Junior Olympics

Cadet Men's Foil

Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Bradley - - - - 1% 16% 83%
2 WANG Aaron - - - - 6% 94%
3 FUKUDA Diego - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
3 CHENG Ethan - - - 2% 15% 45% 39%
5 WU Alber Y. - - - - 2% 27% 71%
6 CHEN Hanson - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
7 ZHANG Aaron - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
8 QIAN Jason H. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
9 SENIC Lucas - - - - 1% 19% 79%
10 LING Eddie - - - - 3% 28% 69%
11 BAE Eugene - - 3% 25% 56% 16%
12 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - - - 5% 37% 58%
13 DOELL Ethan - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
14 TAN Aidan - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
15 OZAWA Taishi - - 3% 18% 39% 33% 8%
16 NGUYEN Martin - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
17 LO Preston - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
18 XU Andy P. - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
18 WANDJI Noah - - - 5% 22% 45% 27%
20 CHOI Ethan - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
21 RASMUSSEN Sage - - - - 3% 30% 67%
22 CHEN Kyle P. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
23 SHENG Dalton - - 2% 15% 46% 37%
24 PARK Rion - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
25 HUA Aaron - - 4% 24% 42% 25% 5%
26 TANG Alexander L. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
27 ZHANG Jacob - - 1% 8% 30% 47% 14%
28 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - - 1% 6% 29% 46% 19%
29 PAN Ethan - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
30 SUAREZ Adrian - - - 2% 17% 44% 36%
31 LEE Christopher T. - - 2% 17% 47% 34%
32 LI Aaron - - 1% 11% 49% 39%
33 ZHONG Maxwell - - 1% 6% 28% 48% 17%
34 LIU Derek - - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
35 BIELER Mason - - 2% 14% 42% 37% 5%
36 CHOI Benjamin - 2% 12% 36% 39% 11%
37 ZHOU Shawn - - 2% 13% 39% 38% 8%
38 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 3% 21% 45% 30%
39 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - 1% 13% 52% 33%
39 HOWLAND Jonas - - 3% 21% 48% 28%
41 CHO Jadon Yushin - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
42 SIMONOV Timofey - - 1% 10% 49% 40%
43 MORROW Brenden - - 2% 12% 34% 41% 12%
44 CHOI Ethan - - 4% 22% 41% 28% 5%
45 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
46 YOON Junhyeok - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
47 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
48 CHENG Logan - - 1% 11% 35% 40% 13%
49 WANG Rory - - 1% 7% 29% 50% 13%
50 YAO Bradley - - - - 6% 36% 57%
51 MARTIN Darius - - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
52 LU Kevin - 1% 18% 50% 31%
53 ROZALSKI Eli - - - 8% 46% 46%
54 GUTH Joseph - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
55 HARROCH Faustin - 5% 24% 42% 25% 4%
56 DERRICK Blake - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
57 WONG Evan - - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
58 LEE Brendan - - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
59 ZHENG Marcus - - 4% 23% 48% 25%
60 SHIN Noah - - 5% 22% 43% 29% 2%
61 ALLEN Henry G. - - 1% 9% 33% 42% 15%
61 SISINNI Leonardo - - 3% 18% 39% 33% 7%
63 CHANG Jonathan - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
64 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
65 CHEN Ethan - - - 2% 20% 56% 22%
66 YI William W. - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
66 FUKUDA Brando - 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2%
68 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - 6% 26% 47% 20%
69 SHI Boris - 5% 25% 41% 25% 5% -
70 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 2% 14% 42% 38% 4%
71 GORDON William L. - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 2%
72 FOY Grant - 5% 23% 42% 28% 1%
73 ZHAO Brian - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
73 PARK Andrew - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
75 YUE Jackson - - 5% 27% 42% 23% 3%
75 JIMENEZ Naveen - - 1% 6% 30% 44% 19%
77 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 1% 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
78 RAUTUREAU Arthur - - 3% 20% 44% 28% 5%
79 OH Joshua 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
80 ZHAI Alex 1% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
81 CHA James - - 1% 8% 38% 45% 8%
82 GOFF Nathaniel - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
83 TAN Xinlai - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
84 FANG Haoyu - - 2% 14% 40% 35% 9%
85 NEICE William - - 4% 21% 46% 27% 2%
