National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, July 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
3 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
5 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
6 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
7 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
8 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
9 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
10 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
11 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
12 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
13 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
14 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
15 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
16 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
17 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 7%
18 LIU Austin 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
18 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
20 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
21 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
22 TANG Colin 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
23 KICIMAN Leo 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
24 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
25 KIM Doyun 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
26 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
27 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
28 CHEN Christopher 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
29 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
30 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
31 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
32 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 8%
33 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
34 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
34 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
36 SHIM Jae 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
37 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
38 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
39 WU Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
40 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
41 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
42 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
43 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
44 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
45 YU Brandon 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
46 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
47 DING Max 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
48 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
49 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
50 LIU Xuyao 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32% 3%
51 LU Ian 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
52 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
53 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
54 ALI Rayan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 28%
55 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
56 FEELY Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
57 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
58 HUA Nolan 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
59 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
60 LEE Leo 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
61 CHIANG William 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
62 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
63 MYRAH Devin 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
64 FU Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 2%
65 HEADRICK Liam 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
66 PETERS Keane 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
67 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% < 1%
68 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 35% 8%
69 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
70 SUK Kwon 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
71 TUDELA Francisco 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
72 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
73 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
74 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
75 YU Haoyun 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
76 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
77 KELLY Blair 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
78 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
79 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
80 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
81 WYCHULIS Tristan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
82 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
83 SHIH Derek 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
84 LEE James K. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
85 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
86 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
87 GUO Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
88 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
89 FERNANDEZ William 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
90 SHOURIE Neel 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
91 BURDICK Elijah 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
92 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
93 KONG Ethan 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
94 WU Jiachen 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 3%
95 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
96 ROFINO Samuel 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
97 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
98 LEE Wilson 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
99 KIM Louie 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
100 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
100 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
102 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
103 FRENCH Drake 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
103 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
105 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
106 YUE Bryan 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
107 TANG Luke 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
108 MBERIA Henry 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 2%
109 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
110 CHEN Hayden 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
111 HOHMAN Elias 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
112 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
113 JU Shang 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
114 CAMP William 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
115 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
116 PERRY Noah 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
117 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
118 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
118 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
120 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
121 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
122 YOO Lucas 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
123 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
124 VANAMA Agastya 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
125 CROSSETT Peter 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
126 YOU Emmanuel 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
127 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 94% 69% 33% 10% 1% -
128 NOLAN Morgan 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
129 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
130 SON Isaac 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
131 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5% -
132 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
133 LO Stefan 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
134 MUNOZ Rocco 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
135 NOVAK Luke 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
136 HAMILTON Tyler 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
138 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
139 LI Vance 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
140 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
141 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
142 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3%
143 SHOURIE Seth 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
143 GARIKIPATI Tharan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 13% 2%
145 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
145 XU Isaac 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
147 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% -
148 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
148 GALBRAITH Carson 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
148 YOON Jonathan 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
151 DESAI Adithya 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
152 LI Andy 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 9% 1%
153 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
154 LIN Edison 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
155 TIAN Dylan 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
156 CHA Aiden 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
157 PURUSHOTHAM Neil 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
158 PATEL Tej 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
159 NG Remy 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
160 YOON Ian 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
160 SOHONI Vir 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
162 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
163 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
164 LI Nolan 100% 99% 84% 45% 11% 1%
165 SMITH Theo 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
166 ONG David 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
166 TRAN Thomas 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
168 PELCZAR James 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
169 WANG Juehan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
170 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
170 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
170 LIU Maximilian 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
173 KRAVCHENKO Philip 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
174 KO Ethan 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
174 CHEN Benjamin 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
176 SZETO Zachary 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
177 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
178 CHEN Jayden A 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
179 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
180 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
180 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
182 GILLARD Adan 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
183 LAU Caleb 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
184 TANG Jayce 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
184 NOCON Garrison 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
186 PARADKAR Akshay 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
187 NICHOLAS Miles 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
188 CHO Joshua 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
189 WU James 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
189 SHARMA Sahaj 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
191 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
192 SMITH Noah 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
192 LI Stephen 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
194 ZHANG Jenson 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
195 KESELMAN Ron 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
196 THOMSON Piers 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
196 DISPENZA Jayan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
198 YAO Irvine 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
199 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
200 HUNG Ludwig 100% 58% 14% 1% - -
201 FEELY Samuel 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
202 TENG Eric 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
203 VENERACION Marcus 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
204 CHAN Joseph 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
205 CHEN Linus 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
205 LEE Taeryum 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
207 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
208 KIM Brendan 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
209 KICIMAN Louis 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
210 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
211 PATEL Yash 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
212 FRANK Luke 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
213 ZHANG Jacob 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
213 AGRAWAL Ariv 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
215 LEUNG Joon 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
216 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
217 SI Alexander 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
217 LANE Sawyer 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
219 MILLER Xavier 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
220 HOWARD Killian 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
221 YE Andrew 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
222 KIM Benjamin 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% - -
223 LI Connor 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
223 YU MAXIMILIAN 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
225 CHU Clayton 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
226 ANDREWS Elliott 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
227 LI Ethan 100% 78% 30% 5% - -
228 CHI Zachary 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
228 ZALPURI Zorin 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% 1%
228 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
231 CHEN Regis 100% 94% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
232 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
232 LAI Jaxon 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
234 LIU Kyle 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
234 BURT Jonathan Parker 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
236 DAND Zahin 100% 91% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
237 LEE Jack 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
238 ZHOU Silvan 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
239 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
239 MORET Declan 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
239 GOLDBERG Simon 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
239 WU Jayden 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
239 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
244 KABEALO Charles 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
245 LI NATHAN 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
246 MAURAIS JP 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
246 LEE Daniel 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
248 BUONO Antonino 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
249 MILLER Brodrick 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% - -
250 XIONG Alec 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.