Junior Olympics

Cadet Men's Foil

Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
3 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
5 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 71%
6 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
8 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
9 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
10 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
11 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 16%
12 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 58%
13 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
14 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
15 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 8%
16 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
17 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 38%
18 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
18 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
20 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
21 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
22 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
23 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
24 PARK Rion 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
25 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 5%
26 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
27 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 14%
28 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
29 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 3%
30 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 36%
31 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
32 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 39%
33 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 17%
34 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
35 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 5%
36 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11%
37 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 8%
38 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
39 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 33%
39 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 28%
41 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
42 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 40%
43 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
44 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
45 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 17%
46 YOON Junhyeok 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
47 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
48 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
49 WANG Rory 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 13%
50 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
51 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
52 LU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 81% 31%
53 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 46%
54 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
55 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 4%
56 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
57 WONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
58 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
59 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
60 SHIN Noah 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 2%
61 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
61 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
63 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
64 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
65 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 22%
66 YI William W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
66 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
68 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 20%
69 SHI Boris 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% -
70 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 4%
71 GORDON William L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
72 FOY Grant 100% 100% 94% 71% 29% 1%
73 ZHAO Brian 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
73 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
75 YUE Jackson 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 3%
75 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 19%
77 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 100% 99% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
78 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 5%
79 OH Joshua 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
80 ZHAI Alex 100% 99% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
81 CHA James 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53% 8%
82 GOFF Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
83 TAN Xinlai 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
84 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 9%
85 NEICE William 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30% 2%
86 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19% 1%
87 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 35% 4%
88 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
88 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2%
90 LU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 12%
91 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 4%
91 CHOI Colin 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
93 BEDWORTH Alistair 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
94 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 1%
95 HART-SYED declan 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
96 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
97 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 4%
98 LEE Charles T 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
99 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -
100 PARK Jayden 100% 98% 79% 33% 6% -
101 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 8% -
102 BAKSHI Aman 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
103 KAYE Ben 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
104 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 66%
105 LI Lucas 100% 99% 91% 57% 12% 1%
106 WEI JR Shan 100% 98% 80% 39% 8% 1%
107 KO Caleb 100% 99% 86% 37% 5%
109 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 99% 83% 36%
110 CHENG Mason 100% 99% 87% 49% 9% 1%
111 KWON Chase 100% 98% 70% 27% 5% -
112 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
113 LEE Jaden 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
114 LU Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
115 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 5%
116 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 1%
117 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
118 CHEN Anson 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
120 BHANOT Arjun 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
121 MCKEE Calvin 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30% 3%
122 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2% -
123 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 3% -
124 GATES Combustion 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
125 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 11% 1%
126 LUK Trusten 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
127 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
128 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
129 KUE Temujin 100% 100% 93% 57% 15% 1%
130 JACOB Ezra 100% 100% 91% 51% 10% -
131 YANG Charles 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
132 PARK William 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
133 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
134 TSOI Spencer 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18% 1%