86 CHO Xzander - 1% 8% 30% 42% 18% 1%
87 ZHAO Nathan - - 2% 16% 47% 32% 4%
88 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
88 SHANNON Jack - 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2%
90 LU Nathan - - - 5% 30% 52% 12%
91 HOU Gaven - - 2% 15% 41% 37% 4%
91 CHOI Colin - 3% 20% 39% 30% 8% 1%
93 BEDWORTH Alistair - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
94 HAN Alexander - 1% 11% 37% 36% 13% 1%
95 HART-SYED declan - 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
96 LIU Yinhong - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
97 BAI Austin - - 4% 22% 43% 26% 4%
98 LEE Charles T - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
99 HUYNH Matthew - 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% -
100 PARK Jayden 2% 19% 46% 28% 5% -
101 SUAREZ David - 2% 14% 40% 37% 8% -
102 BAKSHI Aman - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
103 KAYE Ben 4% 25% 39% 25% 6% 1% -
104 RAUTUREAU Hugo - - - 3% 31% 66%
105 LI Lucas 1% 9% 34% 44% 12% 1%
106 WEI JR Shan 2% 19% 41% 31% 8% 1%
107 KO Caleb 1% 13% 49% 31% 5%
109 CHUANG Oscar - 1% 16% 48% 36%
110 CHENG Mason 1% 12% 38% 40% 9% 1%
111 KWON Chase 2% 28% 43% 23% 4% -
112 ZHANG GAVIN J - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
113 LEE Jaden - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
114 LU Alex - 1% 8% 29% 39% 21% 3%
115 PARKER Isaiah - - 4% 19% 40% 31% 5%
116 TOEWS Jackson - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21% 1%
117 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
118 CHEN Anson - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
120 BHANOT Arjun 4% 22% 37% 28% 8% 1% -
121 MCKEE Calvin - - 4% 21% 45% 28% 3%
122 HOLMES Alexiy 1% 10% 34% 38% 14% 2% -
123 GRUNENWALD Henri 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
124 GATES Combustion - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
125 ABRAMKIN Tim - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
126 LUK Trusten 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
127 ZHAO Ryan - 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% -
128 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
129 KUE Temujin - 7% 36% 42% 14% 1%
130 JACOB Ezra - 8% 40% 41% 10% -
131 YANG Charles - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
132 PARK William - 1% 10% 31% 37% 17% 2%
133 GHEDINI Luca - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
134 TSOI Spencer - 1% 7% 29% 46% 17% 1%
135 PLUMMER Waylon - 4% 26% 45% 21% 3%
136 ZHANG Jayden - 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
137 YANG David H. - 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
138 YOU Martin - 3% 21% 41% 27% 6% -
139 LAO Kevin 6% 29% 41% 20% 4% -
140 METZ Mason - 6% 28% 42% 21% 3%
141 SHAW Spencer 1% 8% 30% 41% 17% 3% -
142 HICKEY Connor - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 5%
143 GLICKSBERG Alexander 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1% -
144 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 5% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
145 NISHIHIRA Tyler - 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
145 YOUNG Luke 3% 41% 41% 13% 1% - -
147 LEE Abin - 7% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
148 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
149 MCCONKEY Tristan 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% - -
150 WAYBRIGHT Matteo - 4% 23% 43% 24% 5% -
151 GRIGORIEV Michael 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
151 KIM Maxwell 10% 47% 34% 8% 1% -
153 WONG Braxton 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
153 BRITTNELL Nicolas - 7% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
155 KIM Aiden 3% 31% 41% 21% 4% - -
156 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan - 1% 13% 36% 37% 12% 1%
157 KIM Daniel - 2% 16% 37% 34% 10% 1%
158 WENGER Rowan 13% 40% 36% 9% 1% - -
159 YU William - - 3% 15% 38% 36% 8%
160 MCMILLIAN Harrison 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
160 TAGORE Reyansh 11% 34% 37% 16% 2% -
162 ZHENG Austin 2% 14% 37% 35% 11% 1% -
163 ZHANG Ethan 16% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -
164 PE Noah - 5% 34% 43% 16% 2%
165 TOOMRE Kai 4% 25% 44% 23% 3% -
166 LEBEDOVYCH Tristin 7% 33% 43% 16% 1% -
167 XIE Ethan 45% 42% 12% 1% - -
168 LEONG Wilson Hua 17% 59% 22% 2% -
169 MARTIRE Luca - 7% 40% 42% 10% 1%
170 KUBBA Krish 2% 17% 40% 33% 7% 1% -
171 KINGSLEY Griffin 2% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
172 SU Desmond - 13% 38% 35% 12% 1% -
173 DESMOND Sterling 1% 12% 36% 38% 13% 1% -
174 HARRIS Julien - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
175 YEVDAYEV Tamir - 3% 22% 44% 27% 4% -
