Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 LI Richard Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
3 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
5 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
6 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
7 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
8 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
9 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
10 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
11 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
12 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
13 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
14 LIU Jinning 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
15 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
16 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
17 LU Royce Youshi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 16%
18 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
19 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
20 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
21 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
22 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
23 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39% 7%
24 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
25 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
26 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
27 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
28 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
29 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 5%
30 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
31 ZHOU Shawn 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
32 CHEN Nuo 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
33 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
34 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
35 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 5%
35 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
37 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
38 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 14%
39 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
40 HUANG Jonathan 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
41 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
42 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
43 WU Tong 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
44 HARROCH Faustin 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
45 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
46 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
47 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
48 YI William W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
49 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
50 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 4%
51 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
52 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 2%
53 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
53 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
55 LO Preston 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
56 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
57 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
58 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
59 SHANNON Jack 100% 89% 53% 19% 4% - -
60 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
61 YOON Junhyeok 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 10% 1%
62 MORROW Brenden 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
63 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
64 PARK William 100% 94% 56% 18% 3% - -
65 LIU Derek 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
66 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 12% 1%
67 CHEN Anson 100% 99% 79% 41% 13% 2% -
68 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
69 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
70 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
71 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
72 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 12%
73 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
73 LU Andy 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
75 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
76 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
77 ZHENG Marcus 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
78 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
79 LU Hongyu 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
80 CHALUT Etienne 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
81 PARK Rion 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
82 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 6% -
83 BAE Eugene 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
84 SONG Noel 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 10%
85 DONG Richard 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
86 RAJ Jay 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
87 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
88 LIU Alex 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
89 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
90 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
91 PENG Lekai 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
92 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
93 HOLLIS Sean 100% 99% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
94 LIU Yinhong 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
94 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
94 CHENG Logan 100% 99% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
97 HAN Alexander 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
98 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
99 CLARK Benjamin 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
100 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
101 HART-SYED declan 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
102 LEPAROUX Jean 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
103 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
104 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
105 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 98% 81% 36% 7% -
106 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
107 SMOLICH Marat 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
108 OZAWA Taishi 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
109 LU Kevin 100% 98% 84% 53% 18% 2%
110 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
111 ZHANG Jacob 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
112 HOU Gaven 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
113 YU William 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
114 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% 2%
115 YAO Pincheng 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
116 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
117 YUE Jackson 100% 99% 86% 46% 13% 2% -
118 TANG Albert 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
119 WANG Rory 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 2% -
120 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 90% 42% 9% 1% - -
121 CHUANG Oscar 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
122 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
123 TOEWS Jackson 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
124 MILLER Dillon 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
125 TANG Alexander L. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
126 SHIN Noah 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
127 LIM Charlie 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
128 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
129 CHOI Ethan 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
130 CHA James 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
131 WONG Jacob W. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
132 LU Nathan 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
133 KIM Brian 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
133 ZAIDI Adil 100% 97% 66% 25% 5% - -
135 WANG Lingke 100% 95% 63% 24% 5% - -
136 YANG Charles 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% - -
136 BAKSHI Aman 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
138 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
139 OH Joshua 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% - -
140 GORDON William L. 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
141 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
142 TANG August L. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
143 ZHANG Andrew 100% 50% 9% 1% - -
144 BIELER Mason 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 2% -
145 ZHAO Nathan 100% 85% 47% 13% 1% - -
146 EL BATTI Hedi 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
147 MARTIRE Luca 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% - -
148 HUA Aaron 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
148 GE Felix Fei 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
150 YANG David H. 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
151 HUYNH Matthew 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
151 SUMIN Yang 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
153 CHOI Colin 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
154 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
155 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
155 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
157 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
158 LIU Tony 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
159 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
160 MCKEE Calvin 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
161 CHO Xzander 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
162 PRUT Anton 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
163 FANG Haoyu 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% -
164 NUCKLES Caden 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
165 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
166 GRIEB Oliver 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
167 SMITH Finnley 100% 80% 29% 4% - -
168 XIE Jayden 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
168 PAN Ethan 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
170 KUBBA Krish 100% 27% 3% - - - -
171 NEGLEY Royce 100% 20% 1% - - - -
172 GODIN Willis 100% 35% 5% - - - -
173 HARWOOD Gray 100% 21% 2% - - - -
174 HAN Nathan 100% 30% 3% - - - -
174 HARKINS Asher 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
176 MONSCH Channing 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.