135 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 95% 69% 24% 3%
136 ZHANG Jayden 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
137 YANG David H. 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
138 YOU Martin 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6% -
139 LAO Kevin 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% -
140 METZ Mason 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 3%
141 SHAW Spencer 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 3% -
142 HICKEY Connor 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
143 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1% -
144 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
145 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
145 YOUNG Luke 100% 97% 55% 15% 2% - -
147 LEE Abin 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
148 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
149 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
150 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% -
151 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
151 KIM Maxwell 100% 90% 43% 9% 1% -
153 WONG Braxton 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
153 BRITTNELL Nicolas 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
155 KIM Aiden 100% 97% 66% 25% 5% - -
156 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13% 1%
157 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
158 WENGER Rowan 100% 87% 47% 10% 1% - -
159 YU William 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
160 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
160 TAGORE Reyansh 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% -
162 ZHENG Austin 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1% -
163 ZHANG Ethan 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -
164 PE Noah 100% 100% 94% 61% 18% 2%
165 TOOMRE Kai 100% 96% 70% 26% 3% -
166 LEBEDOVYCH Tristin 100% 93% 61% 18% 1% -
167 XIE Ethan 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
168 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 83% 24% 2% -
169 MARTIRE Luca 100% 100% 92% 53% 11% 1%
170 KUBBA Krish 100% 98% 81% 41% 8% 1% -
171 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 98% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
172 SU Desmond 100% 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
173 DESMOND Sterling 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1% -
174 HARRIS Julien 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
175 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 4% -
175 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
177 WENGER Liam 100% 95% 58% 17% 2% - -
178 WEBSTER Liam 100% 99% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
179 BABER Shaheer 100% 88% 34% 6% - - -
180 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
180 DENG David 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
182 DEPP Edward 100% 93% 59% 18% 2% - -
182 ZHAO Jason 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
184 LI Jake 100% 77% 31% 6% - - -
185 WEST Abraham 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% -
186 LEE Thomas 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
187 WILEY Conor 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
188 NUCKLES Caden 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 7% 1%
188 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
190 KOE Beckett 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 2% -
191 POPOKH Luca 100% 98% 75% 31% 6% - -
192 GODIN Willis 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% - -
193 BALES Gabriel 100% 72% 29% 5% - - -
193 FLYNN Oliver 100% 87% 46% 11% 1% - -
195 RAMESH Prashvin 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
196 LEE Christopher 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
197 SUN Henry 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
198 BOWLES Kevin 100% 85% 43% 10% 1% - -
199 KERSHA Alexander 100% 63% 19% 2% - - -
200 SUN Neo 100% 86% 41% 10% 1% - -
201 FEEHAN Conor 100% 96% 72% 29% 4% - -
202 BERNARD Jonathan 100% 78% 25% 3% - - -
203 RUBY Asher 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1%
204 KUO Phineas 100% 99% 79% 36% 8% 1%
205 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13%
206 YANG Steve 100% 96% 65% 23% 3% -
207 PICACHE Crockett 100% 52% 8% - - -
208 POST Bentley 100% 33% 5% - - -
209 GADOW Patrick 100% 91% 29% 3% - -
210 FRANCIS Maximillian 100% 77% 30% 5% - -
211 LEE Jayden J. 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6% -
212 KOE Declan 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
213 CAO Joshua 100% 98% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
214 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
215 QIU Yiran 100% 45% 7% - - - -
216 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
216 PANDIT Milan 100% 74% 28% 4% - - -
218 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -
219 YANG Ethan 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
220 CHENUTULA Abhinav 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
221 MANCHALA Vedanth 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
222 VERDEJO-BUISSON Nicolas 100% 32% 4% - - -
222 SANTHOSH Rithwik 100% 91% 45% 10% 1% - -
224 KALISH James 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% - -
225 LAM Kirin 100% 96% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
226 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 100% 98% 81% 32% 6% - -
226 HAN Nathan 100% 77% 31% 6% - - -
228 YUN Max 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
228 LUKASIK Michael 100% 61% 14% 1% - - -
230 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 99% 82% 37% 7% - -
230 MARSHALL Kyler 100% 72% 18% 2% - - -
232 NUSS Thomas 100% 77% 30% 5% - - -
232 KARLEKAR Ved 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% - -
232 CHANG Austin 100% 34% 5% - - - -
235 TOMOV Evan 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
235 HUDSON Arav 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
237 ALVAREZ Sebastian 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
238 HASTINGS Alex 100% 99% 66% 23% 4% - -
239 EDWARDS Connor 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
240 PARK Jubin 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
240 SIELSKI Evan 100% 68% 15% 1% - -
242 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
242 FRANCIS Sebastian 100% 94% 56% 18% 3% - -
244 BEREKNYEI Lukas 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
245 CHOI Elliot 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
246 SU Preston 100% 88% 46% 9% - -
247 WARD MADS 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
247 LI Happy 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -
247 KIM Ethen 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
250 LE Oliver 100% 13% 1% - - - -
251 STOKES CARDENTE Zay 100% 79% 34% 5% - - -
251 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% - -
251 SKEETE Neil 100% 22% 2% - - - -
254 PHILLIPS Oliver 100% 32% 2% - -
255 DALAL Amitav 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
257 BROADHURST Julien 100% 13% 1% - - -
258 CHENG Nathan 100% 31% 3% - - - -
258 PROVENCAL Alec 100% 75% 31% 6% - - -
258 EARLY Hayden 100% 7% - - - - -
261 DICKINSON Luke 100% 20% 1% - - -
262 DAVIS Charlie 100% 95% 65% 21% 3% - -
263 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 67% 23% 3% - -
264 BERETICH Brian 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
264 MAGILTON Maxwell 100% 70% 22% 3% - - -
264 COLLETTE Toby 100% 48% 6% - - - -
264 PANKOTAI Alexander 100% 31% 3% - - - -
268 MESSENGER Niko 100% 14% 1% - - - -
268 FRIEDMAN Wesley 100% 16% 1% - - - -
270 NOWICKI William 100% 24% 2% - - - -
270 SATTERFIELD Rory 100% 35% 5% - - - -
270 BARLOW Christopher 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.