175 SUNDSTROM Wren 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
177 WENGER Liam 5% 37% 41% 15% 2% - -
178 WEBSTER Liam 1% 13% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
179 BABER Shaheer 12% 54% 28% 5% - - -
180 WONG Jacob W. - - 6% 29% 41% 21% 3%
180 DENG David 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
182 DEPP Edward 7% 34% 40% 16% 2% - -
182 ZHAO Jason 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
184 LI Jake 23% 46% 26% 5% - - -
185 WEST Abraham 3% 19% 38% 31% 8% -
186 LEE Thomas 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
187 WILEY Conor 1% 18% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
188 NUCKLES Caden - 4% 21% 40% 27% 7% 1%
188 TARCHICHI Robby - 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1%
190 KOE Beckett 1% 9% 31% 41% 17% 2% -
191 POPOKH Luca 2% 23% 44% 25% 5% - -
192 GODIN Willis 3% 21% 41% 29% 7% - -
193 BALES Gabriel 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
193 FLYNN Oliver 13% 41% 35% 10% 1% - -
195 RAMESH Prashvin 4% 22% 39% 28% 7% -
196 LEE Christopher 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
197 SUN Henry - 5% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
198 BOWLES Kevin 15% 42% 33% 9% 1% - -
199 KERSHA Alexander 37% 44% 17% 2% - - -
200 SUN Neo 14% 44% 32% 9% 1% - -
201 FEEHAN Conor 4% 25% 42% 25% 4% - -
202 BERNARD Jonathan 22% 54% 22% 3% - - -
203 RUBY Asher 1% 14% 38% 35% 11% 1%
204 KUO Phineas 1% 20% 42% 29% 7% 1%
205 RAJ Jay - 1% 10% 34% 42% 13%
206 YANG Steve 4% 31% 42% 20% 3% -
207 PICACHE Crockett 48% 44% 7% - - -
208 POST Bentley 67% 29% 4% - - -
209 GADOW Patrick 9% 62% 25% 3% - -
210 FRANCIS Maximillian 23% 46% 25% 5% - -
211 LEE Jayden J. 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6% -
212 KOE Declan 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 5% -
213 CAO Joshua 2% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
214 ZMUDA Aiden 2% 17% 40% 31% 8% 1% -
215 QIU Yiran 55% 39% 6% - - - -
216 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
216 PANDIT Milan 26% 46% 24% 4% - - -
218 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 6% 29% 41% 20% 3% - -
219 YANG Ethan 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
220 CHENUTULA Abhinav 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
221 MANCHALA Vedanth 45% 41% 12% 1% - - -
222 VERDEJO-BUISSON Nicolas 68% 29% 3% - - -
222 SANTHOSH Rithwik 9% 46% 35% 9% 1% - -
224 KALISH James 14% 43% 32% 10% 1% - -
225 LAM Kirin 4% 28% 40% 22% 5% 1% -
226 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 2% 18% 48% 26% 6% - -
226 HAN Nathan 23% 45% 25% 5% - - -
228 YUN Max 30% 43% 21% 5% - - -
228 LUKASIK Michael 39% 47% 12% 1% - - -
230 LINEBERRY CADEN 1% 18% 45% 30% 7% - -
230 MARSHALL Kyler 28% 54% 16% 2% - - -
232 NUSS Thomas 23% 48% 24% 5% - - -
232 KARLEKAR Ved 13% 39% 35% 11% 1% - -
232 CHANG Austin 66% 29% 4% - - - -
235 TOMOV Evan 39% 43% 15% 2% - - -
235 HUDSON Arav 50% 39% 9% 1% - - -
237 ALVAREZ Sebastian 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
238 HASTINGS Alex 1% 33% 43% 19% 3% - -
239 EDWARDS Connor 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2% -
240 PARK Jubin 32% 46% 19% 3% - -
240 SIELSKI Evan 32% 53% 14% 1% - -
242 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
242 FRANCIS Sebastian 6% 38% 38% 15% 3% - -
244 BEREKNYEI Lukas 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
245 CHOI Elliot 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
246 SU Preston 12% 42% 36% 9% - -
247 WARD MADS 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
247 LI Happy 46% 43% 10% 1% - - -
247 KIM Ethen 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
250 LE Oliver 87% 13% 1% - - - -
251 STOKES CARDENTE Zay 21% 45% 29% 5% - - -
251 STELLPFLUG Zachary 4% 25% 43% 23% 4% - -
251 SKEETE Neil 78% 20% 2% - - - -
254 PHILLIPS Oliver 68% 29% 2% - -
255 DALAL Amitav 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
257 BROADHURST Julien 87% 13% 1% - - -
258 CHENG Nathan 69% 27% 3% - - - -
258 PROVENCAL Alec 25% 44% 25% 5% - - -
258 EARLY Hayden 93% 7% - - - - -
261 DICKINSON Luke 80% 19% 1% - - -
262 DAVIS Charlie 5% 30% 44% 18% 3% - -
263 DIAZ Gabriel 33% 44% 19% 3% - -
264 BERETICH Brian 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
264 MAGILTON Maxwell 30% 48% 19% 3% - - -
264 COLLETTE Toby 52% 42% 6% - - - -
264 PANKOTAI Alexander 69% 27% 3% - - - -
268 MESSENGER Niko 86% 13% 1% - - - -
268 FRIEDMAN Wesley 84% 15% 1% - - - -
270 NOWICKI William 76% 22% 2% - - - -
270 SATTERFIELD Rory 65% 30% 5% - - - -
270 BARLOW Christopher 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.