A 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
179 BOROVIKOV Alexander 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
180 BALUCAN Gabriel 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
180 SAMOYLOV Daniel 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
182 GILLARD Adan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
183 LAU Caleb 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
184 TANG Jayce 3% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
184 NOCON Garrison 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
186 PARADKAR Akshay 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
187 NICHOLAS Miles - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
188 CHO Joshua 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
189 WU James 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
189 SHARMA Sahaj 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
191 KUBBA Sauvil 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
192 SMITH Noah 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
192 LI Stephen 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
194 ZHANG Jenson 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
195 KESELMAN Ron 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
196 THOMSON Piers 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
196 DISPENZA Jayan 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
198 YAO Irvine 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
199 MAZAHERI Theodore 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
200 HUNG Ludwig 42% 44% 13% 1% - -
201 FEELY Samuel 5% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
202 TENG Eric 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
203 VENERACION Marcus 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
204 CHAN Joseph 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
205 CHEN Linus 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
205 LEE Taeryum 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
207 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
208 KIM Brendan 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
209 KICIMAN Louis 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
210 ZHUKOV Egor 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
211 PATEL Yash 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
212 FRANK Luke 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
213 ZHANG Jacob 34% 44% 18% 4% - - -
213 AGRAWAL Ariv 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
215 LEUNG Joon 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
216 KUYKENDALL Lucas 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
217 SI Alexander 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
217 LANE Sawyer 10% 29% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
219 MILLER Xavier 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
220 HOWARD Killian 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
221 YE Andrew 26% 46% 23% 5% - -
222 KIM Benjamin 17% 45% 29% 8% 1% - -
223 LI Connor 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
223 YU MAXIMILIAN 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
225 CHU Clayton 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
226 ANDREWS Elliott 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
227 LI Ethan 22% 48% 25% 5% - -
228 CHI Zachary 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
228 ZALPURI Zorin 3% 21% 42% 27% 7% 1%
228 MAXWELL Taiga 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
231 CHEN Regis 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
232 PINCIROLI Tommaso 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
232 LAI Jaxon 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
234 LIU Kyle 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
234 BURT Jonathan Parker 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
236 DAND Zahin 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
237 LEE Jack 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
238 ZHOU Silvan 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
239 MATUSOW Brandon 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
239 MORET Declan 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -
239 GOLDBERG Simon 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
239 WU Jayden 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
239 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
244 KABEALO Charles 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
245 LI NATHAN 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
246 MAURAIS JP 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
246 LEE Daniel 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
248 BUONO Antonino 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
249 MILLER Brodrick 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
250 XIONG Alec 18% 43% 29% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.